This Week in Trend: A Reversal Week Splits the Tape
Last week's risk-off partly unwound, but the recovery was anything but uniform.
Equities and crypto rebounded, with the Nikkei adding nearly five percent to a fresh record and bitcoin bouncing more than five percent. The petroleum complex broke the other way, both crude benchmarks down more than six percent as the early-June rebound fully unwound. The precious metals fell on the week but rallied hard into Friday, and the dollar eased back below one hundred.
The story sits in the indicators, and this week they pulled apart. The TTU Trend Barometer held at forty-three percent, Neutral for a second week, its rate of change firming to Rising Moderately. Yet the SG Trend Index gave back ground, slipping to up about nine and a half percent on the year.
Why the divergence? The barometer measures whether markets are trending. The index measures whether the trends a system held actually paid. This week the reversal whipsawed them: the markets were still trending, they just stopped trending the way last week's positioning was built for.
The opportunity was directional, but not directionally biased.
Read the full report:
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