entered 2026 and while the markets are slow, i've had time to reach out and speak with teams building in prediction markets
a lot of projects grinding through 2024-25 are still here, still shipping
(also happy to have referred some of these legends to nitro)
some things i'm tracking:
> @polysights_: AI-powered polymarket analytics. 30 custom metrics, arbitrage detection across markets, AI summaries via Vertex AI/Gemini.
includes "Beta Insider Finder" for unusual wallet tracking real-time news feeds.
basically the bloomberg terminal for prediction markets.
>
@Inframarkets: energy & power prediction markets on Solana.
trade ERCOT LMP, PJM capacity, natural gas prices, weather events, BTC hashrate.
first protocol making real-world commodity volatility tradable onchain and settles in USDC.
>
@almanac_market: solves early-horizon accuracy in prediction markets.
rewards traders for being right early via time-weighted scoring.
traditional PMs drift toward 50% until final hours and almanac gives signal when decisions actually need to be made.
consistency premiums for sustained accuracy.
>
@Forkast : esports prediction markets integrated into livestreams.
partnered with Arbitrum (250ms blocks) GRID (official esports data oracle).
streamers launch custom markets for audiences in real-time.
watch CS2/Valorant, trade outcomes live, all in one app.
> polyshares (coming soon) : tokenizes private company equity loyalty programs on
@solana.
companies issue "Company Coins" via foundation entities holding shares.
tokens have business utility (redeemable benefits) economic rights (buybacks, distributions).
unlocks $100T trapped in private markets for web2 companies.
>
@forumdotmarket: attention markets for entertainment, politics, trends.
aggregates search, social, streaming data into tradable indices.
trade attention itself just like you would trade commodities. validates the thesis that cultural relevance is a tradable asset class.
>
@Polygun_ : telegram bot for polymarket.
copy trade top wallets automatically, instant mobile execution, gas-free trading, limit orders real-time PnL. also has AI probability modeling and volume spike alerts.
turns PM trading from browser friction into telegram-native speed.
>
@omina_bot: telegram terminal for kalshi.
mobile-first kalshi trading interface built for telegram.
instant execution, market discovery, portfolio tracking.
brings kalshi prediction markets to mobile via chat interface.
>
@HyperOddX: leveraged prediction markets.
offers up to 20x leverage on politics, sports, crypto, stocks, weather.
turns $100 into $2,000 market exposure. currently in testnet, launching soon.