Insatiably curious, Investments, Porsche guy, Believer 😎

Joined December 2020
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Pinned Tweet
19 Sep 2021
“Change is Frightening, Especially to those in Power.”
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Wow. I wasn’t even born yet in 1987.
Nassim Taleb built his fortune by realizing that to survive wall street, you must be perfectly comfortable looking like an absolute idiot speaking to microsoft's top engineers, he shared the exact math from 1987 that built his empire: "it started with the crash in 1987. i realized that if you position for a massive 20-sigma event, your portfolio is so mathematically convex that you could literally wait 400 years for it to happen again, and you would still be okay" "so i told myself i will only specialize in extreme events. you sit there and wait 3, 4, 5 years. everybody on the trading floor tells you you're an idiot. they tell you you're not profitable" "and then suddenly the crash happens. the crowd blows up, they completely disappear, and you take absolutely everything" watch his full 1-hour microsoft masterclass on the math of extreme risk
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Just listened to this @fundstrat presentation from 2019. He summarizes the future of crypto and I have to say, he nailed it. He immediately calls AI and Crypto the biggest trades of the next decade. (7 years ago 🤯) youtu.be/7MNttXRbzCU?is=ISN_…
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THE VOICE OF WORLD CONTROL. COLOSSUS THE FORBIN PROJECT, 1970
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The Chevrolet Corvair: A Hyper Overreaction Fueled by Politics, Not Safety The same thing is taking place today in AI. The Chevrolet Corvair (1960–1969) was a pioneering American compact with a rear air-cooled engine, independent suspension, and innovative design aimed at import competition. It sold nearly 1.8 million units and evolved significantly over its run. Yet it became a poster child for corporate negligence, largely due to Ralph Nader’s 1965 bestseller Unsafe at Any Speed, which dramatically portrayed the early swing-axle models as deadly “one-car accidents.” This ignited a media firestorm, hundreds of lawsuits, plummeting sales, and GM’s own PR blunders. The backlash helped pass the 1966 National Traffic and Motor Vehicle Safety Act and create the NHTSA—but the targeting of the Corvair went far beyond the evidence. In 1972, after a thorough investigation with comparative testing against contemporaries (Ford Falcon, VW Beetle, etc.), the NHTSA concluded: “The handling and stability performance of the 1960-1963 Corvair does not result in an abnormal potential for loss of control or rollover and it is at least as good as the performance of some contemporary vehicles.” Independent engineers agreed: no unique safety defect. Rollover rates were comparable to peers. The car simply required proper tire pressures and attentive driving—standard for the era. The response was a textbook hyper-overreaction. Nader dismissed the report. Media coverage of the exoneration was minimal. Production ended in 1969 amid the political climate of rising anti-corporate sentiment in the 1960s. The Corvair wasn’t “unsafe at any speed” it was a product of its time vilified for narrative and political momentum more than proven peril. Today, well-maintained Corvairs are beloved classics, a reminder of how safety crusades can sometimes prioritize headlines and power over engineering reality. The saga advanced broader standards but at the unnecessary cost of an innovative car. Today we face the same overreaction with AI models that are “unsafe at any use”. We will know the facts that this reaction was not astute but based on the views of folks raised on science fiction and films like Ralph Nader.
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The greatest tech stocks of all time went public cheap. NVIDIA IPO'd at ~2x sales. Microsoft at ~4x. Apple at ~14x. SpaceX is reportedly coming at ~95x. Price-to-sales at IPO (valuation ÷ trailing revenue): 🚀 SpaceX ~95× $SPCX (2026) 🪙 Coinbase ~67× $COIN (2021) 👻 Snap ~59× $SNAP (2017) 🐦 Twitter ~45× $TWTR (2013) 🏹 Robinhood ~33× $HOOD (2021) 🔮 Palantir ~28× $PLTR (2020) ♾️Meta ~28× $META (2012) 📦 Amazon ~28× $AMZN (1997) 🛒 Alibaba ~20× $BABA (2014) 🔍 Google ~16× $GOOGL (2004) 🚗 Tesla ~15× $TSLA (2010) 🍎 Apple ~14× $AAPL (1980) 🚕 Uber ~7× $UBER (2019) 🪟 Microsoft ~4× $MSFT (1986) 🎮 Nvidia ~2× $NVDA (1999)
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in 90 days, $2T of SpaceX stock is unlocked and becomes tradable... think very many will unload .. ? youtube.com/shorts/Zwpdi5WeU…
Few Truer Words Spoken Insiders Don’t Sell At Bottoms
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Shocking that portfolio of 25/25/25/25 is having its best year since 1933! What in the world ever hits a 97 year high? Allocation to gold is a mind blowing 0.4% STILL TODAY. Adoption never happened for gold. It must be coming. If early for gold it hasn't started for BTC.🚀
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Here's an idea. Rich people own stocks. Voters own bitcoin, eth, sol, alts, crypto. Trump knows voters will determine the elections in November. BTC 160k is only a double.
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🚨🇮🇱 Thomas Massie CONFIRMS Israel used NAPALM on the USS Liberty. 34 Americans were burned alive, skin boiling from their bodies, after the IDF dropped Napalm on the unarmed ship. He confirmed this yesterday in the U.S. Congress.
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Three models just aligned on Bitcoin's next major low. They're all pointing at the same number, while equities are flashing dot-com bubble warnings. Is your portfolio prepared for what's next?
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With all the hoopla with the SpaceX IPO, maybe the real buy is TSLA … ? @elonmusk
🚨 Tesla may be telling us exactly what's coming next through its hiring! @CernBasher points out that Tesla currently has 36 Robotaxi job openings and 172 Optimus-related positions across engineering, manufacturing, testing, supply chain, and operations. The interesting part? These aren't the hiring plans of a company running experiments. They're the hiring plans of a company preparing to scale. From Robotaxi fleet operations to Optimus manufacturing, Tesla appears to be building the teams needed to turn both projects into real businesses. The question is: are investors paying enough attention to these signals? $TSLA
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⚡️Signal
This was built in 6 years, 780 years ago
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⚡️Gold is being re-monetized by states before the public fully understands why. Central banks do not buy gold for yield. Gold pays nothing. They buy it because it has no counterparty, no issuer, no sanctions committee, no maturity wall, no central-bank promise attached to it. It is the reserve asset you hold when you no longer fully trust the reserve system. That is the whole story. The dollar system still functions. Treasuries still dominate. The U.S. still sits at the center of global finance. But the marginal behavior of central banks says they want less exposure to promises and more exposure to hard collateral. That is the same trust migration we keep seeing everywhere. Nvidia trading near sovereign CDS. Big Tech raising capital for AI infrastructure. Bitcoin becoming strategic monetary infrastructure. Central banks buying gold. Data centers becoming private industrial policy. Different surface. Same structure. Capital is moving toward things with harder internal logic. The gold move also reinforces the Bitcoin arc. Gold is the state-safe version of the collateral trade. Bitcoin is the non-state, digitally scarce version. Central banks will generally move into gold first because it is familiar, politically acceptable, and balance-sheet legible. Bitcoin comes later through ETFs, corporate treasuries, pensions, sovereign experiments, and strategic reserve language. Gold is the institutional memory of hard money. Bitcoin is the forward architecture. The cleanest read: Central banks are not buying gold because they expect the world to end tomorrow. They are buying gold because they no longer trust the next decade of the fiat system enough to hold only paper promises. That is the signal. April’s 17 tonnes is not massive by itself. The pattern is massive. China continuing. Poland accelerating. Buyers returning after a brief selloff. Central-bank demand staying alive at elevated prices. That means gold dips remain structurally supported. It also means the debasement/collateral-migration thesis is still intact. The official sector is not acting like the old system is pristine. It is acting like the old system still works, but no longer deserves undivided trust.
BREAKING: Global central banks acquired 17 tonnes of gold in April, the 2nd monthly purchase this year. This marks a sharp reversal from March, when central banks sold -30 tonnes of gold driven by Turkey and Russia. Poland led purchases at 14 tonnes, bringing its year-to-date total to 45 tonnes, with gold reserves now at 595 tonnes. China added 8 tonnes, the biggest monthly addition since December 2024, bringing official gold reserves to a record 2,322 tonnes, or ~9% of total reserves. China has now purchased gold for 18 consecutive months. Central bank demand for gold remains incredibly strong.
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🚨🇮🇱🇺🇸 BOMBSHELL: The Pentagon raised Israel's counterintelligence threat level to "critical," the highest possible designation, over concerns Israel is aggressively spying on top U.S. officials. According to U.S. officials, the Defense Intelligence Agency issued the assessment in recent weeks because Israel is making "a particular effort to surveil top U.S. officials to get information on the Trump administration's internal deliberations and decision-making" on Iran and Lebanon. Yep, read that again. America's "closest ally" is now rated a critical counterintelligence threat, the same tier as hostile foreign powers, because it's spying on the President's inner circle to find out whether he'll resume bombing Iran or sign the deal. The details are stunning. U.S. officials already use burner phones and avoid speaking in hotel rooms when visiting Israel. A CSIS expert calls Israeli intelligence "hyper-aggressive" and "exceedingly interested in what we are up to." Now stack the timeline. Trump screams at Netanyahu, "you're f***ing crazy." The Axios leak that enraged Levin. Netanyahu's letter designing permanent military integration. Section 224 linking the two countries' military systems and data. And now the Pentagon formally designating Israel a critical espionage threat, in the same weeks Congress moves to wire Israel directly into America's defense industrial base. The two stories are happening simultaneously and almost nobody has connected them. The Pentagon says Israel is spying on America at a critical level. Congress is responding by giving Israel deeper access to American military systems than ever before. At what point does Washington admit this relationship is not what Americans were told it is? Source: NBC
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⚡️California has become the public face of elite-governance decay. The state is too rich, too powerful, too culturally important, too technologically central, and too institutionally connected for its dysfunction to be excused as lack of resources. California has money, talent, universities, ports, weather, tech, capital, entertainment, agriculture, AI, defense, biotech, venture, and global prestige. And somehow the machine still produces homelessness, retail disorder, housing impossibility, public-school collapse, absurd bureaucracy, high taxes, fire mismanagement, slow vote counting, and political candidates who feel like products of an insider factory rather than organic public leadership. That is the contradiction people are reacting to. California’s problem is that its ruling class built a system where virtue language replaced execution. Compassion became the alibi for disorder. Process became the substitute for decisions. Rules multiplied until responsibility disappeared. Every failure gets absorbed into another committee, another review, another equity framework, another funding package, another “stakeholder process.” The state has become a machine for converting public money into institutional fog. That is why even culturally liberal figures mocking it matters. The old shield is cracking. For years, the California establishment could dismiss criticism as right-wing hysteria. That move is losing power because normal people across the spectrum can see the lived reality. They do not need Fox News to tell them the streets are worse, housing is insane, schools are weaker, taxes are high, and the bureaucracy feels hostile to ordinary life. The vote-counting joke is a perfect symbolic wound. Maybe the official explanation involves mail ballots, curing, verification, legal timelines, whatever. The public does not experience it as careful democracy. They experience it as a state that cannot complete a basic civic function in a way that feels normal. A rich society that takes weeks to know who won an election looks decadent. That matters politically because legitimacy is mostly vibes before it becomes data. People feel whether a system is competent. Once the competence aura breaks, every weird rule, every delay, every homeless encampment, every boarded-up store, every absurd permit process, every school scandal becomes part of the same story. The story becomes: these people cannot run what they control. That is poison for a governing coalition. What happens from here: California probably does not become red statewide. That is the low-IQ take. The real shift is an internal revolt against the progressive administrative regime. The challenge comes from moderates, parents, Asian voters, Latinos, business owners, public-safety voters, housing reformers, tech people tired of dysfunction, and Democrats who still dislike Republicans but are done defending visible failure. The next winning lane in California is competence politics. Clean streets. Faster permitting. Public safety. School accountability. Housing supply. Visible enforcement. Less ideological theater. More execution. The left-wing machine will call that reactionary. A growing share of voters will call it sanity. The deeper national implication is that California becomes a warning label. Republicans will use it as a symbol of blue-state failure. Democrats outside California will quietly fear being associated with it. Ambitious California Democrats will have to either defend the model or distance themselves from it. That creates real pressure on the party’s national brand.
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Resistance is Futile
US tech layoffs are surging: US-based technology employers announced 38,242 job cuts in May, the highest monthly total since August 2024, according to Challenger Gray data. Year-to-date, tech sector job cuts rose 66% YoY, to 123,653, the highest among all sectors, and 3x larger than transportation, the next closest sector. AI was the most cited reason for job cuts for the 3rd consecutive month, with 38,579 cuts attributed to AI in May alone, the highest since Challenger began tracking in 2023. This accounts for 40% of all layoffs announced last month, up from just 7% in January. Year-to-date, AI has been cited in 87,714 job cuts in 2026, or 22% of the total, already surpassing the 54,836 recorded in all of 2025 and 12,742 in 2024. AI continues to reshape the labor market.
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🚨RED ALERT: Americans Demand Answers as SKY SPRAYING Concerns Explode — RFK Jr., EPA Promises Action — CHEMTRAIL INGREDIENTS [VIDEO] For years, questions about sky spraying, cloud seeding, and unexplained substances in the atmosphere have been dismissed. Not anymore. Millions of Americans are now demanding transparency, accountability, and real answers. 🔥 RFK Jr. 🔥 EPA Involvement 🔥 Growing Public Pressure 🔥 Questions About What’s Being Sprayed Over Our Communities What is really happening in our skies? And why is this debate suddenly exploding nationwide? 🚨 CLAIMS CIRCULATING ONLINE ABOUT “CHEMTRAIL INGREDIENTS” 👉 FULL STORY NOW LIVE: amg-news.com/red-alert-ameri… 📢 Join Telegram: t.me/AMGNEWS2022 🌐 Real Stories. True Journalism: amg-news.com #RFKJr #EPA #SkySpraying #CloudSeeding #Geoengineering #Transparency #BreakingNews #AMGNews
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Longevity ... more than one way "to skin a cat".... 😎
⚡️Those old guys are not being kept alive by beer. They are being kept alive by ritual, friendship, laughter, familiarity, low stress, identity, and a reason to leave the house. The pint is just the social object around which the life-giving thing organizes itself. That is the real signal. A lonely man with perfect sleep scores, perfect supplements, perfect fasting windows, perfect macros, and no deep human bonds is not optimized. He is a well-measured organism slowly drying out. A man who has friends, routine, laughter, meaning, and imperfect habits may outperform the spreadsheet because the nervous system is not a lab panel. It is a relational machine. It regulates through people, place, rhythm, memory, touch, humor, and belonging. The post becomes false only if people use it as permission to romanticize alcohol itself. That is survivorship-bias bait. Plenty of people drank socially and died early. Plenty of “old British guys” are not pictured because the habit wrecked them. The image shows survivors. But the underlying critique lands: health culture has become too biochemical and not human enough. The real line is: Alcohol is poison. Isolation is also poison. A good life is not built by choosing poison intelligently. It is built by refusing to confuse clean biomarkers with actual vitality.
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⚡️This is the regime moving from immigration enforcement to membership enforcement. The border is the visible battlefield. Status conversion is the real machine. This DHS post is aimed at the hidden pathway: enter temporarily, remain physically inside the country, acquire legal friction, build equities, attach to employers, family, schools, lawyers, NGOs, courts, backlogs, waivers, and then convert presence into permanence. That pathway is the structural vulnerability they are targeting. The real signal is brutally simple: being inside the United States will no longer be allowed to create leverage over permanent status. That is a major sovereignty move. Physical presence has been the cheat code in immigration politics for decades. Once someone is inside, removal becomes harder. Delay becomes an asset. Humanitarian claims become stronger. Employers adapt. Families form. Lawyers build process shields. The bureaucracy slows. Public sympathy grows. The state loses clean control over the membership boundary. DHS is trying to break that logic. The deeper move is psychological as much as legal. They are trying to restore fear and uncertainty around temporary status. Temporary means temporary again. The message is directed beyond green card applicants. It is aimed at every visa-holder, sponsor, employer, university, immigration lawyer, and migrant network that has treated U.S. entry as the first I step toward inevitable settlement. The administration wants a bright line: entry is permission, not destiny. This will create pain. Some legitimate applicants will get caught in the tightening. Families will be split. Employers will lose workers. Universities will panic quietly. Immigration attorneys will attack the policy immediately. Courts may narrow it. The economic side will matter too because labor supply restriction can keep pressure on wages and costs in sectors already short workers. But the political machine behind this does not care about smoothness. It wants the collision. The collision proves the point to its base: the old system was full of conversion paths, backdoors, and administrative softness. Every lawsuit becomes evidence for the narrative. Every institution that complains becomes part of the opposition map. The wording matters. “Alien” is statutory language, but the public use is also a signal. The government is returning to cold legal categories: citizen, alien, temporary, permanent, lawful, unlawful. That language strips away the emotional fog and re-centers membership, sovereignty, and permission. The big macro read: this fits the entire Trump 2025-26 regime architecture. Trade policy, immigration policy, industrial policy, security policy, and foreign policy are all converging around one principle: inside access must be earned, controlled, and revocable. Goods. Labor. capital. migration. security guarantees. dollar access. market access. residency. Same governing code. Final compression: DHS is closing the hidden gate. The border was the wall. Status conversion is the pipeline. This move targets the pipeline.
An alien who is in the U.S. temporarily and wants a Green Card must return to their home country to apply. This policy allows our immigration system to function as the law intended instead of incentivizing loopholes. The era of abusing our nation’s immigration system is over.
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An alien who is in the U.S. temporarily and wants a Green Card must return to their home country to apply. This policy allows our immigration system to function as the law intended instead of incentivizing loopholes. The era of abusing our nation’s immigration system is over.
EXCLUSIVE: Trump Admin Closes Loophole Letting Migrants Stay In US While Awaiting Green Cards: 'We're returning to the original intent of the law' dlvr.it/TSgK6R
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