Infectious disease epidemiologist and modeller based at @ChariteBerlin | PhD @LSHTM | MSc @ImperialCollege | Bluesky: @BQuilty

Joined May 2009
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28 Nov 2024
Very happy to share our new study out today in NEJM, showing fewer PCV doses are non-inferior to standard schedules in maintaining control of vaccine-type carriage in Vietnam. This could make vaccination programmes much more affordable for LMICs. nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
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May 14
An antiviral pill has, for the first time, been shown to prevent COVID-19 in people exposed to the SARS-CoV-2 virus go.nature.com/4nAMi6g
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“The reassurance is technically accurate, but because of the way the media asks the question, it’s the only thing anyone can say. That framing flattens out the actual, complicated response to an actual, complicated emerging disease outbreak. The implicit tone of the coverage is that the only reason that you, the audience, should care about a disease outbreak is whether it is coming for you personally.” This was a great piece
May 13
The problem with hantavirus coverage isn't the alarmism. vox.com/future-perfect/48847…
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“Public health officials, from the W.H.O. to U.S. officials, would be more helpful if they stopped constantly reassuring people about the likelihood of future events they can’t accurately calculate,” Zeynep Tufekci writes about the hantavirus outbreak. nyti.ms/4tr1O61
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How have UK social contact patterns changed post-pandemic? How assortative are they by age, ethnicity, and SES? Pleased to share our new @PLOSMedicine paper, jointly led by Lucy Goodfellow and myself, alongside @KevinvZandvoort and John Edmunds.
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Finding 3: This social structure may drive observed infection inequalities. Using a next-generation matrix approach, we found that per-capita infection risk for a novel respiratory pathogen would be disproportionately higher for minority ethnic groups.
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Erin asked my opinion about this new info, and I basically said it means we’re still trying to figure this puzzle out so we we should be a bit cautious with definitive statements about this virus. Look, if we don’t do a good job now with quarantining and making sure we don’t have cases that aren’t original ship passengers, we’ll be chasing cases here and there for weeks to months, and because of the long incubation period there will be a blanket of uncertainty over all of this.
Dr. Stephen Kornfeld, the one cruise ship passenger in the biocontainment unit who tested positive for hantavirus, tells Erin he experienced night sweats and chills before he began treating sick passengers on the ship.
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Statement from the International Hantavirus Society and members of the international hantavirus research and clinical community regarding Andes virus transmission and the current outbreak investigation zenodo.org/records/20134326
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1/ We are living in an era of emerging zoonotic infections. While hantavirus is the focus today, preventing epidemics requires sustained investment in the tools needed to prevent, rapidly detect & respond to biological threats, whether natural, accidental, or deliberate.
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100%— serial testing of all passengers will actually give us key insights into asymptomatic or presymptomatic infection & possibility of transmission which would inform not only this outbreak but future ones. #Hantavirus
There's enormous informational value to be gained from knowing how people serially test vis-a-vis symptom onset/severity & ideally also viral shedding (as monitored in Ferres 2024 study)
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We have a student loans system which, on a *massive scale* actively embeds injustice and inequality both between and within generations. And the government apparently has no interest in reforming it.
What not many people realise about UK student loans is that earners in the middle of the salary range end up paying back far more than either lower or higher earners, as they earn enough to pay the loan and interest back before the 30 year cut off, but not enough to pay it off early before the interest balloons. Someone earning £70k ends up paying almost double someone on £150k.
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It needs reiterating that the proposals by @KemiBadenoch to fix interest at RPI or @MartinSLewis to unfreeze thresholds do not address the issue that Plan 2 hits middle income hardest and lets the richest off the hook. Student loans should be abolished and debt wiped.
Whether or not interest is capped at RPI, or thresholds are unfrozen, middle earning graduates will continue to be squeezed the most while the richest pay less.
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Billy Quilty retweeted
Whether or not interest is capped at RPI, or thresholds are unfrozen, middle earning graduates will continue to be squeezed the most while the richest pay less.
What not many people realise about UK student loans is that earners in the middle of the salary range end up paying back far more than either lower or higher earners, as they earn enough to pay the loan and interest back before the 30 year cut off, but not enough to pay it off early before the interest balloons. Someone earning £70k ends up paying almost double someone on £150k.
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The student loan issue - beyond predictable; all it required was some very basic maths - 16 years ago… Talk about creating unnecessary problems.
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A new deal for young people? About time! My newsletter this week is about how years of squeezing the finances of young adults - with student loans, high housing costs and frozen tax thresholds - has created a big political problem inews.co.uk/news/graduates-p…
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lol
Feb 24
'Are you aware of the level of anger this is causing?' 'Yes.' Bridget Phillipson explains to @NickFerrariLBC why she cannot pledge to move student loan interests rates from RPI to CPI.
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