Reisender 🧳

Joined March 2016
Photos and videos
flex retweeted
if peptaura becomes the go to marketplace for petides, our leverage will increase to the point where we’ll be able to strong-arm sellers into more stringent QC standards and testing we’ve already caused global peptide prices to drop now we want even better quality
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ALPHA INSIDER is where it happens.... $btc #crypto
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flex retweeted
14 Mar 2025
The Q1 setup will take $btc to new ATH's.
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12 Mar 2025
The roadmap has been shared a long time ago.. I am as calm as I could be..
2 Feb 2025
The road map for 2025 just as I gave for 2024... Chance of a bear market 2%.... $btc
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flex retweeted
12 Mar 2025
$spx is no different..
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11 Feb 2025
If this post gets ✅50 RT's ✅200 likes I will give you an $alt chart with all the key levels.. Reply in the comments...
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9 Feb 2025
Once the $dxy gets below 106 then the flood gates open to at least 95.8..
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4 Jan 2025
Haven't done this in a while... I will take some requests today to chart $alts giving you the key levels... 1. Like this post 2. RT 3. Comment your $alt themarketsunplugged.com/
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During this period I'm seeing a lot of people stating with absolute certainty that we will have massive gains from here, assuming an average of more than 20x. This comes from the sole fact that they're comparing this cycle to the 2020/21 one, improperly. My cold take on the situation: Probably nourished by the ETF or the new "pro-BTC" political reforms, the majority of market participants think that Bitcoin is ready to climb well above 100K in this cycle. I've seen plenty of targets, most of them quite unrealistic that, in my opinion, will lead to a severe massacre across retail investors. I already provided my main thesis for the Bitcoin top and its potential targets in this post: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1748… but one of the most important thing to remind ourselves once again (if it were still needed) is that institutions are not our friends. They're not here to pump our bags and considering the huge monetary discrepancy they have with us (they operate with gazillions), they also don't need a Bitcoin to soar till 200K like many expect. At some point, they will just synchronize the algorithms creating huge sell pressure at specific levels, not allowing the price to rise consistently. Majority are also forgetting about the fact that Bitcoin is up more than 370% from December 2022 bottom, and if you take a look at the chart is absolutely parabolic. Does this seem "the start of the bullrun" to you or more like a "final phase"? To me, the second option. But I know what you're thinking..."Bro, altcoins didn't perform at all, the BTC D. has been in an uptrend and we haven't seen a proper altseason". Letting aside the fact that we already seen an important rise from them (look at TOTAL 3/OTHERS from 22 lows, mostly related to specific narratives like AI, RWA, BTC etc), expecting an average of 20x on most coins is absolutely unrealistic in my opinion. But let's make an interesting comparison: USDT D. BTC D. During the 2020/21 bullrun where we had that double top formation, we had an average USDT D. decline of 50%, which has ignited both runs of BTC and altcoins, as you can see from the drop of the BTC D. occurred from December 20 to May 21 (full altseason). In this cycle instead, we already had a large drop (average of 50%) on USDT D. from the bottom of 2022 to the 2024 local top. And while the Bitcoin dominance hasn't dropped yet (it will, don't worry) do you expect another massive drawdown from the USDT D.? Honestly, this isn't likely given the historical trendline acting as powerful support, and while the BTC D. can drop with the USDT D. remaining flat thus moving liquidity toward altcoins, expecting 20/30xs as an average is highly unrealistic. "Does this mean no altseason? Rekt? As I highlighted plenty of times considering all the bullish HTF closures we had on Bitcoin and both TOTAL 3/OTHERS, I'm definitely leading for an altseason (in the most "prehistoric" sense, with a BTC D. drop) but I'm not expecting money thrown on people like in 2021. Altcoins dilution is real, diminishing returns also. Take a look at the percentages on OTHERS: From the bottom to the complacency shoulder we ran approximately 400%. From these levels to a potential top around 600/700B, we can run a 200%. Half than before, resulting in higher prices for altcoins but not as much as the general consensus is. Some charts will pull crazy numbers, but they will be very limited compared to the past and those who are telling you a different story are simply lying to you for engagement purposes. Better striking for a "safe" 3/5/10x instead of bold expectations. Don't get sucked into rekt land because you're reading about old comparisons.
Where can the next top of Bitcoin occur? If I remember well, I already covered this topic back in the past. But in this post, I will delve more trying to offer you a more detailed and reconstructed analysis. Big spoiler: there aren't moonboy targets in here. Bitcoin, from its inception, has outperformed traditional assets, surpassing them in terms of intrinsic features and resilience. Fueled by a mix of its inherent qualities and speculative fervor, it has produced huge gains during market cycles. 🔸Price performances If we analyze the performance from each cycle low to each cycle peak, we approximately have: - First Halving cycle in 2012 -> 57000% - Second Halving cycle in 2016 -> 11.500% - Third Halving cycle in 2020 -> 2000% Crystal clear that despite massive gains we're having diminishing returns. This is very well valid for the upside but also for the downside with diminishing losses: - 2014/15 Bear market: -86% - 2018/19 Bear market: -84% - 2022/23 Bear market: -77% 🔸Fundamental connotations The reason behind this is simple: as new money flows into Bitcoin and global awareness grows, the market becomes more mature. The maturation process also includes the so-pronounced regulations, which I believe are a key part for the global adoption of both Bitcoin and altcoins, at the expense of decentralization. TradFi companies in fact, are reluctant to join an unregulated market. Everything that happens before is pure speculation and not real utility-driven demand. This isn't bad, as most can think. Without speculation, we wouldn't have astronomical gains and interest in this space which are propedeutic ingredients for realizing the recipe of future growth. We can suppose that after this big step of regulations, both Bitcoin and altcoins will find their fair value, which is highly unpredictable as many factors come into place: - National currencies devaluation - Geopolitical connotations - True utilities discover Bitcoin can also achieve mind-blowing targets in the next decade, but if inflation continues to rump up (likely) the Harakiri, as you can imagine, is served. "But they stopped to print money, Quantitative Tightening has worked out " No mate, it didn't and even admitting it did, there are other factors that lead to hyperinflation. Look at the world around you and I'm sure you'll find the right answer. 🔸Price projection Here we are with the juiciest part of the post: "Where can Bitcoin top in the next bullrun?" Premising that nobody truly knows and these aren't financial advice but just a "me-to-you" reasoning, we can make some suppositions. Given the diminishing returns theory, it is totally fair to hypotesize a Bitcoin top which produces less gain than the previous one. "But bro, institutions are finally here..they will pump Bitcoin to Pluto." What most people fail to realize is that institutions don't need a 10.000%. They're 50% is way different from a retail investors' 50%, it's more than enough. And this is where the big match will be played. So what is my "prediction"? My take is that Bitcoin will top in the yellow area, therefore between 87K and 110K. Want a more specific target? Slightly less than 100K, maybe 90/95K..this should do the psychological trick for inducing people believe 100K is absolutely next before the crash. Can it go higher? Well, maybe. But I will definitely scale out from the yellow area, no greed allowed. 🔸Final closing With Bitcoin producing a new ATH, the altcoin space will likely turn once again in full euphoria mode, therefore many "Xs" will be printed. Printed on the screen for the majority, printed on banks for those who will be wise and grateful for the returns we don't see in any other market. Because everything will be temporary before another crash will occur, this has to be fixed in your mind as part of market cycles and human psychology. The next tornado narrative will come out in full force during the past highs..will you be sucked into it or reach financial safety by pressigìng the sell button? It's all up to you.
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flex retweeted
BTC1! updated and documented: Price hit a 108.960$ high on CME, only 40$ away from the 109K level shared in August, reacting exceptionally and correcting a -15%. It's still early to determine if this is the macro top or not, but if we switch to LTFs we can observe potential signs of distribution after a bearish 3 drives, the one that has led to the recent correction. In the coming weeks, depending on the ability from the price to not create a macro BOS ruining the structure, we may see the formation of the UTAD typical of the classic Wyckoff distribution scheme, likely deviating above the range and sending BTC toward 115/120K. If this happens, once at new highs, the price should stay above the resistance for days or weeks attracting a new wave of buyers convinced that BTC is primed to skyrocket. After a series of tests, price should sink back below the prior peak heading back to the support and becoming persistently weaker, confirming the downtrend. This scenario would imply another test of the USDT D at 3.80% that, after a proper mitigation, should not hold pushing it to the 3.30% where we have the untested multi-day OB. This is the best outcome we can see and the one that can provide a solid exit strategy some ideal good short setups. Of course, once again, this is not the time to buy or hold Bitcoin but to take profits If you didn't before and monitor the situation step by step.
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flex retweeted
$GOLD - #Roaringtwenties chart. This 👇 chart gives you an overview to make your financial decisions!
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- Christmas Market Update (Bloody Santa Version) 🎅🩸- Despair, fear, sadness... not exactly the typical emotions of a classic Christmas, are they? Time for a mega "clarification" market update freshly offered, hope you'll enjoy it. (and that will calm your nerves) The collapse we saw was nothing but something already anticipated at the beginning of August where I shared the most interesting levels to pay attention at: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1821… While the majority of people were bull-posting at the highs because of the "ETFs" or similar stories intended to make you FOMO, I was suggesting to proceed with caution because, together with the targets shared, AMT was pending as a Damocle's sword on the market's head: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1865… I also shared something extremely interesting in my channel, a fantastic short opportunity at 108.200 where I had the confluence coming from the -0.5 & the 1.454 Fib levels, in order to provide you more "sauce": x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1869… But let's now proceed with the real dish. (Covering altcoins, you know what I think about Bitcoin overall) - TOTAL 2 - In the last TOTAL 2 update we were seeing the capitalization hitting a multi 20H TF HOB suggesting to pay "semi-careful" because it could have provided a rejection targeting the 1.33T where we had the multi-week supply turned into a BB: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1868… As you can see from this updated chart, the price has taken out the level dipping at 1.22T but we didn't have any HTF closure below this zone which is the crucial and essential part. When such key levels get hit we have 2 potential outcomes: - They provide an immediate powerful reaction - They continue to "melt" liquidating positions just to provide a false sense so retails panic sell their positions nourishing the necessary liquidity for pushing the prices more And is the second option that I'm taking into consideration as long as we don't close HTF below 1.22T that would likely mean ruining the whole structure and compromising further bullish impulse. Now in my opinion the previous HOB is no longer valid (apart from the 20H that could provide a LTF rejection -> BB) so keep your eyes open on the 1.64T and on the previous ATH at 1.71T (previous highs are always "careful levels") - BTC D- Many people have been pretty much "concerned" about the last BTC D. upside, but if I watch it from an analytical standpoint, nothing has changed. We tapped into a 3D PHOB that matches the 70.50% Fib and wicked into my favorite "retracement box" (70.50% 78.60% 88.60%) so technically speaking this is a bearish retest. I would start to be concerned exclusively if we close HTF above 61.53% but this isn't my primary case given all the considerations made in the past. It's also absolutely interesting to notice the multiple confluences provided. When BTC D hits this level, ETH touched both HTF liquidity areas shared here: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1869… and also TOTAL 2 hit the BB, very curious, isn't it? - USDT D - Last but not least, the USDT D. The metric has taken out the bearish liquidity at 4.20% (the one that ignited the pump till 108K) and then reversed back from 3.80%, as proof of the strength of the level. My eyes after that touch were primarily on the 4.40% where we had that 6H OB 0.618 & 0.5 Fib as main confluence for a potential reversal and while we have wicked above at the moment (4.61%) the important is to not close HTF above 4.52% in order to avoid a huge pick of liquidity into the 5D LB at 4.80%. Not my main case at the moment. Below we still have that 3.80% but we have already mitigated it multiple times contributing to make it weaker so if we will see new highs, that level will be broken, sending the USDT D at 3.30% (multi-day OB) and where we will see a powerful correction once again, likely. - Final conclusion - As I was bearish before, I'm trusting my plan and I'm accumulating opening some longs on interesting altcoins that have reached their HTF liquidity levels. To me, this is a shakeout in order to absorb the necessary liquidity before another push and I will treat it as such until proven otherwise. Of course, I don't have the crystal ball and I will always re-adjust if something changes, but as posted yesterday, Kendrick Lamar might be right saying: "Now or Never". Oh, and if you like my posts don't forget to press the repost and like buttons, they mean a lot for supporting my work. Happy "Bloody Christmas" by SM. Happy "Shopping" if you trust your plan.
ETH update considerations & targets: The 3.500$ level has been a powerful one that, together with the LTF OB, has contributed to push the price of ETH up 17% in a few sessions. However we didn't have any HTF closure above the key level at 4.090$ which is the most important swing that corresponds to March highs, so no closures = no confirmations. Slightly below the <23H PHOB has been partially mitigated so I wouldn't count much on it for taking longs as the most interesting intermediate level has already been taken and that found confluence with the 70.50% retracement of the move. Therefore now it's "waiting time" monitoring the next ETH move. The ideal scenario would be seeing ETH ranging and re-accumulating inside this 4K/3.500K range but in case we see extra weakness and an HTF closure below 3.488$, set your alerts at 3.100/3.200$. That area is a high liquidity one where, apart from having 2 interesting LBs, we also have the weekly demand and the macro equilibrium of the swing, making it highly sensible for the price and therefore ultra valid for a long/spot buy. Do I believe we will reach it? Unlikely at the moment, but preparing a plan is what sets you apart from "casual investors" because you never know, especially in the case that thee TOTAL 2 scenario plays out: x.com/IamZeroIka/status/1868… Regarding the upside we have 2 levels to monitor: - 4.300$ -> 20H HOB 0.705 - The HTF supply between 4.400$ and 4.600$ Consider these 2 levels as "temporary stops". Regardless of everything, my macro targets are intact as long as we maintain a bullish posture on the market and I think is just a matter of time before we reach them. In the chart below you can find them: - 1.618 1.454 = Main range, where I'm planning to scale out consistently - 1.454 & -0.5 = Powerful area - 1.618 (extended) = ETH trading at extreme premium levels -> low probability I think that with ETH we just need some patience monitoring key levels, nothing more.
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Ethereum cycle top 10k It will also be the start of the bear market. You don't want Ethereum to pump let alone peak yet. The current accumulate is the preparation for godsend candles.
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flex retweeted
6 Dec 2024
[ advice ] - exit strategy >sign up to every single exchange >have a plan for every single off ramp >on-chain off-chain >you can even go as far as to open multiple banks etc (ive had friends in aus have problems many times) >anything can happen at any moment >exchanges can freeze >banks can limit deposits etc >if you only have 1 avenue to exit or move funds around when something happens you are fucked >make sure you have multiple exit strategies and you have planned or written down the exact step by step process youll take ie. what you will sell to, where you will send it, what you will withdraw it to >you should be actively exploring options daily, dont write anything off >as many options as possible >just spend a good day organising this and reviewing it every so often >ive seen guys get trapped in the past, scrambling to sign up to exchanges last minute, needing KYC, waiting for verifications, trying to figure shit out while markets are dumping or while 🏴🦢's flood MSM the TL >options security - very important
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Think seriously about selling your bags when altseason hits this level:
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$GPU weekly macro uptrend reclaimed, closed above the top of the bollinger and already got it's retest of the the top bollinger band as well. Trend continuation! The trend is your friend! This is going to send hard and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it! #Ai #Depin Super Cycle
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#TOTAL3 Is about to clear 2021 ATHs while mainly the #Dincoins & $XRP have been sucking up all the juice. But my friends that’s all about to change 🚀😂
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2 Dec 2024
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