Founder of ALPHA INSIGHTS, a weekly publication analyzing global equity markets for changing leadership trends emphasizing actionable long & short stock ideas.

Joined August 2018
497 Photos and videos
🔥Hot Off The Press! 🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #58 "Houston...We Have a Problem" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/p/…
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$SPCX vs. $MSFT At their respective highs today, the two companies were approximately equal in market-cap at just under $3 trillion. But over the last 12 months: -Microsoft generated $125 billion in net income on $318 billion in sales. -SpaceX generated a $9 billion net loss on $19 billion in sales. Q: When will SpaceX generate $125 billion in net income? A: In our opinion...NEVER. Chart and data courtesy of @charliebilello
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The market-cap of $SPCX -- a company that has never generated an annual profit (and likely never will) -- is now 2.6X that of $BRKB -- one of the most profitable companies in the world.
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We had a great time catching-up with @DKellerCMT last week. You can check out our discussion below:
Are investors underestimating market risk? Jeff Huge @Alpha_Insights argues we're seeing: • Historic valuation extremes • Record concentration in a handful of stocks • Unprecedented speculative activity A thoughtful conversation about what may be happening beneath the surface of this bull market!
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$SPCX, in its current form, may never generate a full-year profit. Tesla took almost 18 years to earn its first full-year profit, from its founding in 2003 to its first profitable year in 2020. Today, Tesla is one of the most overvalued stocks in the S&P 500 at 15x TTM sales. At its IPO price, SpaceX is valued at 6x the valuation of Tesla. This makes Elon Musk the greatest poker player in history!
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Microsoft just banned its own engineers from using AI. The tool was literally costing MORE than the humans it was supposed to replace. They lied to you about AI adoption and now the whole narrative is blowing up: Microsoft gave thousands of engineers access to Claude Code six months ago and encouraged them to use it. Engineers loved it and adoption exploded. But then the invoices arrived. Token-based pricing means every query, every code review, every debugging session costs money. At scale across 100,000 engineers, the numbers became so large that Microsoft issued an internal order to cancel nearly all Claude Code licenses by end of June and force everyone onto their own cheaper tool instead. The company that invested $5 billion in Anthropic just told its own people to stop using Anthropic's product because it costs too much. Uber's story is even worse... Their CTO Praveen Neppalli Naga told The Information that the budget he planned for the full year was "blown away already" by April. Uber had rolled out Claude Code in December 2025. By March, 84% of their 5,000 engineers were using it with 70% of all committed code coming from AI systems. Heavy users were burning $500 to $2,000 per month each. Naga himself spent $1,200 in a single two-hour demo session. The company had even built internal leaderboards ranking engineers by how much AI they used. They literally gamified the spending and then ran out of money. Now look at what Nvidia's own VP of applied deep learning Bryan Catanzaro said to Axios last month. Direct quote: "For my team, the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees." This is a VP at the company that SELLS the chips saying that using AI is more expensive than paying humans. Think about what this means for the entire AI narrative. Every CEO on every earnings call for the past two years has said the same thing: AI will make us more efficient, reduce headcount, and cut costs. The stock market rewarded every company that said it. Fired workers, stock goes up. Announced AI adoption, stock goes up. But the actual companies deploying AI at scale are discovering the math doesn't work. The MORE employees use AI, the HIGHER the bill. Goldman Sachs forecasts a 24x increase in token consumption by 2030 as companies adopt AI agents. Gartner just published a report showing that even though individual token prices will drop 90% by 2030, total enterprise AI costs will go UP because agents consume exponentially more tokens per task than basic tools. Meta built an internal dashboard called "Claudeonomics" to track which employees use the most AI. Amazon started pushing engineers to "tokenmaxx," their internal term for consuming as many AI tokens as possible. Both companies are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure this year alone. And Microsoft, the company that bet its entire future on AI, just told 100,000 engineers to stop using the tool they liked best because the per-token bills got out of control. The companies building AI are telling investors it saves money. The companies using AI are finding out it costs more than the humans it was supposed to replace. And even the company that makes the chips just admitted it through its own VP. This is the gap nobody on Wall Street is pricing in. $725 billion in AI infrastructure spending this year across Big Tech. And the first companies to actually deploy these tools at scale are already pulling back because the economics don't work. What do you think?
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Yesterday, we had the immense pleasure of speaking with Jim Puplava on his Financial Sense Podcast. We discussed the stock market's unprecedented valuations, excessive leverage, and narrow market leadership in tech, especially semiconductors. In addition, weak market breadth and non-confirmation signals suggest caution amid the current AI-fueled mania. We make the case for commodities, gold, and agricultural assets as poised to outperform. Finally, we forecast a market correction into fall, long-term strength in precious metals, and stress innovative, globally diversified investment strategies for uncertain times. You can listen to our full discussion at the following link: financialsense.com/podcast/2…
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🔥Hot Off The Press!🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #57 "The Greater Fool Theory" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/pu…
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Hmmm...
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Hmmm...
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🔥Hot Off The Press!🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #56 "DUNE" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/p/…
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Our "Perfect Portfolio" global tactical asset allocation model is KILLING IT (again) at 1,500 bps vs. the S&P 500 YTD. As such, we thought that it might be helpful for investors who are interested in growing their wealth in 2026 to give our March newsletter a second look. The next issue is scheduled for publication on April 4th.
🔥Hot Off The Press!🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #55 "Bringing Home the Gold" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/pu…
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Feel free to DM me if you want to know how we do it.
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🔥Hot Off The Press!🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #55 "Bringing Home the Gold" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/pu…
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Given current market conditions, we thought it might be helpful for investors to re-read (or read) our February newsletter in order to better understand the factors that are influencing the market today and how we expect it to resolve. Have a look below...
🔥🔥 Hot Off The Press! 🔥🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #54 "The Law of Inevitability" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/p/…
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🔥🔥 Hot Off The Press! 🔥🔥 HUGE INSIGHTS: The Big Picture - Issue #54 "The Law of Inevitability" Please enjoy the free portion of the attached monthly investment newsletter with our compliments! hugeinsights.substack.com/p/…
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