How much p-hacking is happening among AI benchmark makers? IE: Coming up with 100 model capability tests, and then only publishing results that show a nice upward slope that matches our intuitions about improving strength over time?

Hey @AnthropicAI, I am so SO SOOO frustrated!! How do I escalate to a human agent? Fin is not helping and neither is Claude itself. I tried to upgrade to Pro in February through claude.ai but was told the billing details didn't go through...

AI has an insane rate of progress when we observe what it does for jobs that take place on screens. Progress is slower for jobs in the world of atoms. Since the intellectual class spend all their time on screens, it's easy to think "AI will do all the jobs!" We are like 15th century farmers thinking about mechanization. If you mechanized agriculture, what other jobs could there even be? Perhaps employment in the on-screen sector will shrink to a small percentage. Of course stuff on screens affects things in the real world too. But the rate of progress is different. On screens (i.e. in simulation), the self-driving car problem has been solved for many years. IRL, we are still years and years away from replacement of human drivers. I think one reason for divergent predictions on how much AI will matter is that the "6% growth" AI experts are extrapolating from stuff on screens to stuff with atoms, while the "3% growth" economists are not.

2200 days ago, I caught COVID for the first time. I was not vaccinated as it had just arrived so there was no vaccine. It was a mild infection, so I continued running. Nobody could have told me then, that I would develop Long Covid and cancer, and lose my life to it.

Turn 36 today & I’ve spent my entire thirties with #LongCovid. When I turned 30 I was biking to work 10 miles a day, & since my mild covid infection — I struggle to walk more than a block or work more than a few hours a week. Here’s 4 things I wish everyone knew:

#49ers K Jake Moody has made 11 of his last 21 field goal attempts in the regular season. He's out on field warming up as I type this but it's just simply not anywhere close to good enough.

Hey #EconTwitter, Let there be no shame or stigma for candidates (and employers) going on the Scramble market: aeaweb.org/joe/scramble/ Registration is now open till March 13. For candidates, it's open to anyone who has not yet signed an offer.

📍 Tomorrow (23.02.2024)! Sign up for the PSDRN webinar on '#Gender discrimination in access to capital: Experimental evidence from Ethiopian SGBs', with @shanthim as speaker and Nathalie Raschka as moderator. Don't miss it. Registration details ⏬ theigc.org/events/gender-dis…

Register now for the PSDRN event on 23.02.2024 📍 The webinar on '#Gender discrimination in access to capital: Experimental evidence from Ethiopian SGBs' features @shanthim as speaker and Nathalie Raschka as moderator. More details here ⏬ theigc.org/events/gender-dis…

A new randomized controlled trial comparing breastmilk to formula among extremely preterm infants was published just yesterday. Short🧵 They found no effect whatsoever on neurodevelopmental outcomes at 22-26 months of age.

Come work with me! Development Economics Predoctoral Fellow - cega.berkeley.edu/career/dev… @econ_ra

Congratulations to Professor Claudia Goldin on winning the Nobel Peace Prize in Economics for her work on advancing the world’s understanding of women in the workforce. While Prof. Goldin has long been a trailblazer on topics around gender and economics, she’s recognized today for her work to understand the gender pay gap, a persistent barrier that inhibits women’s economic power. nytimes.com/2023/10/09/busin…

It's almost jm season! It's 10 years post-jm for me, so here are the 10 tips that would have helped me the most.

I get a *lot* of messages from new grads who want to work in development / @CGDev and don't know where to start. While I love (seriously!) meeting with them, I basically say the same thing every time, so here's my five top pieces of advice... 🧵

#EconTwitter: My coauthors and I are urgently looking for a #predoc for an exciting #RCT at scale (an entire state in India) in Andhra Pradesh. Please apply ASAP! JD: dropbox.com/s/0vio5n18r2j62m… @econ_ra @WomenInEcon @econgaurav @AbhiroopMukho @rchaurey @raghavrakesh @JPAL_SA

This is so wrong. If people want to be idle it is usually because they’re choosing from a set of bad options. I’m also an educator and I don’t view my students like this in any way.

Marika Cabral & I are organizing another virtual mentoring workshop for 3rd yr women/non-binary PhD students in health economics/health policy on Sep 29, 2023. To apply please fill out this form: forms.gle/JxRXCuLDB5zXzTFm8 AND send 1-page proposal & CV to info@cswep.org.

Want to work at DIME? 10 entry level opportunities to get hands-on experience in impactful economics research (in Washington DC and in various field research locations). worldbank.org/en/research/di…