๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ | Evolving | Market Participant | Retweets Not = Endorsements | Not SEBI Registered | Nothing is a Recommendation I Do your own Research & Due Diligence

Joined September 2024
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CaGR Quest Capital retweeted
3rd June end of day analysis for 4th June Today was a brutal day for #Nifty traders and overall markets in general. On such days, one feels lucky to be on the right side of the index move and risk management skills are tested to the core. The analysis posted yesterday at x.com/avipreet/status/206186โ€ฆ did not really hold good apart from the fact that we did see a complete V shape recovery from the last support level mentioned in the post i.e. 23150. Also, the index did end with a bullish undertone. There were multiple factors at play today: 1. Overnight, tensions flared between Iran and other ME countries with fresh reports of Iran attack on Kuwait coming in. 2. Bloomberg published a news article stating that RBI may have sold some #Gold assets to stabilize INR 3. IT Index was down and out with bellwethers #TCS and #INFY down 9 pct (at one point of time) and 4.5 pct. 4. FII sell numbers were already negative as of yesterday. Inspite of all of this, NIFTY somehow showed a mercurial recovery from the 23150 gap fill level. This was something that fellow traders @rathi_amit , @HiteshRandhawa were rooting for and it happened. Hats off to them! While the sharp recovery came at the back of a resurgent Bank Nifty ,a RBI clarification and a #LTCG waiver rumor all of which could not have come in a minute too late, it still left a sour taste for folks who were both long or short as it ended up eating stop losses on either side. So, where do we go from here. 1. Change in OI - Neutral to Bullish as seen in the OI change snapshot from #SENSIBULL Pro Traders change in OI is bullish today 2. Price Action - Positive Nifty ended the day with a dragonfly doji on daily tf. Construed as positive. Nifty's biggest constituent Bank Nifty ended with a Bullish hammer forming a double or rather triple bottom defending 53000. Bank Nifty could lead the way now and surge ahead pushing Nifty as well Directional View - Positive on Nifty, again will stay long with immediate targets of 23800 once the 23500-550 zone is crossed. If today's low 23150 is broken, will look to short intraday with target of 23000-22900. Positional view is still long. Note: All of the above is my own analysis and trading plan for Nifty and other indices, this should not be construed as trading advice in any manner.
#NIFTY 2nd June end of day analysis for 3rd June 1. Good bullish candle formed today at key gap fill support level. Today's low should be SL for those who chose to take positional longs. For conservative bulls, 23350 should be partial square off level. Price action points to bullish continuation for tomorrow. 2. Outstanding OI for next expiry has a bearish tinge to it, given the huge bullish positions for Client vs bearish positions for FIIs. [Shown Below] However, I will choose price action to carry more weight for day after expiry. Directional View - For a gap down scenario, look for bullish reversals around 23370-23420 zone. I do expect some consolidation around 23500 zone, once we sustain above 23500 comfortably with a 15/30 min close, next target should be 23800 where the next resistance should come in. Key Levels marked below For a flat opening, look for a breakout above 23600 levels for 23800 as immediate target. If 23350 is broken on the downside, expect 23230,23150 to be tested before the next target of 23000. I will be trading with a bullish bias for tomorrow up to 23800 where I will review. Of course, standard disclaimer of external overnight event applies which will invalidate this view. #NIFTY #NSE For how the 2nd of June expiry analysis played out today, refer to x.com/avipreet/status/206178โ€ฆ
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CaGR Quest Capital retweeted
1st June 2026 #NIFTY broke through the crucial psychological level of 23500 today without any issue. Also broke a small trendline support shown below. However, it is close to a potential support level of 23250. 1. Any gap down may result in an immediate reversal given that we are oversold. Also 23500 should act like a magnet and attract straddle sellers for tomorrow's expiry 2. Also, a lot of call writing happened one day prior to 2nd June expiry which was very high as a percentage of total calls written for ATM and near ATM strikes. For instance: Out of 50 L calls written at 23400, 48 L were written today, and 73 L out of 89 L at 23500. This gives an opportunity for short covering as calls written today would not have a premium cushion to sustain if there are bullish spikes. Directional View - Look for bullish reversals in case of a gap down supported by reversal seen on smaller timeframes. Can play Nifty positionally long if 23800 is reclaimed. For Flat opening, will look for a range to be formed and play breakout / breakdown of the range. Note that 23150-23260 is a gap fill zone where Nifty can potentially find support. Below this, 23000 and below will again open up For Gap Up opening - Observe OI Buildup and price action #NIFTY #NSE
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RT @HiteshRandhawa: #SYRMASGS seems to be playing the long term sustainable game. Promoter pedigree seems to be top notch. PCB venture wiโ€ฆ
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S Chand & Company Ltd #SCHAND -- Is it a 'Heads I win and Tails I don't lose' story?
S Chand & Company Ltd #SCHAND -- Is it a 'Heads I win and Tails I don't lose' story? CMP - 213 Mkt. Cap. โ€“ 750 Crs. I looked at it few weeks back (600 Crs Mkt Cap, Price 170) and shared the story with few mkt participants but no one was interested and got some good reasons to support their reluctance. Will state those reasons as well and would like to hear your views on them especially if you have any. Valuation: At โ‚น600 Crores Market Cap, the company presented significant value: - 6 times EV to CFO (based on average CFO of โ‚น100 Crores for last 4 years) - Cash flow based earnings yield of approximately 18% While the value proposition is strong, growth catalysts are essential for realizing stock performance. The implementation of NCF (National Curriculum Framework) appears to be that catalyst for the next 2 years. Future Outlook: - Potential for CFO of โ‚น150-200 Crores in next 2-3 years - โ‚น90-100 Crores PAT seems achievable by FY27 - At โ‚น600 Crores Market Cap, this represents: - Approximately 6 times FY27 earnings - Approximately 4 times EV/CFO going forward As far as exit multiples are concerned one can ascribe exit multiples on his own. NOTE: 1. Consolidated document available at this link drive.google.com/file/d/1hVsโ€ฆ 2. Please read the DISCLAIMER in the document in #1 and the DISCLAIMER in my Bio and Pinned Message 3. Future Outlook given is my interpretation basis the available information and I can be entirely wrong 3. Discl: I am invested in the stock from lower levels and have transacted in last 30 days and intend to transact further
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CaGR Quest Capital retweeted
Affordable Housing Sector is gaining limelight and maybe has been the strongest sub-sector in this market correction. For the next 2-3 years, the housing finance industry is projected to grow at 16-17% with the affordable housing segment expected to achieve a 22-23% CAGR! Quite a few catalysts in place for the sector: 1. #PMAYUrban 2. Govt's mortgage guarantee scheme for lower income group 3. Personal Income Tax slab revision benefits for people earning upto 12 lacs 4. 2nd home tax benefit announced in budget 5. Falling Interest Rates Had prepared HFC Trends and Outlook report (for personal consumption and few friends) basis Q3FY25 Earnings Call of the companies that can be found here drive.google.com/file/d/1xwtโ€ฆ Hope the community finds it useful. #AADHARHFC #AAVAS #INDIASHLTR #HOMEFIRST #APTUS #BAJAJHFL #PNBHOUSING #CANFINHOME #REPCOHOME #LICHSGFIN
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One thing that RAs and Investors who have come up in last 5 yrs (and use technicals for stop losses) would learn in this bear mkt (assuming it continues) is that there isn't a constant stop loss rule applicable in all types of mkts. Awareness of what stop loss works in what types of markets and making adjustments accordingly is something that isn't talked about and not given enough importance!!!
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1/n OK Play India Ltd. AI Analysis of Management Commitments vs Potential Deviations/Rollbacks (using last 3 earnings concall) NOTE: PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER PROVIDED IN THE MESSAGE n/n #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY
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n/n OK Play India Ltd. AI Analysis of Management Commitments vs Potential Deviations/Rollbacks (using last 3 earnings concall) NOTE: PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER PROVIDED IN THE MESSAGE n/n #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY
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1/n OK PLAY INDIA LTD. - Comprehensive summary of Q3 & 9M FY25 earnings call: #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY
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1/n OK PLAY INDIA LTD. - Comprehensive summary of Q3 & 9M FY25 earnings call: #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY
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2/n OK PLAY INDIA LTD. - Comprehensive summary of Q3 & 9M FY25 earnings call: #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY NOTE: PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER PROVIDED AS WELL MESSAGE n/n.
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n/n OK PLAY INDIA LTD. - Comprehensive summary of Q3 & 9M FY25 earnings call: NOTE: PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER PROVIDED AS WELL MESSAGE n/n. #OKPLAYINDIA #OKPLAY
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Since 2020 in tests. @imVkohli | 34 tests - 58 innings - 1828 - Avg : 31.5 - 2 Centuries๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜ @ImRo45 | 32 tests - 58 innings - 2129 runs - Avg : 38.7 - 6 centuries ๐Ÿ˜ @imjadeja | 29 tests - 44 innings - 1391 runs - Avg : 34.77 - 3 centuries ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ @ashwinravi99 | 35 tests - 53 innings - 1089 runs - Avg : 20.94 - 2 centuries๐Ÿ‘ So Jadeja has better batting record than Kohli since last 5 yrs in Tests ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ Jadeja and Ashwin have been far more valuable players than #Kohli and #RohitSharma in test matches in last 5 yrs!!!! Awesome performance #KingKohli ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ Time for both Kohli and Rohit to hang their boots or gloves or whatever from the Test Arena too!!!! #INDvsNZTEST #INDvsNZ
26 Oct 2024
T20 retirement done, time to retire from Test matches as well. Both gentlemen.
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Thank you Sandeep Bhai @Alchemist1320 for insightful views on #SME investing framework and for shedding light on this area of investment that has recently got bad name due to few unscrupulous stakeholders. Great job Vivek Bhai @vivbajaj with #Face2Face and bringing value via this platform to investing community. We say this specifically in the light of current controversy! What weighs more is the 249 good Face2Face conversations you have had out of 250 and not 1 where a fraud cheated you too despite best your best intention!!!!!
I tried my best to give a balanced view on topic. Looking at recording, could have added some more imp points but still do listen with an open mind. And sorry in advance for a long one. Hope someday will learn to say things in shorter answers. @vivbajaj thanks Vivek ji for giving platform to convey this important topic. @AI_Feb21 thanks dost for connecting us for this.
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๐ŸŒŸ Happy Ganesh Chaturthi ๐ŸŒŸ May Lord Ganesha bless you with wisdom, prosperity, and success in all your endeavors. Let this festival fill your life with joy, peace, and new beginnings. ๐ŸŒŸ Shubh Ganeshotsav ๐ŸŒŸ ๐ŸŒŸ Ganpati Bappa Morya ๐ŸŒŸ
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Some thoughts on #Tiles and #Ceramics sector basis on-ground interaction with few Tiles and Ceramics manufacturers in #Morbi #KAJARIACER #SOMANYCERA #CERA #ORIENTBELL #ASIANTILES #ASIANGRANITO #CERAMICS
Replying to @CongruenceA
@CongruenceA super write up on the tiling sector. Generally this sector picks up in a later stage of the real estate cycle so probably good time to track. Morbi is facing the crunch this time - still higher number of GVT factories coming up in next 2-3 years.
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