Joined September 2019
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Mapping the 2016 Vice Presidential Election
One of the biggest electoral showdowns in modern Philippine election history was the six-way Vice Presidential race between a Congresswoman and five Senators in 2016. Regional strengths are clearly visible.
π³οΈπΊοΈπ΅π
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
TAOS-PUSONG PASASALAMAT SA LAHAT NG TULONG
WATCH: Residents of remote barangays in Glan, Sarangani give back to volunteers who came from a six-hour drive from Alabel, Sarangani to bring relief goods.
βKamo pa lang nakaadto diri, pasalamat namo ni sa inyo (Kayo pa lang nakapunta dito, pasasalamat namin ito sa inyo),β they said as they gave volunteers bananas, chickens, and ducks as a sign of their gratitude for the assistance provided to them in the aftermath of the magnitude 7.8 earthquake that destroyed or damaged in Mindanao on June 8. | πΉ: Rhoda May Ebad via @AdrianINQ
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Want to understand more about North Carolina's state legislature? Start with its districts.
This beautiful and informative detailed map of NC's State House and Senate districts shows how we're represented in Raleigh. Get yours! π
store.carolinaforward.org
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Here it is, the widely anticipated, most detailed US electoral simulator. It includes:
-Fully interactive swing-o-meter including all Demographics (Race, Education, Income, and Age)
-Block Group/County/State level map
-Beautiful maps and different modes
Link in the comment:
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Aggregate Updateπ¨
We have added the head-to-head matchups to our aggregateβ¬οΈInteractive here
sites.google.com/view/ianmapβ¦
Expanded field Top 3 <- March 2026
π©Duterte 33-42%
πͺRobredo 18-26%
π₯Tulfo 12-18%
@DeusXMachina14 @QuingAndre
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Duterte has consolidated Mindanao and the Bisaya vote. From matchups, she is well above her 2022 share of 86% in Mindanao. This suggests that a large majority of the 2022 RoSa and Pacman-Sara vote have shifted in her favor.
Visayas 57->62% β¬οΈ5%
Mindanao 86->92% β¬οΈ6%
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Our model of 2022 splitting patterns suggests that a supermajority of Pacquiao voters also supported Duterte for VP, while roughly 3 in 10 voters of Robredo likewise chose Duterte. Meanwhile, about 1 in 6 voters of Marcos opted for Sotto instead of Duterte
x.com/IanIslander3/status/18β¦
28 Jun 2024
How did the 2022 voters paired their Presidential and VP tandem? The 2022 ticket estimate is up now!
Interactive Chartπhere:
public.flourish.studio/visuaβ¦
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Well this is something of note
In HD47, a Hispanic-maj seat that flipped from Biden 13 to Trump 3, the Republican incumbent did not qualify for re-election and Republicans recruited no backed
This seat will be an automatic Democratic FLIP - as two DEMs filed #flapol
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
HOUSTON β Elephant joins Texas GOP convention, and pees right between the press area and delegates, after Gov. Greg Abbottβs speech.
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Jun 12
MALAYA NA NGA BA? π΅π
Isang napakahalagang mensahe mula sa aking amang si Sen. Jose W. Diokno ang gusto kong ibahagi sa inyo ngayong araw ng Kalayaan.
Panoorin ito!
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Jun 10
thoughts and prayers
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Jun 9
SIENA??????!!!!!!
HOLY FUCKING SHIT, TEXAS REALLY IS TOSS-UP.
Jun 9
TX Senate crosstabs by Siena (A)
π¦ James Talarico: 47%
π₯ Ken Paxton: 44%
π¨ Other: 2%
β¬οΈ Not sure: 6%
ββ
π΄ White: Paxton 10
π΅ Black: Talarico 57
π΅ Latino: Talarico 10
---
π΅ Dem: Talarico 96
π΄ GOP: Paxton 76
π΅ Indie: Talarico 18
---
π΅ Age 18-34: Talarico 38
π΅ Age 35-49: Talarico 18
π΅ Age 50-64: Talarico 1
π΄ Age 65 : Paxton 8
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π΄ No College: Paxton 21
π΅ 4 year degree: Talarico 19
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π΄ Men: Paxton 10
π΅ Women: Talarico 13
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By Region
π΅ San Antonio: Talarico 12
π΅ Dallas: Talarico 15
π΅ Houston: Talarico 21
π΅ Austin: Talarico 43
π΄ Rural: Paxton 34
ββ
Fav-unfav
π’ Talarico: 41-34 ( 7)
π€ Patton: 34-54 (-20)
RecconMR | 6/1-4 | 807 LV | R36-D25
reconmr.com/texas-pulse/
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iam ian π΅π retweeted
Jun 9
Presenting state-level generic ballot and approval estimates, among 2026 likely voters, using our survey data @TheArgumentMag!
Some highlights:
AZ: Trump 6 -> D 8
WI: Trump 1 -> D 6
MN: Harris 4 -> Harris 10
TX: Trump 13 -> R 1
FL: Trump 13 -> R 5
theargumentmag.com/p/how-wouβ¦
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OUR FLAG SAVED A LOT OF LEARNERS TODAY π΅π
Nagkaroon ng hindi inaasahang pangyayari sa unang araw ng klase sa Cabantian Elementary School sa Davao City kaninang umaga matapos yanigin ng magnitude 7.8 na lindol ang kanilang lugar.
Sa video ni YouScooper Jessa, isang guro, makikita ang mga mag-aaral, guro, at magulang na nasa school grounds para sa flag ceremony nang tumama ang lindol. Dahil nasa bukas na lugar ang karamihan, agad nilang nagawa ang safety procedures at naiwasang maipit o madaganan sa loob ng mga gusali.
Ayon kay YouScooper Jessa, wala namang naitalang nasawi o nasaktan sa kanilang paaralan. Patuloy naman ang inspeksyon sa mga gusali matapos mapansin ang ilang bitak sa isang building. #YouScoop
Courtesy: YouScooper Jessa Babatuan
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Mistake daw na nagbigay sila ug malita kay Lorenπ€£ ESTORYAHE
Jun 8
Atty. Levito Baligod: The 18 maleta boys did not deliver to Sen. Loren Legarda
Baligod: We are man enough to admit our mistake @bncdotph
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Hello if you can donate please do! @angatbuhay_ph
angatbuhay.ph/ab-be-involvedβ¦
π
Jun 8
Angat Buhay is coordinating with the Angat Bayanihan Volunteer Network to extend immediate assistance to communities affected by the earthquake in Mindanao to monitor developments, assess urgent needs, and prepare for any necessary response efforts.
π Support our #bayanihan operations: donate.angatbuhay.ph/relief
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