Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting
Joined January 2011
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1 Photos and videos
ShadowStats.com retweeted
11 Feb 2015
Lst wks #payrolls. Usual BLS publishing glitch had huge effect: 423k Nov jobs really only 340k explistats.com/p/nov-payroll…
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
22 Jul 2014
Our Seasonal Adjustment trend analysis for Payroll Employment in advance of next week's BLS release. 232k more jobs. explistats.com/?p=2036
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
6 Jun 2014
Payrolls regain pre-recession peak. But as a % of potential working popn and labor force: explistats.com/?p=1942
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
7 Mar 2014
New Heatmap feature for further exploring the Payrolls survey: explistats.com/?p=510#heatma… Please take a look.
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13 Mar 2014
Feb Retail Sales Rose by 0.27%, But that after 0.41% downward revision to Jan. On track for annzd 2.5% Q1 contraction, before Inflation Adj
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7 Mar 2014
John Williams currently analyzing all of today's numbers. Commentary due out later this afternoon. To include Explistats March "trend" num.
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
7 Mar 2014
Payrolls up 175k - close to our trend model 183k "forecast" of Wed: explistats.com/?p=1761. Insights on divergences coming soon.
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
28 Feb 2014
GDP 2nd Est Q4 growth down to 2.4% from 3.2%. 26% drop. 27% gain last time. New data at explistats.com/?p=1609
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28 Feb 2014
Third-Quarter GDP Downside Revision Was Consistent with Same Reports Signaling a First-Quarter 2014 Contraction
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
19 Feb 2014
Housing starts down year over year. January down across almost all regions explistats.com/?p=562 More later.
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
12 Dec 2013
Some (60 ) new charts on Employment Ratio, Participation Rate & Unemployment Rate. explistats.com/?p=4
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
12 Dec 2013
Adv. Retail Sales up 7% in November. Half of growth in vehicle sales. Charts (62) updated: explistats.com/?p=641
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12 Dec 2013
No Effort to Address Long-Range Solvency Issues of the US in Budget-Deficit Agreement
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5 Dec 2013
Involuntary Inventory Build-Up Spiked GDP Revision; Final Sales (GDP Less Inv. Change) Growth Revised to 1.9% from 2.0%.
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ShadowStats.com retweeted
26 Nov 2013
Housing Starts delayed again. Permits up strongly but it's all apts inSouth. Single-family auths flat in Sep/Oct.
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26 Nov 2013
Apologies for absence. Today's releases: Building Permits Showed No Recovery; Consumer Confidence Declined Again in November.
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30 May 2012
Second new public post reviews recent activity in withheld income and payroll tax receipts. Inline with expectations. shadowstats.com?p=760
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30 May 2012
Two new public pieces just posted. First on Payroll numbers: "Trend Extrapolations" for Friday's BLS report. shadowstats.com?p=759
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23 May 2012
New article on inflation measurement methodology changes. Updates our "primer" on the subject. t.co/69GueBIT?p=754
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