Latest Roy Morgan poll 2pp
ALP leads both the L-NP Coalition and One Nation on a two-party preferred basis – for the first time the result between ALP and One Nation is closer than between ALP and L-NP Coalition
On a two-party preferred basis (based on how electors said they’d ’vote’ their preferences) ALP 55.5% (up 2.5%) is ahead of L-NP 44.5% (down 2.5%). When preferences are allocated based on how Australians voted at the 2025 Federal Election, ALP 53.5% (up 1.5%) leads L-NP 46.5% (down 1.5%).
In many electorates at the Election the contest is set to be between the ALP and One Nation. When preferences are allocated for Coalition, Greens, Independent, and Other Party supporters between the ALP and One Nation the Morgan Poll estimates the ALP 53.5% leading One Nation 46.5% - the same as a week ago.