It was close, but Tropical Storm Cristina failed to become a rare landfalling cyclone in El Salvador, degenerating to a sheared post-tropical feature before reaching land.
Attention now turns to the measly seedling about to emerge into the Bay of Campeche, which still only has a 10%🍋 shot at cyclogenesis. Otherwise, the oceans of the Western Hemisphere remain quiet for the most part.
Tropical Storm Cristina has frequently been changing her mind on where exactly she wants to make landfall, but the most likely location continues to be western El Salvador and SE Guatemala, where another 40-100 mm of rainfall can be expected.
What’s more, the NHC has now highlighted a 10%🍋 for the very slim chance that Cristina crosses through the Central American rainforest and attempts to cyclonically regenerate in the Gulf.
She has officially prompted the first AOI bubble in the Atlantic Basin this year.