Joined March 2020
679 Photos and videos
The Spurs didn't have a De'Aaron Fox problem. They had a coaching problem.
According to ESPN Analytics, in the 4 games the Spurs lost in the NBA Finals, they had a... — 91.6% chance of winning Game 1 up 13 points midway thru the 3rd — 72.8% chance of winning Game 2 up 2 points with 1 minute left in the 4th — 99.6% chance of winning Game 4 up 20 points with 9:33 left in the 4th — 95.4% chance of winning Game 5 up 10 points with 7:54 left in the 4th
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Rising real net worth for people over their lifetime is par for the course. The typical Baby Boomer is indeed doing better than prior generations at the same age. But, so too is the typical Millennial and Gen-Xer.
The median of the wealth held by 65-plus Americans is 47x that of the 18–34 cohort. Yet, most old Americans are living modestly or struggling because just 20% of senior households control nearly 90% of senior-held wealth. trib.al/mVvROWj
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Simplesmente o prefeito de Nova York citando CORINTHIANS, SÓCRATES e DEMOCRACIA CORINTHIANA no discurso de hoje sobre a Copa do Mundo

Mayor Mamdani Hosts “The Morning Pitch” to Provide Traffic and Weather Updates Ahead of World Cup x.com/i/broadcasts/1AJEmmkea…
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
the important thing for me is that first day trading is basically divorced from company fundamentals today far less important of a data point than, say, a year from now
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Piketty et al claim "the promise that economic growth would 'lift all boats' has not been kept." Yet Piketty's own data show that for the first time in 4 centuries global inequality improved in recent history. We want more global growth, not less.
no, they didn't.
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I feel like everyone is blaming Fox, which is of course fair because he made a lot of bad decisions, but isn't really the blame with Mitch Johnson, who seemed to be unable to get the team to just run out the clock?
NEW @YahooSports: The late turnover. The ill-advised layup. The baffling decision to leave OG. The epic collapse confirmed a hard truth: the Spurs have a De'Aaron Fox problem. sports.yahoo.com/nba/article…
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
OG Anunoby game-winner x Father Stretch My Hands Pt. 1 😭😭🔥🔥 Absolute cinema
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I think Knicks fans have been engaging in a lot of histrionics about the officiating this series, but this game is objectively being called very poorly. Two missed goaltends in a row (both of which benefit San Antonio) is egregious.
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GS estimating that consensus estimates for hyperscaler AI capex next year of $920 billion are ***too conservative*** and instead the right number is between $1-1.4 *trillion.* We're either at the bottom of a mountain or at the top of a cliff!! Exhilarating!!!! Terrifying!!!!
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Knicks definitely haven't gotten any help from the MSG crowd, which is objectively terrible/clearly filled with a bunch of people that regularly don't go to basketball games. That's what you get when the median ticket is $7k!
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
cracks in the facade starting to spread morningstar.com/stocks/why-w…
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Essential work from @HannoLustig, showing *~20%* of all tradeable SpaceX shares will be bought by index funds, who changed their rules to ensure that everyone's retirement account will have a long position in a company claiming it's TAM is ~=US GDP. thetwocents.substack.com/p/p…
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If you had a forecast of gasoline peaking at around $4.65, and then declining 40cpg *while the Strait remained closed the entire time* then you need to open your hedge fund immediately if you're not already at one.
Today's $4.164/gal US average price from AAA is about 40cts/gal below the May peak, which could be approached again during the driving season. Next Sunday is the four-year anniversary of the all-time high water mark of $5.016/gal. Mostly sideways moves likely this week.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
This is coming from a famous economist, so it's probably worth clarifying that there's no economics in this report showing that their degrowth pathway is either an ideal or likely decarbonization path. It's an opinion they work backwards from.
Replying to @PikettyWIL
The key finding of the report is that energy transition alone will not suffice. We need to combine it with "sufficiency" to stay within 2 degrees. This includes labour hour reductions, growth caps in rich countries, less material consumption, and changes in food habits.
Community note
This report uses a ~4.8°C baseline. In May 2026, the U.N. climate panel officially retired this scenario (RCP8.5) as "implausible." Updated projection: ~3.5°C. Sources: NYT & Washington Post, May 2026. nytimes.com/2026/05/26/cli… washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro… lemonde.fr/en/environment…
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Between this and how high I thought oil prices would be by now, I am officially retiring from the prediction game of any kind. If anything, I am perfectly negatively correlated with observed outcomes.
Replying to @IrvingSwisher
Unfortunately Air Corgi will be wrong this time (the Spurs will win in 5, barring significant Spurs injuries).
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GS estimating that there's been 4-5mbpd (~4-5%) reduction in demand in April. Imo, this Huge Chinese inventory draws Robust U.S. exports Trump jawboning Are the primary reasons many analysts (myself included) were wrong about magnitude of price increases from SoH closure.
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You saw a solid jobs report with meaningful upwards revisions and expected the market to pop? Honey. Oh, honey. Let me sit you down and explain to you how it works.
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"Biden should have run in 2024." "? He did run. Remember how that worked out?" "I'm not talking about Joe."
Things most Americans agree on: Groceries cost too much. Tariffs suck and make no sense. Congress and Presidents shouldn’t trade stocks. The debt is a mess. The border should be secure, but legal immigration is good. Endless wars are stupid, especially ones that nobody wants and have never been explained. Americans are exhausted. AI is like my new best friend that also might be trying to take my job, my ability to think for myself, and my humanity in the process. Yo like I love you, but WTF, but I still love you. Diversity is actually awesome! The opposite is boring AF. Canadians are super fucking cool. Mexicans are chill. Putin isn’t a good guy looking out for America’s best interest. Rocky IV and Miracle are great movies. Good neighbors are a blessing. Freedom of religion and coexistence without having to blow each other up is probably a good idea. We all question, are we alone in the universe? We all fuck up along the way. Epstein didn’t hang himself. The Trumps and Epstein were best friends for decades. It’s like Bert trying to tell us Ernie was just an acquaintance in the same social scene on Sesame Street back in the day. The Cowboys suck. Go Birds! Things we’re told to fight about: Me. Laptop. Vaccines. Transgenders in sports. Pronouns. That’s the joke.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Shame @conorsen and I couldn't be there for Jobs Day spaces Pretty clearly a solid jobs report Job growth bouncing back from 2025 slowdown Total labor income growth is starting to show signs of stabilizing and picking up. Prime-age employment ticked up to 80.8%
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