It’s here! We’ve published a book. The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide is not a system, it’s a philosophy. This book is a field manual for the builders, the thinkers, and the quiet ones who stay in the game long enough to catch the outlier. Available on Amazon now: lnkd.in/gmQWxYgn #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch #Discipline #ProcessOverPrediction #AussieTurtles

The Punk Rocker of Trend Following What does it take to survive a 50% drawdown, dial the heat back up, and come out the other side with a 40-bagger on your chart? On Episode 13 of Turtle Talk, Rich Brennan, Jerry Parker, and Adam Havryliv sit down with special guest Mike Melissinos, one of the handful of genuinely uncompromising classic trend followers left standing. From a quiet summer at Bear Stearns to watching the GFC validate everything, from the trend following blues to feeling nothing when the big returns finally land, this is the honest, no fluff conversation the polished finance pods never give you. Plus the April 2026 review, SanDisk's astonishing run, and why classic trend following is punk rock. Listen here: aussieturtles.com/episode-01… #TurtleTalk #ClassicTrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #MikeMelissinos

Battle of the Trend Following Indexes: April 2026 April was the strongest trend-following month of 2026 so far, and every benchmark finished positive. Classic Trend led at 6.7%, roughly twice the next-best result. TTU TF 3.5%. IASG TF 3.4%. Systematic Momentum 3.3%. SG Trend 2.98%. SG CTA 2.6%. BTOP50 2.0%. The TTU Barometer round-tripped 66, 55, 48, 55, 50, 55 across five weeks. A tariff-driven commodity spike, a Hormuz reopening, a Hormuz re-closure, and a final week of uniform-direction energy strength delivered the bulk of the gains. The same convexity that produced March's drawdown produced April's outperformance. The peers, with lower convexity and more diversified construction, captured a smaller share of both. Full report: aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicTrading #CTA

March 2026: When Convexity Cuts Both Ways March ended trend following's two-month winning streak, with every benchmark finishing negative. A sustained three-week repricing of precious metals defined the month. Silver crashed 14.4% mid-March. Gold fell 9.6% in the same week. Energy pulled the other way, with WTI approaching $100 and Brent clearing $109. The dispersion across the seven benchmarks was 7.8 percentage points, the widest of the year. SG CTA was most defensive at -0.8%. Classic Trend gave back 8.6%, reflecting the larger embedded metals exposure carried in after February's explosive close. The TTU Barometer absorbed the pain and accelerated to 66% by month-end, a localised repricing, not a broader breakdown. Long-run picture unchanged: Classic Trend leads at 130.8% since 2020, with a cumulative advantage over the next-best benchmark exceeding 66 points. Read the full report: aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicTrading #CTA

Loose Pants & Big Trends: February 2026 Review No guests this month, just the three turtles going deep. February was a cracker for classic trend followers. But March has thrown a few spanners in the works, and Rich, Jerry, and Adam don't hold back on what it means, and what comes next. In Episode 12: February numbers: Classic Trend Index up 5.3% for the month, 14.6% for the quarter Energy breakouts: why European gas and Brent crude are the trades to watch Myth Busters: what Richard Dennis actually said about position sizing The real purpose of diversification in classic trend following 🎧 Listen now: aussieturtles.com/episode-01… #TurtleTalk #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #MythBusters

February 2026: Another Strong Month for Trend Followers All seven trend-following indexes posted gains in February. Classic Trend led at 5.3%, with metals exploding in the final week. Silver surged 12.4% and gold extended to fresh all-time highs above $5,296. The full February Battle of the Trend Following Indexes is live now. aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicTrading #CTA

🐢 Turtle Talk Podcast — Episode 011: FX Arbitrage, Regime Change, and the Return of Classic Trend Episode 011 is live. Rich Brennan, Jerry Parker, and Adam Havryliv are joined by Sanjeev Lakhanpal of Horizon3 Investment Management for a conversation covering January's rare unanimity across all seven trend benchmarks, the vol-weighting vs loose pants debate, Horizon3's market-neutral FX swap arbitrage program, and why three decades of regime change point to a return of the classic CTA environment. 🎧 Watch or listen here: aussieturtles.com/episode-01… #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #FXArbitrage #OutlierHunting

Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – January 2026 January delivered a rare moment of unanimity. All seven trend benchmarks posted gains, with Classic Trend and BTOP50 sharing the monthly lead at 5.0%. Dispersion compressed to just 1.1 percentage points, the tightest on record. Classic Trend now stands at 140.0% since January 2020. BTOP50 proved that stability need not sacrifice upside. IASG leads the trailing twelve-month window at 9.5%. A powerful start to 2026, and a clear reminder that when trends align, the entire systematic universe moves together. aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting #OutlierHunting

Savouring the Trend with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen in Zurich As part of their ongoing Savouring the Trend series, CIO Adam Havryliv and Strategy Ambassador Richard Brennan travelled to Zurich to share an evening with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen. Over dinner at Ristorante Bindella, the conversation explored Niels’ dual contribution to systematic trading: from leading European and Asian investor relations at DUNN Capital Management, LLC, to building Top Traders Unplugged into essential listening for the industry’s most serious practitioners. It was an evening defined by discipline, consistency and respect for craft. You can read the full story here: aussieturtles.com/savouring-… #trendfollowing #systematictrading #SavouringTheTrend #NielsKaastrupLarsen #TopTradersUnplugged #AussieTurtles #ECCM

🎙 Why Most Equity Returns Come From Just a Handful of Stocks Episode 010 of Turtle Talk is live, featuring Cole Wilcox (@ColeWilcoxCIO) of Longboard Asset Management alongside Jerry Parker and Rich Brennan. We explore why indices dilute trend signals, how stock-level trend following captures long-duration outliers, and why robust, systematic processes matter when markets produce moves no backtest prepared us for. The conversation spans classic trend dispersion, recent sharp reversals across metals and livestock, and the structural forces that drive real compounding over time. 👉 Listen here: aussieturtles.com/episode-01… #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #OutlierHunter #AussieTurtles

Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – December 2025 December delivered a strong finish to the year. All seven trend benchmarks ended positive or flat as Classic Trend extended its lead and IASG claimed the top spot for 2025. BTOP50 continued to anchor stability with the lowest drawdown and highest winning month ratio. A fitting close to a year of contrasts — and a clear reminder that patience in trend following is eventually rewarded. aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting #OutlierHunter

Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – November 2025 November delivered quiet gains and consolidation, not a reversal. Six of seven trend benchmarks finished positive as dispersion narrowed and leadership rotated. IASG strengthened its YTD lead, Classic Trend retained long-term dominance, and BTOP50 continued to anchor stability when trends paused. 📊 A clear snapshot of who is leading, who is stabilising, and why structure matters in trend following. 👉 aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting #OutlierHunting

Episode 009 – “Outliers, Crises, and the Architecture of Trend Following” delivers a sharp year end roundtable from the Turtle Talk team, focused on robustness, structure, and the realities of modern trend following. This month, we shift from book launch mode back into deep market mechanics, exploring how trend systems behave when markets move from calm world to rough world. ➡️ What’s inside this episode: Why Outlier Hunters Win Across Full Cycles Rich walks through calm versus rough market regimes and reveals why compounding geometry gives outlier strategies the long term edge. One Hundred and Twenty Five Years of Crisis A data driven look at crisis history and the fat tailed behaviour that defines market structure. Diversification for Outlier Hunting Jerry explains why broad, disciplined market coverage is essential for capturing the rare events that drive performance. Is Trend Following an Infinite Money Glitch Adam breaks down why systematic rules, not prediction, remain the source of robustness in uncertain environments. October’s Trend Index Rebound A quick snapshot of the latest index moves and what they signal for trend momentum heading into year end. 📌 If you care about system design, robustness, or the long arc of market behaviour, this episode belongs in your toolkit. Listen here: aussieturtles.com/episode-00… From all of us at Aussie Turtles®, thank you for supporting the show throughout 2025. We wish you a happy Christmas and a great New Year. See you in January. #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #OutlierHunter #QuantInvesting #MarketStructure #CTAPerformance

Battle of the Trend Following Indexes – October 2025 October delivered another steady month for trend followers, with all seven indexes finishing in positive territory. Classic Trend led the pack at 1.6 percent, followed by TTU and IASG at 1.5 percent. SG Trend and Systematic Momentum added 1.4 percent, while SG CTA and BTOP50 both gained 1.2 percent. The longer horizon picture remains unchanged. Classic Trend Index continues to dominate with 120.9 percent since 2020 and the strongest risk adjusted profile across the group. BTOP50 holds its place as the stabilising anchor with the lowest drawdown of 9.7 percent and the highest win rate of 61.4 percent, reinforcing its value as the dependable core of the trend universe. The message endures. Structure beats prediction. Classic powers long term compounding through broad diversification, while BTOP50 offers quiet resilience that smooths every cycle. Together they form a barbell of strength and stability. Read the full October report here: 👉 aussieturtles.com/battle-of-… #TrendFollowing #CTAs #ManagedFutures #SystematicInvesting

@RichB118 has sent me his book with a personal note all the way from Australia to India. The hardcover was only launched in the US, so he got one copy shipped to Australia and then forwarded it to me — with such a beautiful note. @adamhavryliv @rjpjr12 #Grateful #Kindness 🙏

The October Update is up at the Convex Strategies website - "History Matters". Quick look at ongoing rhetoric coming out of Fed, EU, BOJ. Some good. Some bad. Some thoughts on ABMs, SOC, and CAIA's note on TPA. Acronym stew! convex-strategies.com/2025/1…

These quotes capture the heart of our approach. Simple rules, steady discipline, and respect for uncertainty. linkedin.com/posts/aussie-tu…

We didn’t set out to write a book... We set out to build a guide. A guide for those who’ve lived through drawdowns, doubted their edge, and stayed in the game long enough to catch something that changed everything. Or for those who have stayed curious and now want to understand that in order to catch the wave, you need to be in the water when it arrives. We are incredibly proud to share The Aussie Turtles Trend Following Guide. Available now on Amazon: amazon.com.au/Aussie-Turtles… #TrendFollowing #SystematicTrading #AussieTurtles #BookLaunch #Discipline #ProcessOverPrediction #AussieTurtles