Ex-White House & State Dept. Eurasia, Ambassador to Azerbaijan; Jamestown Fdtn. Board; Managing Partner in Istanbul for Straife (pol. risk and corp. strategy)

Joined December 2012
15 Photos and videos
#Armenia's parliamentary election marks an historic shift, with the country's electorate embracing peace with #Azerbaijan, normalization with #Turkiye, strategic partnership with #EU and the U.S., and a more independent yet constructive relationship with #Russia. youtube.com/shorts/Tmj1-zqnP…
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#Turkey aspires to help deliver an end to the #IranWar‌. Yes, a tall order, given Turkey-Israel tensions. But President Trump may see value in the effort, given Turkey's track record with Hamas on Gaza. atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/tu…
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A friend in Moscow sent me this beautiful photo today on Orthodox Christmas. (Merry Christmas!) St. Basil’s was built by Ivan the Terrible to commemorate Russia's conquering of the Tatars in Kazan in 1552. Note those blue and yellowish cloud streaks. Karma?
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Savor the historical wisdom and diplomatic insights of Ambassador Farid Shafiyev on the Eye on Eurasia podcast by @GlenHoward_GH, President of the Saratoga Foundation. I also share my own views on recent tensions in Azerbaijan-Russia relations. open.substack.com/pub/glenho…

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#CNN's brilliant #NickPatonWalsh just made a rare mistake, claiming #Russia withdrew after its invasion of #Georgia in August 2008 to its prior positions, when in fact Russia still occupies the territory into which it invaded in #Georgia's #Abkhazia and #SouthOssetia.
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(Beginning at around 33:00) I discuss President Trump’s ideas for a deal Zelensky can accept. This will initially involve economic pressure on Russia but exclude Ukraine’s NATO membership & near-term recovery of all its territory occupied by Russia. 📷youtube.com/watch?v=pDanM9F9…

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So pleased to have appeared on February 9, with my dear old friend from our Moscow days, Dan Hoffman, on Fox News Sunday, when we explored President Trump's approaches to Gaza, Panama, and Russia's war on Ukraine. foxnews.com/video/6368561653…
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The writing was on the wall for #Russia's invasions of #Ukraine when it invaded #Georgia in 2008, and even 18 months earlier during #Putin's speech at the February 2024 Munich Security Conference. It's beyond time to stop worrying about "provoking" Putin. youtube.com/watch?v=iKdD_ArL…
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Superb analysis by @GlenHoward_GH on the objectives of #Ukraine's incursion into #Russia, which may aim to threaten Russia's key logistics lines into Ukraine and be a more strategically consequential version of Prigozhin's misadventure of June 2023. glenhoward.substack.com/p/uk…

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My view in the FT: EU’s quest to banish natural gas eventually is undercutting investments required to secure gas supplies tomorrow. Clash of ideology and practicality.... ft.com/content/99772c5e-6506… via @ft

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Global solidarity with Ukraine: US Embassy Tokyo right now - May 22, 2024 at 22:30 local. Slava Ukraini!
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#Ukraine’s retooled defense industry could produce $18 billion in cheaper armaments this year but Kyiv could appropriate only $9 billion despite nearly 50% of state budget for defense. #NATO should fund Kyiv's purchase of armaments made in Ukraine. bit.ly/43sPUx6

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RT @onewmphoto: BREAKING!!! A MAJOR development in Armenia-Azerbaijan talks with a JOINT statement from Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and…
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As repeatedly noted, the end of Armenian troops and a separatist political authority in Azerbaijan's Karabakh region removed the last obstacle to the peace treaty sought by both Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Aliyev. bit.ly/3NjNpX4
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RT @onewmphoto: Now the next warning… Though Baku can theoretically do without a peace agreement now it has Karabakh, it is in Armenia's in…
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Extremely important statement by Spokesperson for President of the European Council Charles Michel on Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization. Michel has proven to be an honest, shrewd, and effective broker. He clearly sees hope for a peace treaty. europa.eu/!MnWGRR

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In other words, has the disparity widened in recent years?
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#CharlesMichel's balanced, sober, and insightful press statement on #Pashinyan-#Aliyev meeting he mediated suggests substantive progress toward a peace agreement despite high enduring tensions and occasional provocations, especially along Lachin Corridor: bit.ly/3rzl1YT

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Matthew Bryza retweeted
As Rishi tackles major issues at home, it would assist the ‘International common good’ if Boris & Blair took to Route 66 plus to remake case why US Congress & US public support for 🇺🇦 is in US national interest - not just Europe. There are also NATO credibility interests at stake
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