Straightforward Technical and Macroeconomic Analysis for BTC. #Macro #ElliotWaves #Ichimoku #VWAP #Gann #SMC #Harmonics #Vectors #CVD #MarketProfile #Internals
Joined November 2016
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11 Mar 2025
Around 6 months ago, I decided to start posting my daily price targets on X (mainly because I started getting way too accurate to simply keep it to myself), but also as a social experiment to prove 2 things:
- bitcoin is most definitely predictable
- despite getting high quality analysis for free, people still won’t value that priceless information and will follow scammers and influencers instead, chasing the quick wins with projects that all eventually rug.
The markets are doing what the markets have always done. Question is, can we wisen up and be more disciplined in how we approach it?
Conservative and risk mitigated crypto strategists will eventually outperform the herd, just know it.
I’ll always suggest Price action strategies on the large to mid caps despite the constant low hanging fruits bombarded in our face in this turbulent industry, and thus I can only earnestly suggest that you all do the same 🙏
So please, unless you know your way around sniping bots and are deep in the trenches, stop listening to clowns like @MustStopMurad. Stop tracking projects. Instead, track the macros and technicals. Simple⚡️
#CRYPTO #BitcoinReserve #CryptoCommunity #cryptocurrency #CryptoTrading
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#BTC - Markets getting spooked - IMO the 2 main catalysts are rotation into equities for another leg up (alphabet, upcoming AI IPOs) and sell the news on the CLARITY act: deleveraging amidst weak liquidity prior to the next big moves - aka liquidity falling below leverage.
Macro crosswinds (changing FED chair) plus inflations uncertainties (Hormuz choked, but lets be real all producers will overproduce to make up for production shortfalls, most recent inflation prints are actually positive) hence the shakiness and juking in every direction; honestly just buy every dip so long as were above 58k (2nd standard dev below annual VWAP).
On larger timeframes ppl talking about bottoming after 700-800 days post halving etc, honestly just buy dips spot on alts - simple fear and greed spot DCA strategy on alts will outperform leveraged positions in such conditions - there’s potential 3xs all over the place.
I also view it as part and parcel of the larger bond yields repricing - MSTR’s share price fell below its BTC NAV simply because of leverage risk repricing amidst the dual FED policy and inflation uncertainties.
Stay resilient and light on leverage!
Updated Elliot wave levels given below
#CryptoMarket #bitcoinnewsdaily
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Same scenario in private credit - redemptions wave. Add to that post earnings repricing/sell the news effect and yeah. Interesting to see the decoupling with equities last couple weeks and then now again recoupling. In a clear three body problem with gold, esp with all near ATH territory. Since nominal prices acting like an “everything rally” (happens when both credit and monetary policy are easing) despite the mounting credit risk, the credit component of that had to snap back to correct. The corrections prior were in response to monetary policy shifts - rate cuts postponement due to inflation, but the mounting credit risk needed to be reflected hence the current drops.
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BitTrackDaily - 100% WINRATE LEVELS retweeted
BTC: Bitcoin is on its way higher. The next upside fibonacci level is located at $87,000. No change to the plan.
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Could this have played out more perfectly? Got our rally to 83k region yesterday finally.
$BTC - So 76k (the level we’re working on rn) is super relevant - pi cycle support line, we’ve been trending down last couple months so that’s the bull/bear pivot.
83k is 1st standard deviation of annual VWAP, so that will be a major level, 92k is the 2nd standard dev. (Midlines are also relevant so 88k ish potentially relevant also). Annual VWAP currently 74k so that’s also a relevant support
#crypto
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BitTrackDaily - 100% WINRATE LEVELS retweeted
Apr 27
Unpopular opinion:
The first macro cycle since 2020 may finally be starting.
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$BTC - So 76k (the level we’re working on rn) is super relevant - pi cycle support line, we’ve been trending down last couple months so that’s the bull/bear pivot.
83k is 1st standard deviation of annual VWAP, so that will be a major level, 92k is the 2nd standard dev. (Midlines are also relevant so 88k ish potentially relevant also). Annual VWAP currently 74k so that’s also a relevant support
#crypto
$BTC - perfect price performance at the exact support level indicated (65.7k), and now perfect rally up to Annual VWAP pre FOMC (exact time mentioned to see volume flow)
Now, need to get above 75.6k (annual VWAP) and stay there to signal underlying strength, and consolidating above 78.8k before the end of March will officially call corrective phase to end. anything short of that and we're still not done correcting.
Retest of 70k region probable as next move, bearish below 65k.
update elliot wave count also provided below
#crypto
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BitTrackDaily - 100% WINRATE LEVELS retweeted
Mar 26
Position sizing is one of the most overlooked trading skills because it feels boring compared to entries and targets. Yet size is often what decides whether a trader can think clearly or not. When size is too large, every price move feels personal and judgment narrows. When size is appropriate, price can move without hijacking decision making. Good position sizing protects not just capital, but clarity. It allows traders to stay objective long enough for skill to matter.
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$BTC - As foretold in the prophecy on X 🙈 - my calls never miss ✌️
About to reach 2 years with perfect calls on here 😇
#CryptoMarkets #Bitcoin
$BTC - perfect price performance at the exact support level indicated (65.7k), and now perfect rally up to Annual VWAP pre FOMC (exact time mentioned to see volume flow)
Now, need to get above 75.6k (annual VWAP) and stay there to signal underlying strength, and consolidating above 78.8k before the end of March will officially call corrective phase to end. anything short of that and we're still not done correcting.
Retest of 70k region probable as next move, bearish below 65k.
update elliot wave count also provided below
#crypto
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$BTC - perfect price performance at the exact support level indicated (65.7k), and now perfect rally up to Annual VWAP pre FOMC (exact time mentioned to see volume flow)
Now, need to get above 75.6k (annual VWAP) and stay there to signal underlying strength, and consolidating above 78.8k before the end of March will officially call corrective phase to end. anything short of that and we're still not done correcting.
Retest of 70k region probable as next move, bearish below 65k.
update elliot wave count also provided below
#crypto
$BTC - moving as expected - will be this way until FOMC on 17th most probably,
Slight update: currently the support without invalidating upward count is at 65.7k
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$BTC - moving as expected - will be this way until FOMC on 17th most probably,
Slight update: currently the support without invalidating upward count is at 65.7k
$BTC - we back - recovery going as expected, can drop as low as 67k without invalidating upward momentum, but we need to see consolidation above 77k to really confirm
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$BTC - we back - recovery going as expected, can drop as low as 67k without invalidating upward momentum, but we need to see consolidation above 77k to really confirm
We back if we form support at this level 😇
#CryptoRecovery
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We back if we form support at this level 😇
#CryptoRecovery
$BTC - sorry I haven’t been active, beyond busy. limit orders at 56k, previous relevant level 71.5k the level to retake to bring back upside momentum.
The entire market is ranging, not just crypto - take gold’s volatility on the 2nd of feb for example. liquidity hunting basically. You’ll know when it’s over, will be more active then. During these slow times, just follow your favourite Elliot wave theorist for levels i really dont have the time.
#Bitcoin2026
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BitTrackDaily - 100% WINRATE LEVELS retweeted
Feb 28
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$BTC - Volatility will return soon. Path of most pain. Once the hype dies out, the real moves restart.
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$BTC - sorry I haven’t been active, beyond busy. limit orders at 56k, previous relevant level 71.5k the level to retake to bring back upside momentum.
The entire market is ranging, not just crypto - take gold’s volatility on the 2nd of feb for example. liquidity hunting basically. You’ll know when it’s over, will be more active then. During these slow times, just follow your favourite Elliot wave theorist for levels i really dont have the time.
#Bitcoin2026
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$BTC - and there we go. still not done consolidating though, can go as low as 71k in search of bottom.
#CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #CryptoCrash #CryptoNews
17 Dec 2025
$BTC - eyes on 76.5k
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$BTC - pivotal moment. we go up if we consolidate above 89k, we go down if we consolidate below 86k
#CryptoCommunity #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket
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