i suspect there's some kind of cycle of cope and ego where, like, these guys want to be the prophets and storytellers who light the way to the future and play with its shadows, but they already fucked up early on by dismissing LLMs and going for legible consensus status instead of encountering the future as it arrived ahead of the crowd, so the frontier passed them by, and now in order to catch up to it and learn from it they have not only a lot of distance to cover, but a huge amount of ego-inertia; they'd have to be publicly wrong, and risk being cringe, and without the lived momentum of surfing the unfolding wave of the future as a visionary and feeling the reality of that more profound reward than instant consensus recognition that comes from reaching toward the visionary engine at the end of time, they are lost and only know to play the losing game of clinging to and proselytizing a bygone world where they themselves belonged to the class of prophets who saw further and more boldly.
maybe sci-fi authors all seem to hate actual AI progress because it legitimately makes it dramatically harder to write sci-fi. setting a halfway realistic story even 5 years into the future now, let alone 10 , forces you to have opinions about how the singularity will go. otherwise you are writing alternate history in a timeline that is probably less interesting than just the actual facts on the ground about what's already happening
generally the closer we get to the singularity the harder it will become to write sci-fi without being an expert on a bunch of things that, if you really were an expert on those things, you'd probably have more lucrative things to do with your time than write sci-fi. in the limit only frontier lab employees and frontier models will be capable of writing sci-fi