SITUATION ANALYSIS: Fable and Export Control Last Friday, at 5:50 PM PT, Anthropic announced that the US government had issued an export control directive to suspend access to Claude Mythos 5 and Fable 5 to any foreign national, regardless of location, including employees of Anthropic. As a result, Anthropic was forced to immediately pull Mythos and Fable from all customers, just three days after their release, until citizenship verification can be implemented. Though frontier models have been withheld from the public for safety testing before, this is the first time that a frontier model has ever been de-deployed after its release. It’s also possible that foreign national AI researchers would be banned from working on frontier models, which would be a major disruption to the industry. The government’s order came after they were warned by Amazon CEO Andy Jassy that Amazon was able to jailbreak Fable. The jailbreak in question was apparently just asking the model to find security vulnerabilities, something white-hat vulnerability researchers do all the time, and something that works on other companies’ models as well. It was not a universal jailbreak that would remove all safeguards from the model. Fable is also likely the most jailbreak-resistant model ever — in fact, its safeguards were so strong that they blocked access to the model entirely for almost any query related to bio or cyber. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the government feared the models being used for military intelligence in adversary countries. On a micro level, it’s unlikely Fable will remain inaccessible to Americans for long. We’ve seen this pattern before: after market close, especially on a Friday, the Trump administration announces a major, unprecedented policy decision. X reacts in shock; many denounce it as arbitrary, capricious, foolish. Then, after a panicked intervention from some administration insider, perhaps warning the president of the policy’s impact on the stock market, the decision is rolled back or otherwise defanged, and the market opens up again. This has happened with tariffs, threats to fire Jerome Powell, and the designation of Anthropic as a supply chain risk in March. Anthropic has sent a delegation to the White House to negotiate, and prediction markets expect Fable access to be restored to customers within 1-2 weeks. On a macro level, the influence of government over the AI industry continues to rapidly advance. In just a month we’ve gone from the Trump administration touting its laissez-faire attitude toward the technology, to implementing a voluntary (for now) frontier model pre-deployment check, to ordering export controls on a frontier model and forcing it to be broadly recalled. There’s no reason to expect this trend to stop, as models get more powerful and government gets more AGI-pilled. And as for countries that aren’t the US or China, now is the time to start building sovereign AI. In 2021 you could build a frontier AGI lab with a few hundred million. In 2023/24 it took a few billion. That number is rapidly rising, and now only a few large nation-states are capable of really doing it — Japan, Germany, Britain, India, France, and a few others. Europe 2031, a scenario forecast released last week, predicted US technological dominance and European indifference to sovereign AI would make the continent economically irrelevant. In the scenario, the US restricts allied countries from accessing frontier models in 2029. In real life, the first warning shot was just fired three years ahead of schedule. We will keep monitoring the situation. Via @theojaffee

A senior U.S. official told reporters that an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon is not a condition for reaching an agreement with Iran. "If Hezbollah attacks, Israel has the right to respond", he said

He was offered a job and turned it down because he was “not interested in working for a Jew.” Replace the word “Jew” with any other religious or racial group, and the outrage would be immediate and universal. Antisemitism has become dangerously normalized on some of our most elite campuses and institutions. What should be condemned without hesitation is too often excused, ignored, or rationalized. If you think this isn’t your fight because you’re not Jewish, think again. Hate never stops with one group. It may begin with the Jews, but history has shown that it never ends there. nypost.com/2026/06/13/us-new…

Starlink’s Fastest Internet in the Sky Is Coming to EL AL. EL AL is signing an agreement with @Starlink to deploy advanced internet service on its aircraft, delivering a fast, stable and uninterrupted browsing experience throughout the entire flight, just like at home. The service will be rolled out gradually beginning in 2027. We continue to invest in the most advanced products and services in order to enhance your travel experience, from the ground to the air. @elonmusk @SpaceX

Refuel energy markets. Rest and rearm the military. Develop a plan to support Iranians to cripple the regime. Enforce sanctions with relentless pressure. Don’t get played at the negotiating table. Test Tehran early. Give little. Demand results. Walk away fast. Hit harder.

The Iran-war defeatists declared failure on day one of the war. The triumphalists are declaring victory before seeing the terms. The rest of us can acknowledge the extraordinary military achievements while reserving judgment until we see the deal itself—and what happens over next 30 days.

You cannot claim that the MOU ends Iran's sponsorship for terrorism if it grants terrorism immunity to Iran's flagship terrorist proxy. Seems obvious.

Update: The Iranian regime is (predictably) threatening to respond to Israeli strikes in Lebanon. To sum up: Hezbollah is a proxy of the regime. The proxy attacked Israel with drones. The Israelis responded. And now the regime is looking to escalate instead of signing a deal.

Prepare for takeoff. ✈️ Flight simulator is now available globally on web to all users. goo.gle/4fBYnWO We've recently added many our most powerful professional desktop features to web. Elevation profiles, new import types, but there's always been one other feature you've been asking us to add to the web version of Google Earth, just for fun... Where will you fly? Share your best maneuvers, views, and flyovers with us!

Trump posted a famous scene from the 3rd episode of “The West Wing” following the recent Iranian attacks on U.S. forces: “What is the virtue of a proportional response?”

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces began launching self-defense strikes against Iran at 5 p.m. ET today at the Commander in Chief’s direction, in response to yesterday’s downing of a U.S. Army Apache helicopter. The mission is a proportional response to unjustified Iranian aggression.

Introducing Claude Fable 5: a Mythos-class model that we’ve made safe for general use. Its capabilities exceed those of any model we’ve ever made generally available.

BREAKING: US Embassy in Jerusalem has directed all U.S. government employees and their family members in Israel to shelter in place until further notice.

If any single one of the Gulf countries attacked in recent days wanted to return fire inside Iran, we would support them in that defense. As we should for Israel now. Some of the Gulf states may lack will and capability, but Israel has both.

BREAKING: Iraq closes airspace following missiles launched from Iran towards Israel, according to NOTAM

11 missiles launched by the Iranian regime. Will Israel strike 11 targets in response?

BREAKING: Qatar has issued a NOTAM redirecting flights from its airspace and providing alternative routes for flights departing Doha and Saudi airports, effective from June 7 to June 14.

More tech, more learning = more doing 📈

Nearly 1.2 million Jews live in Spain, France, the UK, and Canada. They are among the most educated, productive, peaceful and engaged communities in those countries, yet many face antisemitism, intimidation, and threats. The feckless leaders of those countries — beholden to Islamists and radical left extremists in their political coalitions— are unwilling to defend them. The U.S. should be prepared to welcome large numbers of Jewish refugees. Israel should likewise stand ready to fulfill its historic role as a refuge for Jews worldwide. These communities would strengthen whichever country they call home. Their loss would be profound for the countries that failed to protect them. And a big gain for America and Israel.

Alzheimer's patient gets back speech, continence and memory after 5 grams of experimental drug trib.al/y13eanC