GM☕️The Dynamic systems for
$BTC /
$ETH /
$SOL may have just perfectly closed the previous shorts, and bottom ticked this leg down.
Detailed analysis on whether the bottom is in or not⬇️:
It has bottom ticked, and net direction is bullish:
- Liquidations on the longer timeframes (e.g., 1Y, 6M) are starting to see upper volumes dominate the lower ones in size, coupled with shorter timeframes starting to fill the gaps to narrow the proximity disadvantage.
- Funding on the 1W & 1D is far from extremes suggesting that there is definitely capacity to continue the move up based on trader neutrality.
- Mean Reversion indicators, such as the AMDS have shown BTC strength through it reclaiming the lower 3SD band and it not even being at median fair value yet.
- BTC has reclaimed the range low on the 1D timeframe.
- Indicators such as the Crypto Sentiment Index (CSI) show that BTC sentiment is at, or approaching cycle lows. These make great DCA opportunities and indicate high value.
- US Dollar direction may have begun to shift down due to the 1D range high being hit, and currently reversed. A continuation would allow more relief for risk assets.
No bottom tick, and its lining up for another push down:
- Liquidations below have proximity advantage, and although the ones above are larger, they may not be large enough to completely overpower the downside closeness to price.
- Although funding isn't at any extreme, it is net positive suggesting that the little traders involved are in fact biased long. This could fuel further bearishness towards the $54k liquidations.
- Mean reversion indicators, such as the AMDS, have started to see moves down in the upper band while the lower band continues to shift down further, suggesting that the implied direction is still majorly bearish.
- Both market regime indicators are still in a strongly trending bearish state.
- US Dollar is still in an uptrend according to most trend indicators.
- All of my medium term, and long term trend indicators are still bearish for BTC & major alts.
As you can probably see, the plane for the battlefield is very even. This is also a perfect example of why you need systems.
If I were to simply look at the points above and make a decision, I probably wouldn't sleep well due to the lack of mathematical edge and unbiasedness of the current market.
Follow systems. If you don't have any, or are not content with the standard of yours, consider trying mine:
whop.com/cryptoswing-systems…
Lets put this week to sleep💪🥊
#Crypto #Macro #Bitcoin