behavioral design data science digital tech. Living between NYC and LA. I drink coffee and I randomize things. Tweets are merely random thoughts.

Joined July 2013
98 Photos and videos
And one of these games they were down by 22 with 99.9% chance of loosing
The New York Knicks just played the most dominant 10-game stretch in NBA history, and it's not even remotely close
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
๐Ÿง  ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐— ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜๐—ต ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ to join the HARMONY 2026 Program Committee! This is a wonderful networking opportunity if you're a mental health expert wanting to meet more AI and computing collaborators.ย ๐Ÿค HARMONY 2026 (Human-Centered AI for Mental Health) aims to drive meaningful progress at the intersection of #AI and #MentalHealth. To do so, we are intentionally expanding beyond our core IEEE/ACM CHASE community of computing and AI experts to bring broader mental health expertise into the conversation. If you have extensive experience in mental health โ€” clinical, research, community-based, funding, or policy โ€” and believe in our mission, we'd love to have you join our ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฒ! ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—”๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ: March 10, 2026 ๐Ÿ“… ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฑ: mid-late March to mid-late April ๐Ÿ“„ ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ: ~3 papers (1, 3, or 6 pages each) ๐—”๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ: forms.gle/8opJMBAwngdkLFqq9 ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—›๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฌ: tinyurl.com/harmony-con We look forward to welcoming more perspectives to our community!
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
One of my bold dreams just came true!! ๐ŸŽ‰ Together with Yi Ding @counterfac, Amir Ghasemian @Amir_Ghasemian, Rafal Kocielnik @RKocielnik, we proudly present ๐—›๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฌ 2026 on #AI ร— #MentalHealth, in conjunction with IEEE/ACM CHASE 2026 in Pittsburgh. Paper & Abstract deadline: ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฒ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ. Itโ€™s truly one of a kind with an ambitious goal: ๐Ÿš€ Solve one of our biggest pains โ€” difficulty in finding collaborators with complementary expertise & resources to tackle the impactful, HARD problems. There are no workarounds if we want to solve the most important problems. We must step out of our comfort zones and break down disciplinary silos to enable groundbreaking discoveries and innovative solutions. ๐Ÿค โœจ This is why we created ๐—›๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฌ (Human-centered AI Research for Mental Health, an Open Networking Symposium)โ€” a venue that is ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป and treats ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด & ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป as the first-class citizen. ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—›๐—”๐—ฅ๐— ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฌ'๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฏ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ โคต๏ธ conf.researchr.org/home/harmโ€ฆ ๐—™๐˜‚๐—ป ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜: Our organizing team is entirely #CIFellows supported by National Science Foundation (@NSF), Computing Research Association (CRA), and Computing Community Consortium (CCC). ๐Ÿ™Œ We actually started simmering the HARMONY idea at last yearโ€™s CCC Future Computing Symposium (we have picture proof! ๐Ÿ˜„). Special shoutout to Weisong Shi (@shiweisong) for all the amazing advice and guidance to make it happen. ๐Ÿ™ Iโ€™m so happy to see it finally came to fruition!! ๐ŸŒธ Deep gratitude to NSF, CRA, and CCC for such an invaluable CIFellow program filled with precious long-term relationships and so many fun memories. ๐ŸŒฑ๐ŸŒณโœจ ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚: We have a fantastic ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† & ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€-๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ด๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฒ (still expanding!). If I were you, I wouldn't want to miss this wonderful opportunity to receive high-quality feedback on your work. ๐Ÿ˜‰ Looking forward to your submissions and see you in Pittsburgh! It will be super fun and productive ๐Ÿฅณ Thank you HARMONY team! Kudos to you all for making it a reality ๐ŸŒˆโœจ Organizing Committee: Yixue Zhao (@yixue_zhao), Yi Ding (@counterfac), Amir Ghasemian (@Amir_Ghasemian), Rafal Kocielnik (@RKocielnik) Program Committee: Bhaskar Krishnamachari (@bhaskark_la), Puneet Kumar, Duc Minh Le, Randye Semple, Xipeng Shen, Michael Sobolev (@sobolevmic), Zhu Sun, Vali Tawosi (@vtawosi), Winson Yang (@winsonfzyang).
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
Our new paper on reassessing the heritability of human lifespan is out in @ScienceMagazine! ๐Ÿงฌ For decades, the consensus has been that genetics explains just 20โ€“25% of lifespan differences. We found that after accounting for extrinsic mortality, that number jumps to ~50%. A ๐Ÿงต
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Macron talking about his family physician after trying ChatGPT

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Michael Sobolev retweeted
Most Americans are wary of relying entirely on AI to make a diagnosis, but they're more optimistic about its potential to help clinicians detect cancer. USC Schaeffer's @sobolevmic discusses his new research on patient trust in AI with @MedEconomics. medicaleconomics.com/view/paโ€ฆ
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
Major preprint just out! We compare how humans and LLMs form judgments across seven epistemological stages. We highlight seven fault lines, points at which humans and LLMs fundamentally diverge: The Grounding fault: Humans anchor judgment in perceptual, embodied, and social experience, whereas LLMs begin from text alone, reconstructing meaning indirectly from symbols. The Parsing fault: Humans parse situations through integrated perceptual and conceptual processes; LLMs perform mechanical tokenization that yields a structurally convenient but semantically thin representation. The Experience fault: Humans rely on episodic memory, intuitive physics and psychology, and learned concepts; LLMs rely solely on statistical associations encoded in embeddings. The Motivation fault: Human judgment is guided by emotions, goals, values, and evolutionarily shaped motivations; LLMs have no intrinsic preferences, aims, or affective significance. The Causality fault: Humans reason using causal models, counterfactuals, and principled evaluation; LLMs integrate textual context without constructing causal explanations, depending instead on surface correlations. The Metacognitive fault: Humans monitor uncertainty, detect errors, and can suspend judgment; LLMs lack metacognition and must always produce an output, making hallucinations structurally unavoidable. The Value fault: Human judgments reflect identity, morality, and real-world stakes; LLM "judgments" are probabilistic next-token predictions without intrinsic valuation or accountability. Despite these fault lines, humans systematicallyย over-believeย LLM outputs, because fluent and confident language produce a credibility bias. We argue that this creates a structural condition,ย Epistemia: linguistic plausibility substitutes for epistemic evaluation, producing theย feeling of knowing without actually knowing. To address Epistemia, we propose three complementary strategies:ย epistemic evaluation, epistemic governance, and epistemic literacy. Full paper in the first reply. Joint with @Walter4C & @matjazperc
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๐ŸŽ‰ New preprint โ€œAcceptance of Medical Artificial Intelligence and the Effect of ChatGPTโ€. Nearly half of U.S. adults had heard of ChatGPT, and about 25% used it. When it comes to trusting AI for medical diagnosisย as much as or more thanย a human expert? Only 15% said yes
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Would love to hear from you. If youโ€™re working at the intersection of AI, healthcare, and patient trust and acceptance โ€” letโ€™s connect! We'd love to hear your take.
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The paper is available here: ssrn.com/abstract=5668630

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Michael Sobolev retweeted
I do find this just amazing
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
BIG ANNOUNCEMENT๐Ÿ“ฃ: I havenโ€™t been this excited to be part of something new in 15 yearsโ€ฆ Thrilled to reveal the passion project Iโ€™ve been working on for the past year and a half!๐Ÿ™€๐Ÿฅณ It started from my frustration with the depressing effect that the current publishing system has on the well-being of myself, my team, and pretty much every scientist I know (maybe youโ€™ve noticed from my stupid jokesโ€ฆ :) I was exhausted of dealing with the huge delays, reviewers that can be abusive, and how arbitrary it all is. Unfortunately, the most important factors are often WHO your reviewers are and who YOU are... Itโ€™s clear we need alternatives or at least ways to improve the situation. So, together with a really special and talented team we worked to develop this idea into โ€œqedโ€ a platform where you can get CONSTRUCTIVE feedback on your own work or CRITICALLY assess other peopleโ€™s papers. It can be a real difference maker if many of you join us (thousands have tried it already, but today we release a NEW and much stronger version ;) Letโ€™s harness qed to put the power back in the scientistsโ€™ hands, to do, to read & to publish science on our own terms. Iโ€™m dying for you to TRY IT, and itโ€™s very simple - just drop a paper (the link to the website is in the replies๐Ÿ‘‡) - itโ€™s completely secure, private, and free, and you get results fast. Please show your support, SHARE, tell your friends, and letโ€™s be the revolution ๐Ÿซต!
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Michael Sobolev retweeted
In 2016 Geoffrey Hinton said โ€œwe should stop training radiologists now" since AI would soon be better at their jobs. He was right: models have outperformed radiologists on benchmarks for ~a decade. Yet radiology jobs are at record highs, with an average salary of $520k. Why?
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LLM trying to guess the most random number randomly
Part 2 of this mystery. Spotted on reddit. In my test not 100% reproducible but still quite reproducible. ๐Ÿค”
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Mine too... 27 is the only answer apparently @karpathy
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