According to
@ARKInvest’s research, humanoid robots are 200,000 times more complex than robotaxis to develop. Given Elon’s first principle’s approach and dogged determination, we project that
@Tesla’s Optimus will begin to transform factory life, then home life, in 2028/2029.
Elon Musk on why Optimus is so brutally hard to build (hardware side):
“The hands are the majority of the engineering difficulty of the entire robot.”
Human hands evolved insane sophistication — ~27–28 degrees of freedom, complex tendon web (mostly forearm muscles), crazy dexterity.
No supply chain exists. Tesla had to design every single actuator, motor, gearbox & electronics from physics first principles.
“Harder than Cybertruck or Model X…
somewhere between Model X and Starship.”
Optimus v3 finally aiming for true human-level hand performance.
The “hands problem” is massively underestimated.