@stockoperator88 profile picture
Stock Operator @stockoperator88

I'm documenting the real-time growth of a $100,000 investment account created for my newborn son. Not Financial Advice.

Joined June 2020
  • Tweets 6,101
  • Following 249
  • Followers 1,768
1,440 Photos and videos
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. Day 14 of ~12-day Green phase — already 100% through. Watching 3 heavy-selling days vs avg 2.6. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
85
Day 14 of a phase that usually lasts ~12 days (median 10). Typical move 3.7%, this one flat at 0.0%. Breadth confirming the phase: more new highs than lows, momentum up, 91% of stocks near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at 16th percentile points to healthy dispersion — names moving on their own. Fear gauge at 18, matching the Green-phase average — no spike in anxiety. DeMark exhaustion at 73rd percentile flags washed-out readings. 3 heavy-selling days this leg vs 2.6 average; sitting 2.2% below the recent high. Next phase usually Yellow 69%, Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
22
Stock Operator
@stockoperator88
Jun 12
06/12/26 Portfolio Update (20.8% YTD vs $SPY/IWV 8.5%) Call Spread - 7.2% TIGR (Calls) - 1.3% XLF (Calls) - 1.2% $ENPH (Calls) - 0.9% $WDAY (Calls) - 0.9% CPNG (Calls) - 0.5% $NOW (Calls) - 0.5% CRWV (Calls) - 0.5% MITK (Calls) - 0.4% U (Calls) - 0.2% OKLO (Calls) - 0.1% GTLB (Calls) - 0.1% STNE (Calls) - 0.1% Technology - 7.0% $TTMI - 2.3% $TWLO - 2.1% AEVA - 1.6% PATH - 1.0% Financials - 5.4% FIGR - 3.6% RKT - 1.4% FRMM - 0.3% Hydrogen - 5.1% BLDP - 3.3% BE - 1.9% Space - 5.0% IRDM - 3.1% RDW - 2.0% Consumer Discretionary - 5.0% CRSR - 2.7% STUB - 2.2% Crypto & Blockchain - 4.7% BMNR - 2.1% MSTR - 1.5% ORBS - 1.1% Healthcare - 4.4% UNH - 2.4% NVO - 2.0% Consumer Staples - 3.3% ELF - 1.8% CELH - 1.5% Long Call - 3.2% BMNR (Calls) - 2.2% FXY (Calls) - 0.6% DQ (Calls) - 0.5% Emerging Markets - 3.0% SE - 2.0% MELI - 1.0% Battery - 3.0% SGML - 2.1% QS - 0.9% Nuclear - 3.0% BWXT - 1.5% LEU - 1.5% Solar - 1.7% NXT - 1.7% Industrials - 1.1% PANL - 1.0% QCLS - 0.1% Fixed Income - 30.7% EMLC - 4.0% SPHY - 4.0% BIZD - 3.9% STRC - 3.9% VWOB - 3.9% MGRB - 2.1% FSCO - 1.9% MAIN - 1.7% AGNC - 1.7% OXLC - 1.6% MFA - 1.0% FTAIN - 0.9% JAAA - 0.2% Mag7 - 7.5% TSLA - 4.0% AMZN - 3.6% Cash: 0.0% This portfolio blends a substantial fixed-income allocation with targeted exposure to high-conviction growth areas such as hydrogen, space, and select tech names. The structure aims to generate steady income while participating in longer-term secular shifts without taking excessive single-asset risk. Markets continue to reward selectivity, so the emphasis remains on quality holdings within each theme and disciplined position sizing. Rebalancing will stay measured, focusing on preserving capital and compounding gains as conditions evolve.
1
1
197
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. Weak internals on Day 12 flag pause risk. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
1
73
Day 12 of a Green phase that usually lasts ~12 days (median 10). We're 100% through, with a -2.2% move vs typical 3.7%. Breadth mixed: more new lows than highs, momentum down, 58% of stocks near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at 46th percentile suggests moderate herding, not extreme dispersion. VIX at 22 vs Green average 18 shows mildly elevated fear. DeMark exhaustion at 78th percentile points to washed-out conditions. 3 distribution days this leg vs average 2.6; drawdown -4.3%. Yellow next 69% of the time, Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
1
31
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. Day 11 of ~12 in Green, watching first down-momentum day. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
1
72
Day 11 of ~12 (median 10), 92% through Green — this leg -0.7% vs typical 3.7%. Breadth weak: more new lows than highs, momentum down, 84% near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at 30th percentile points to moderate herding. VIX at 20 sits just above Green average of 18. Potential top flag as down-momentum builds on first down day. 2 distribution days vs 2.6 average; -2.7% drawdown. Yellow next 69% of the time, Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
25
Stock Operator retweeted
Stock Talk
@stocktalkweekly
Jun 9
Somewhere out there, a man is staring at his portfolio on his phone, while his wife is telling him about how Janice was mean to her at pilates, and she's asking him why he isn't paying attention to the story.
155
88
2,325
174,338
Stock Operator
@stockoperator88
Jun 7
06/07/26 Portfolio Update (22.2% YTD vs $SPY/IWV 8.2%) Call Spread - 8.7% TIGR (Calls) - 2.1% WDAY (Calls) - 1.3% XLF (Calls) - 1.0% ENPH (Calls) - 0.9% NOW (Calls) - 0.7% GTLB (Calls) - 0.6% $CRWV (Calls) - 0.5% MITK (Calls) - 0.3% CPNG (Calls) - 0.3% $U (Calls) - 0.3% DPRO (Calls) - 0.2% $OKLO (Calls) - 0.2% CRCL (Calls) - 0.1% FISV (Calls) - 0.1% Mag7 - 7.4% $TSLA - 3.8% AMZN - 3.6% Technology - 6.8% $TWLO - 2.3% TTMI - 1.9% AEVA - 1.5% PATH - 1.0% Hydrogen - 5.6% $BLDP - 3.8% $BE - 1.8% Space - 5.4% $IRDM - 3.0% $RDW - 2.3% Financials - 5.3% FIGR - 3.6% RKT - 1.4% FRMM - 0.3% Consumer Discretionary - 5.0% CRSR - 2.9% STUB - 2.1% Crypto & Blockchain - 4.6% BMNR - 2.2% MSTR - 1.4% ORBS - 1.1% Healthcare - 4.2% UNH - 2.3% NVO - 2.0% Emerging Markets - 3.1% SE - 2.1% MELI - 1.0% Long Call - 3.0% BMNR (Calls) - 1.7% FXY (Calls) - 0.7% DQ (Calls) - 0.6% Nuclear - 2.9% LEU - 1.5% BWXT - 1.4% Consumer Staples - 2.9% CELH - 1.4% ELF - 1.4% Battery - 2.7% SGML - 1.7% QS - 1.0% Solar - 1.8% NXT - 1.8% Industrials - 1.0% PANL - 0.9% QCLS - 0.1% Cash - 0.1% Tough way to end the week. Looking for a bounce going into next week.
170
Stock Operator
@stockoperator88
Jun 5
Today is one of worst days in the last few years. Craziest part is $XLF is up.
25
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. Day 7 of ~12 in Green, watching just 1 heavy-selling day vs avg 2.6. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
1
92
Day 7 of a Green phase that usually lasts ~12 days (median 10) and is 58% done. This leg 1.2% vs typical 3.7%. Breadth diverging with more new lows than highs, momentum down, and 39% near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at 1st percentile signals healthy dispersion, not herding. VIX at 16 vs Green avg 18. Only 1 distribution day this leg vs avg 2.6 and drawdown just -0.8%. Next phase tends to be Yellow 69% or Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
24
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. Day 6 of ~12 in Green, 50% through. 0 heavy-selling days so far. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
81
Day 6 of a Green phase (median 10 days), about 50% through. Typical gain ~3.7%, this leg 2.0%. Breadth confirming: more new highs than lows, momentum rising, 73% of stocks near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at 1st percentile signals healthy dispersion, not herding. Fear gauge at 16, below the Green-phase average of 18. No heavy-selling days this leg, versus average 2.6. Drawdown just 0.1% below the recent high. Yellow tends to follow 69% of the time, Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
1
37
🟢 History says Yellow comes next ~69% of the time. 0 heavy-selling days vs 2.6 avg this leg. Follow for the daily cycle read. $SPY $QQQ $VIX
1
96
Day 5 of a Green phase that usually lasts ~12 days (median 10). Move so far 1.8% vs typical 3.7%. 42% through. Breadth confirming the phase: more new highs than lows, momentum up, 70% of stocks near 52-week highs. Stock correlation at the 1st percentile points to healthy dispersion rather than herding. Fear gauge at 16, below the Green-phase average of 18. No heavy-selling days yet versus 2.6 average. Drawdown just -0.2% from the high. Next phase is Yellow 69% of the time or Orange 23%. Not financial advice.
41
Stock Operator
@stockoperator88
May 29
05/29/26 Portfolio Update (31.6% YTD vs $SPY/IWV 10.6%) Call Spread - 9.1% $ENPH (Calls) - 1.3% $WDAY (Calls) - 1.2% XLF (Calls) - 0.8% $NOW (Calls) - 0.7% CRCL (Calls) - 0.7% $GTLB (Calls) - 0.5% TIGR (Calls) - 0.5% CRWV (Calls) - 0.5% KLAR (Calls) - 0.4% CPNG (Calls) - 0.4% MITK (Calls) - 0.4% DPRO (Calls) - 0.4% U (Calls) - 0.3% OKLO (Calls) - 0.3% SMR (Calls) - 0.2% FISV (Calls) - 0.2% STNE (Calls) - 0.1% Mag7 - 7.7% TSLA - 3.9% AMZN - 3.7% Financials - 7.3% $FIGR - 4.3% $MAIN - 1.5% RKT - 1.5% Technology - 6.7% TTMI - 2.0% TWLO - 2.0% AEVA - 1.7% PATH - 1.0% Hydrogen - 6.3% $BLDP - 4.5% BE - 1.8% Space - 5.9% $IRDM - 3.1% $RDW - 2.9% Consumer Discretionary - 5.5% CRSR - 3.5% STUB - 2.0% Crypto & Blockchain - 5.3% BMNR - 2.5% MSTR - 1.7% ORBS - 1.1% Healthcare - 3.9% UNH - 2.0% NVO - 1.9% Battery - 3.1% SGML - 2.0% QS - 1.1% Consumer Staples - 3.1% CELH - 1.6% ELF - 1.5% Emerging Markets - 3.0% SE - 2.0% MELI - 1.0% Nuclear - 2.9% LEU - 1.5% BWXT - 1.4% Solar - 2.3% NXT - 2.2% QCLS - 0.1% Long Call - 1.6% BMNR (Calls) - 0.6% DQ (Calls) - 0.5% FXY (Calls) - 0.5% Indices & ETFs (Broad Market) - 0.9% PANL - 0.9% Fixed Income - 27.8% VWOB - 4.0% SPHY - 3.8% STRC - 3.7% EMLC - 3.7% BIZD - 3.6% MGRB - 1.9% FSCO - 1.8% OXLC - 1.6% AGNC - 1.5% MFA - 1.0% FTAIN - 0.8% FRMM - 0.3% Cash - 0.1% Nice way to end the week. Account is up 31% ytd now and most of the moves we made last week are panning out quickly. NOW, WDAY, VEEV, and RKT all got added into the portfolio while we trimmed some data centers and electricity names. Looking forward to next week and think we need a pullback. The market is definitely overheated atm with the CORR index at 8.
190
Load more