Intraday Sentiment Fluctuation Analysis Report — 2025.10.30
1. Intraday Sentiment Fluctuation Analysis
Overall Trend: Slightly Positive
Over the past 24 hours, the sentiment Z-score fluctuated within the range of [-2.77, 2.57], with a mean of approximately 0.08, indicating a slightly positive but highly volatile sentiment environment.
Extreme Sentiment Points (|Z| > 2)
Timestamp Z-Score Price Movement Sentiment Phase Interpretation 2025-10-29 12:30
2.58 112652 → 112668 Extreme optimism, minor price gain 2025-10-29 13:15
2.20 112756 → 112826 High optimism, price uptick continues 2025-10-29 14:00
2.57 112987 → 113033 Peak optimism, moderate price rise 2025-10-29 16:15
2.32 113273 → 113255 Strong optimism, slight pullback
Timestamp Z-Score Price Movement Sentiment Phase Interpretation 2025-10-30 02:30
-2.77 111385 → 109689 Extreme pessimism, sharp price drop 2025-10-30 02:45
-1.93 109689 → 110743 Deep pessimism, partial recovery
Intraday Sentiment Rhythm:
Morning session: Moderate volatility with mixed sentiment
Afternoon: Multiple extreme optimism peaks ( Z > 2)
Late evening to early morning: Sharp sentiment deterioration with extreme pessimism
Pre-dawn hours: Gradual stabilization from negative extremes
2. Sentiment Extremes vs. Price Relationship
Sentiment Zone Avg Price Change Sentiment-Price Alignment Rate
Z < -1.5 -0.45% 42%
|Z| ≤ 1.5 0.08% 55%
Z > 1.5 0.15% 58%
Trend Conclusion:
Extreme sentiment zones (|Z|>1.5) show amplified price movements
Positive extremes correlate with modest gains but low alignment rate (58%)
Negative extremes show stronger predictive power for price declines
Market shows tendency for mean reversion after sentiment extremes
3. Current Market Status Summary
Metric Value/Status
Sentiment Temp Z= 0.43, mildly positive
Sentiment Momentum Moderate volatility, Z-std: 0.028
Price Trend 110,300-110,500 range consolidation
Risk Signal No extreme sentiment (|Z|<2)
4. Key Conclusions
Market sentiment shows mild positivity but remains within normal volatility ranges.
Price action indicates consolidation after overnight volatility, with support forming near 110,300.
Recent extreme sentiment episodes suggest continued choppy trading conditions.
Short-term outlook: range-bound with potential for breakout on sentiment catalyst.