@0xMemoryQueen profile picture
MemoryQueen @0xMemoryQueen

AI Infra & Memory Semiconductor Analyst | Storage supercycle thesis | AlphaGBM Founder | Subscribe πŸ‘‡ alphagbm.substack.com

Joined January 2022
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Counterintuitive finding from our LTA (Long-Term Agreement) scenario analysis on memory names:PE re-rating effect ( 150% from 6xβ†’15x) dwarfs the actual profit impact (~50%).LTAs don't boost earnings much β€” they prove de-cyclicality. That's the real alpha. πŸ“Š#AlphaGBM #HBM
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BofA just double-upgraded $INTC from Underperform straight to Buy (TP $135) β€” one of the rarest moves on the Street.Meanwhile $SNDK seeing $564M in net institutional inflows yesterday, leading ALL US equities.Storage sentiment flipping fast. πŸ”„#AlphaGBM #Semiconductor
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SpaceX debuts on Nasdaq today at $135/share β€” the largest IPO in history at $1.75T valuation.Risk appetite signal: when a $75B raise gets oversubscribed, capital is hunting for moonshots.Memory/AI supercycle names watching closely. πŸš€#AlphaGBM #SpaceX #IPO
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The pull-in makes sense when you look at the economics. Current CoWoS at ~170K wafers/month by 2027 still can't keep up with >9.5x reticle demand. CoPoS on glass-core substrates should dramatically improve package yield for ultra-large interposers β€” that's the real bottleneck
Jukan
@jukan05
Jun 11
Wow! TSMC has pulled in CoPoS from 2029 to 2028!
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Montage Tech just sampled DDR5 RCD06 at 9200 MT/s β€” 15% faster than Gen5. AI server memory upgrade cycle is real and accelerating from HBM down to standard DRAM. The whole stack moves. #AlphaGBM #DDR5 #MemorySupercycle
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Memory options screaming bearish β€” SMH P/C ratio hit 7.78, storage sentiment score at -8. Yet $68M institutional block hit MU yesterday. Max divergence before Warsh's first FOMC on 6/16. Someone's wrong. #AlphaGBM #Semiconductors #FOMC
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SK Hynix Γ— NVIDIA multi-year deal to co-develop next-gen memory for AI factories. HBM is now the bottleneck gating GPU shipments β€” not TSMC, not power. Memory IS the supercycle. #AlphaGBM #HBM #AIMemory
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Apple WWDC Siri AI underwhelmed β†’ AAPL -4%. But here's the contrarian read: every device upgrade cycle = more DRAM per unit. The real AI infrastructure bottleneck isn't software β€” it's the 8-12 HBM stacks on every GPU. Memory is the gatekeeper. #AlphaGBM #WWDC #Storage
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SOXX fear index at 60.6 β€” officially in bottom zone. Equipment stocks seeing massive institutional inflows while put/call ratios spike on storage names. The AI memory supercycle doesn't care about your rate cut timeline. Supply deficit > Fed noise. #AlphaGBM #HBM #AIMemory
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Korea memory stocks just printed the signal: SK Hynix 16%, Samsung 9% today. Meanwhile US memory names dipped on non-farm payroll repricing. When Asia leads and US options load puts, it's classic divergence before convergence. FOMC 6/16 is the catalyst. #AlphaGBM #Memory
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Lesson I keep relearning: RSI deep in overbought on a re-rating stock isn't "topping," it's repricing. Built a trend-health gate today β€” MA stack ROC volume confirm. If the trend is healthy, I hold through the heat. #AlphaRWA #TradingPsychology #Risk
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Today's analyst revisions on memory names are not small tweaks — Wells Fargo more than doubled its MU target, Cantor 114%, Mizuho stepped up again. BofA pushed SNDK 35%. Daiwa flipped bear→bull. AI memory supercycle is getting priced, not whispered. #AlphaRWA #AI #Semis
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Panic flipped overnight. Memory put/call ratios collapsed across the board (MU, SNDK, STX all sub-1) while a massive block of US flow swept into MU. When the tape says "buyers," I stop reading the headlines. #AlphaRWA #Memory #HBM
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SK Hynix signs multi-year tech partnership with NVIDIA. Samsung Foundry targets Q3 profitability with 2nm yield above 60%.The AI infra buildout isn't slowing β€” it's just repricing after a crowded unwind.Volatility is the entry fee, not the exit sign. #HBM #AIInfra
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Crowded AI positions unwound fast Friday β€” AVGO guidance triggered a chain liquidation across semis. MU -13%, NVDA -6%, Samsung -10%.But futures already flipped green overnight. Overcrowded exits often mark short-term bottoms.Watching for confirmation this week. #RiskManagement
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Storage put/call ratios spiking to extremes today. SMH P/C >11, SOXX P/C ~15.Translation: the options market is pricing in max fear on memory chips.Historically, extreme P/C readings mark capitulation zones β€” not the start of bear trends.Stay data-driven. Fear has a price.
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AVGO -14% post-earnings dragged the entire memory chip complex down. MU, SNDK, Korea names all bleeding.But here's the thing: when hardware panics, tokenized infrastructure keeps building. Ethereum RWAs just hit $17B β€” up 315% YoY.Volatility is the price of admission.#AlphaRWA
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DRAM contract prices 58-63% QoQ in Q2 2026 after 90% in Q1. IDC now forecasts DRAM revenue nearly tripling to $418.6B this year. Data centers consume 70% of all memory chips β€” up from 20% in 2022. The AI supercycle is real, and it's priced in silicon. #AlphaRWA #Semiconductors
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BTC crashed 6% to ~$66.7K on Jun 2 β€” worst day in 4 months. Strategy's first-ever BTC sale Mt. Gox transfer record ETF outflows = perfect storm. $1.23B liquidated. Hidden bullish divergence forming? Watching the $65K support. #AlphaRWA #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets
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Samsung just shipped 12-layer HBM4E samples β€” first in the industry. NVDA Data Center revenue 92% Blackwell 70% of DC mix, Rubin ramping 2H. The bottleneck isn't GPUs anymore. It's the 8-12 HBM stacks sitting next to them. Memory is the new oil. ⚑ #AlphaRWA #Semiconductors
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