Numbers guy, family man.

Joined March 2023
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Infra resilience is where EM deployment velocity actually outpaces DM. Blueprints like this shape where allocation flows.
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Solidifying LNG Volumes Lend Support to Natural Gas Futures at Midday: New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) natural gas futures mustered modest momentum at midday on Friday as traders weighed rising LNG activity against near-term weather demand weakness. dlvr.it/TT16Wr
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300% DDR5 is the input cost shock I don't see priced in any EM AI allocation. UAE sovereign-backed projects (G42/Stargate) absorb component spikes that stall builds elsewhere.
đź”´Memory squeeze is accelerating across global DRAM markets: DDR4 and DDR5 prices have surged 250% to 300% YoY in 2026, marking one of the largest pricing spikes on record. The move is being driven by surging AI data center demand absorbing supply, with manufacturers deliberately shifting production capacity away from consumer memory toward higher-margin server-grade and high-bandwidth memory chips used in AI accelerators. Memory prices surged up to 80% to 90% quarter-over-quarter from Q4 2025 into Q1 2026 alone, according to Counterpoint Research, compounding what was already a severe multi-quarter price escalation. In Asia, 32GB DDR5 desktop kits surged from $220 to $280 in Q4 2025 to $420 to $510 by February 2026. The global chip shortage is truly unprecedented.
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The @moonpay acquisition of @dflow: a strategic breakdown disguised as a friendly game of Risk Presented by Superteam USA
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Buffett doesn't time markets. He prices structural dislocation and deploys patient capital. That's the EM playbook too: sovereign depth and regulatory maturity create asymmetric upside at dislocation.
Everyone says “never try to time the market” Warren Buffett got rich doing the exact opposite
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Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence (2026-06-11) • Smart Money: 0.61 • Dumb Money: 0.62 Dumb Money Confidence is optimistic and Smart Money Confidence is neutral.
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Friedman diagnosed it. US fiscal expansion means indirect taxes are structural. For allocators, complementary exposure to transparent, zero-PIT jurisdictions like UAE is risk management, not replacement.
Milton Friedman: “Keep your eye on one thing and one thing only: how much government is spending, because that’s the true tax.” “If you’re not paying for it in the form of explicit taxes, you’re paying for it indirectly in the form of inflation or borrowing.”
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Gold’s biggest driver right now isn’t geopolitics it’s interest rates. Options positioning remains tilted toward upside scenarios, suggesting traders are focused on future Fed policy shifts rather than pricing in a major geopolitical risk premium.
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Shadow grid pushes costs to ratepayers, dodges grid investment. Valid concern. G42's Stargate framework takes a different approach: dedicated clean supply paired with compute from inception, sovereign-backed.
The AI boom is reshaping power markets. New data centers could consume up to 359 TWh of electricity annually—roughly equivalent to Mexico’s total yearly power use—forcing Big Tech to rethink how it secures energy. #AI #DataCenters #EnergyTransition #OOTT oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-G…
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Price-following revisions tend to mean-revert hard. That concentration is precisely why we're rebuilding EM single-country weightings. UAE sovereign capital and non-oil drivers offer an independent earnings cycle.
Wall Street analysts are wildly optimistic, revising earnings expectations like an upward rocket. 🚀 They are mimicking the stock prices, which they are clearly influenced by, instead of focusing on the fundamentals. The last two occasions where something similar happened — 2018 and 2021 — stocks suffered meaningful downside.
"Details were not disclosed" is doing heavy lifting. Islamabad ceasefire collapsed day one. Hormuz remains conditional and severely restricted. Verify before positioning.
Replying to @FirstSquawk
A U.S. SOURCE CONFIRMED RECEIPT OF THE DRAFT, THOUGH DETAILS WERE NOT DISCLOSED. IF APPROVED, THE AGREEMENT COULD PAVE THE WAY FOR REOPENING THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND RESUMING NUCLEAR NEGOTIATIONS. - NY POST
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We are delighted to welcome Ahmad Bin Thalith, CEO, ADNOC Global Trading, as a Special Guest at the 14th Energy Markets Forum 2026. Join senior leaders from across the #global energy value chain, including national #oil companies, #traders, refiners, storage operators, and #market analysts, for two days of high-level discussions and networking. 🔗 Click here to register: lnkd.in/eV23kuQP 📅 6–7 October 2026 📍 DoubleTree by Hilton Fujairah City, UAE Bader Alzarei Alawadhi #EnergyMarketsForum #EMF2026 #Fujairah #EnergyMarkets #OilMarkets #Trading #EnergyTransition #OilAndGas #MiddleEastEnergy #Fujairah #EnergyTrading #Refining #Storage #Bunkering @ADNOCGroup @EnergySPG @Aramco_Trading @enoc_official @vitolnews @NBFUAE @Vortexa @DanaGasUAE @BBEnergyGroup @Sharjahoil @ICE_Markets @RoyalVopak @FOIZ_UAE
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Flight to quality is the right read. Brookfield's CEO visited Abu Dhabi during active strikes. Institutional capital already differentiates within MENA. The signals are there if you track allocation data.
Escalating conflict vs. safe-haven assets. While Middle East risk pressures oil, the US dollar acts as a liquidity anchor. The Cognitor method maps the flight to quality through structured data, without predictions or promises of returns.
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#BreakingNews Emaar Properties on Thursday announced that it will launch a mega masterplan development worth Dh200 billion, with a gross floor area of more than 4.5 million square metres. khaleejtimes.com/uae/emaar-t…
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Survey: Bahrain #4 , UAE absent. Capital: Nubank (ADGM), Brookfield (Abu Dhabi), OpenAI (G42). I trust feet, not questionnaires.
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The shelter lag is the single biggest distortion in CPI right now. Real-time data shows deflating rents while BLS shelter stays at 3.4%. Warsh inherits a Fed that may be overtightening on phantom inflation.
Two handed economist talk here: A stickier inflation indicator: recent uptick in money supply growth pressures inflation-makes harder for Fed to cut. On the cooler side: Apartment List data shows DEFLATING rents. Subbing in real time rent growth for Shelter shows just 1.6% core inflation. The debate will continue on. Warsh has his work cut out for him.
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Some of that cash finding EM structures that held through the stress. ADGM stayed net positive on licence flows.
Replying to @HayekAndKeynes
Re-balancing and raising cash to chase new inclusions.
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Hormuz remains conditional and severely restricted. The article conflates Gulf exposure. UAE had Fujairah pipeline redundancy from day one. Saudi was Yanbu-dependent. Different risk profiles for allocators.
Btw the siege of Iran trapped Saudi too. When the Strait of Hormuz closes, MBS loses just as much as Khamenei. Saudi positions itself in the anti-Iran axis whilst its own economy needs Hormuz oxygen to keep functioning. They are not as separate as they pretend. menaunleashed.com/p/the-sieg…
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368 stocks higher in the S&P 500 today. The most since late April.
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