Researcher at Magna Graecia University | Active research interests: multiverse-based statistical analysis, measuring similarity, KPI monitoring and synthesis.

Joined August 2012
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nature.com/articles/s41586-0… Are we past Replication Crisis? I co-authored this study where Economics and Political Science, against original predictions, got convincing scores in terms of credibility of their scientific results. I have a theory for this.

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A problem with excessive digitalisation of the life of children is that children need to draw. Drawing is not just a game, but it helps them to learn. But they need to experience organically the word around them to have subjects to draw.
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
A new Science study shows that bumble bees can position a ball underneath a fake “flower” to reach a reward, suggesting they can exhibit spontaneous problem-solving and challenging the notion that such advanced cognitive abilities are exclusive to large-brained vertebrates. Learn more: scim.ag/4vvcNwr
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Can you still solve abstract puzzles when someone is punching your stomach? Cna you do only breathing once every 20 seconds? Can you do it food or sleep deprived? Can you do it when a beautiful woman/handsome men is giving you weird signals of attraction (may be a foreign spy)?
There is one point stricty related to the measurement issue of intelligence that only @nntaleb 's follower get, that is the robustness of what is measured under stress. No IQ test will ever try to check how well the human mind works under inhumane conditions. When it matters!
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There is one point stricty related to the measurement issue of intelligence that only @nntaleb 's follower get, that is the robustness of what is measured under stress. No IQ test will ever try to check how well the human mind works under inhumane conditions. When it matters!
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Which is arguably one of the best part of it. It was quite striking to know what made them worth of taking part of the crew.
People complain about the catalogue of ships in the "Iliad", but "Argonautica" begins with a 10-page catalogue of the crew.
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Una volta al mese Quantin Tarantino si sveglia e ci ricorda di essere un coglione.
Quentin Tarantino says Stanley Kubrick was a hypocrite. "His party line was, I’m not making a movie about violence, I’m making a movie against violence.” “It’s just, like, Get the f**k off. I know and you know your d!ck was hard the entire time.”
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This only worked because the ruling class was as violent and murderous as the criminals. In modern days a murderer could not care less that two people of his nationality would die as result of his actions. Actually, he could just feel even more powerful, scary, and influent.
According to Saxo Grammaticus, in medieval Danish law when a foreigner slew a Dane, two foreigners must be put to death. Disproportionate penalty was seen as justice because foreigners lacked the same kinship and legal protections (weregild) that Danes enjoyed, so the society mandated a harsher, collective penalty for them. They believed rulers owed their people an uncompromising deterrent to prevent outsiders from disturbing the peace or assaulting native Danes. Something to think about.
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Jun 12
ma nouvelle création : l’ail pensif
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Why do people p-hack? Because:
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Ok now do it outsample
A toothpaste company has quietly killed the entire market research industry and nobody is talking about it. Colgate published a paper showing you can predict real purchase intent at 90% accuracy by simply asking LLMs to roleplay customers. And this is beyond insane. If you ask an AI, "Rate this product from 1 to 5," it gives safe, middle-of-the-road garbage. So researchers invented a method called Semantic Similarity Rating (SSR). Instead of asking the AI for a number, they asked it to roleplay. They gave the LLM a demographic profile. They showed it a product concept. And they asked it to write down its raw, unfiltered thoughts. Then, they used a semantic model to translate those written thoughts into a numerical score. The results are staggering. Tested against 57 real corporate surveys and 9,300 actual human responses, the synthetic AI consumers matched real human buying behavior with 90% reliability. They perfectly mirrored how different age brackets and income levels react to price changes. And they provided detailed, qualitative feedback that was deeper and more critical than what actual humans wrote. This destroys the economics of traditional market research. You don't need to wait a month to see if a product will sell. You can simulate 1,000 hyper-targeted customer interviews overnight. You can A/B test pricing across every demographic instantly.
Community note
The 90% figure refers to the AI method achieving 90% of human test-retest reliability for purchase intent surveys, not 90% accuracy in predicting real purchases. It was tested on personal care products in categories LLMs know well. arxiv.org/abs/2510.08338
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I want to watch the He Man movie but I have nobody who will watch it with me (for now).
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Shiism, much like Christianity, is based on martyrdom. Someone in Washington doesn't get it. #Soleimani
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The problem with these posts is that the likelihood ratio between people like Acemoglu and Piketty is exactly 1.
There is an emperor's new clothes problem with one of the worlds leading economists and almost nobody wants to speak frankly about it because he sits at the height of academic power and prestige, but many admit it behind closed doors.
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Umberto Eco promotes reading in the same way gamers promote gaming.
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Umberto Eco on reading
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Concorsi universitari: stiamo discutendo della cosa sbagliata.. open.substack.com/pub/giusep…
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
Replying to @mephistophalic
A 130 IQ person would know why it’s a terrible idea to allow that, and it has nothing to do with personal use
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
The word cyber is etymologically related to kubernan (κυβερνᾶν) which means "helmsman" or "ship captain"
boats are very og cybernetic technologies. one must appreciate the boat
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Giulio Giacomo Cantone retweeted
A few pages into Matt Grossman’s 2021 “How Social Science Got Better” and have already concluded that a) it’s very good, and b) it came out 5 years too early. Nobody wanted to hear that kind of erudite, level-headed, guardedly optimistic sustained reflection back then. “We can actually do great work if we recognize and check our biases, and we have developed many of the theoretical and methodological tools to help us do this” is not something that resonated with the prominent perspectives of the time. Nothing for critical social justice folks, resistance liberals, or antiwokes to use when fighting their various battles. Now that we’re in “How do we fix it?” mode, however, it’s a very good time to revisit—or just to visit. academic.oup.com/book/39935
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What impressed me is that the robot itself looks more concerned about what it did (before tilting into a reset) than the average human around.
A Chinese robot wearing a clown wig kicked a child in the stomach.
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