Investor & analyst. Tech, consumer, value.

Joined January 2026
64 Photos and videos
Has the staples rally arrived? The great rotation? $CPB
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$SJM reports that after AI, people still eat peanut butter and jelly 8.3%
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Chewy ($CHWY) The value net of cash and inventory sits around $6.50 billion, which translates to a revenue multiple of 0.52x and an adj EBITDA multiple of 9.0x. And it's a recurring revenue business! Its signature Autoship subscription program accounts for 84% of total net sales for the full fiscal year, with 14% YoY growth Something's gotta give here...
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“The restructuring is expected to lift 2026 free cash flow excluding acquisition and restructuring costs to about $420 million, roughly $20 million above the prior plan, despite a projected $50 million hit to bookings and $25 million reduction in revenue for the year.” Seems actually bullish for $WIX as a value play. 5.2x forward P/FCF
*WIX: EXPECTS ~$50M BOOKINGS DECREASE, $25M REV DECREASE IN FY26 *WIX: DECREASES DUE ALIGNMENT AND MORE PRONOUNCED SLOWDOWN $WIX filed an 8K decreasing guidance and confirming the 20% workforce layoffs. $WIX down 11%
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Crazy that $CPB is being removed from the S&P 500 after 69 consecutive years.
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Market crashes to, checks notes, last week's levels
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I get that these insane candles look like dotcom, but it’s also rational behavior for companies benefitting from a massive tailwind to re-rate meaningfully and quickly when they show proof points. It’s not all speculation and euphoria. And still: many of these names may need to fall a bit before they continue to rise. I personally would not own SanDisk here after the last re-doubling. I do think Dell showed that it deserves a massive re-rate.
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What if $MRVL is simply Broadcom 2.0 ($2T market cap)
$MRVL is now up over 40% because Jensen said so. This is dotcom 2.0
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Q2 themes basket (equal-weighted) update: 51.9% avg return since Mar 31 close Standouts: AMBQ 221% AMD 153% CRDO 137% MRVL 122% PANW 83% AVGO 55% ZM 40% GOOGL 28% AMZN 24% NVDA 29% Steady: AAPL 21% SNAP 24% GETY 26% WMG 23% META 6% CRM 6% Laggards: NU -9.6% MELI -3% PGR flat
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Oatly $OTLY at 0.9x P/S is interesting. Too much debt is their problem.
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Let’s talk $PSUS This is a concentrated portfolio of large cap public companies trading at a 30% discount to NAV. Seems like a very wide gap for a basket of high quality businesses… Would think this has to close to ~10%?
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This was my worst call of the year
Claude told me to use DigitalOcean to run a headless agent I built. Went to buy some. Figured it was a casualty of the software selloff. Nope. Sheeeeeesh welcome to the Claude effect... $DOCN
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Market now factor indiscriminate, ignoring bad news, and melting up?
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Well that worked out
$IBM being a quantum stock with a 3% yield and amazing legacy business is pretty entertaining. Now, the admin is taking a piece. I was already eyeing it as an unloved AI beneficiary. Forced to buy a chunk today in case it runs away.
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Power demand is insatiable- and yet the world’s best solar market is collapsing from over-supply. Perhaps a note of caution for other commodity tech, like memory.
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Ok so basically Dell pulled off an amazing neocloud transition that is now being marked to market. Not as insane as I thought.
$DELL action is insane. Congrats to holders. Can’t wrap my ahead around how it works from here.
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$DELL action is insane. Congrats to holders. Can’t wrap my ahead around how it works from here.
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