Forecaster "belikewater" @XriskFYI @Swift_Centre @SamotsvetyF @RANDforecasting. Superforecaster® with Good Judgment Inc. PhD Neurosci, MA Econ. Opinions my own.

Joined April 2017
274 Photos and videos
Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
just one more lane bro. i promise bro just one more lane and it'll fix everything bro. bro. just one more lane. please just one more. one more lane and we can fix this whole problem bro. bro cmon just give me one more lane i promise bro. bro bro please i just need one more lane t
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
The surge in US health insurance costs shows no signs of slowing: Health benefit costs per employee are expected to rise 6.7% YoY in 2026, to at least $18,500, the biggest annual increase in 15 years. This is more than double the increase seen in 2019 or 2022. Furthermore, health insurers are expected to raise the cost of employer group plans by over 6.0% for the 4th consecutive year. In response, ~66% of large US firms plan to increase monthly employee premium contributions in 2027. Workers who frequently visit doctors and fill prescriptions could see healthcare costs rise as much as 8.0% YoY. US healthcare costs have never been higher.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
laser weeding in broccoli. real-time AI decision making at the edge. whistles and purrs. no chemicals. from our friends @carbon_robotics.

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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
If this peace deal somehow ends up holding, it is very bad news for the Russian government budget. Even with all the oil chaos this year, their oil and gas revenues were -29.8% from last year at the end of May. This doesn’t even factor in inflation.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
IRAN'S MEHR SAYS THE 14-ARTICLE DRAFT MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING BETWEEN IRAN AND THE U.S. INCLUDES: * COMPLETE LIFTING OF U.S. NAVAL BLOCKADE WITHIN 30 DAYS *WOULD SUSPEND SANCTIONS ON IRANIAN OIL AND PETROCHEMICAL SALES * IMMEDIATE, PERMANENT HALT TO WAR ON ALL FRONTS, INCLUDING LEBANON * REOPENING STRAIT OF HORMUZ WITHIN 30 DAYS UNDER IRANIAN ARRANGEMENTS * NECESSITY FOR U.S. AND ALLIES TO PRESENT RECONSTRUCTION PLANS FOR IRAN AMOUNTING TO AT LEAST $300 BILLION *ENVISAGES 60 DAYS OF TALKS ON NUCLEAR ISSUES AND FULL SANCTIONS LIFTING *DRAFT EXCLUDES IRAN'S MISSILE PROGRAM AND SUPPORT FOR RESISTANCE GROUPS FROM FINAL TALKS *CALLS FOR RELEASE OF $24 BLN IN IRANIAN BLOCKED FUNDS DURING TALKS *HALF OF IRAN'S $24 BLN BLOCKED FUNDS MUST BE AVAILABLE BEFORE FINAL TALKS START *FINAL IRAN-U.S. AGREEMENT WOULD BE ENDORSED BY U.N. SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
💢 According to a report by Iranian outlet Khabar Fori, the first tranche of Iranian funds released under a Reuters reported financial understanding with the UAE has arrived in Tehran, despite repeated public denials by U.S. and Emirati officials. The Iranian outlet claims a private Emirati aircraft landed at Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport after bypassing regional flight restrictions, carrying an initial $3 billion transfer of Iran’s foreign currency assets. Flight tracking data reportedly shows an Emirati Boeing 737-7JZ BBJ (registration A6-RJF) flew directly from Abu Dhabi to Tehran on June 8. Citing what it describes as reliable regional and international sources, Khabar Fori says the transfer is part of a broader agreement under which the UAE would release between $10 billion and $20 billion in Iranian funds, with the reported $3 billion shipment representing the first installment.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
The number of confirmed Ebola cases in Democratic Republic of Congo has increased to 782 after 72 new cases were documented in 24 hours, one of the biggest single-day jumps during the ongoing outbreak, government data showed on Sunday. reuters.com/business/healthc…
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
The first vessel to transit the Straight of Hormuz since the announcement of the peace deal between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran is the Maltese flagged liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker 'Disha' utilizing the Iranian traffic separation scheme.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
A Senior Israeli official tells Israel's Channel 13: “This is a disastrous agreement for Israel. There is no one at the top who does not think so, from the Prime Minister to the IDF chief of staff.”
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
Cyber experts warn Fable limits aid attackers and hurts defenders axios.com/2026/06/15/anthrop…
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
🚨 POINT DE SITUATION EBOLA – 13 JUIN 2026 📍 L’épidémie touche désormais 31 zones de santé dans trois provinces : Ituri (20 zones), Nord-Kivu (10 zones) et Sud-Kivu (1 zone). 🔹 782 cas confirmés cumulés ( 72 en 24h) 🔹 181 décès ( 32) 🔹 359 patients en isolement ou hospitalisation ( 35) 🔹 56 personnes guéries ( 21) 🔹 Taux de létalité : 23,1 % 🔹 Suivi des contacts : 56,5 %, en dessous de l’objectif opérationnel. ⚠️ La vigilance reste de mise. Toute personne présentant de la fièvre, des vomissements, de la diarrhée ou tout autre signe suspect doit se rendre immédiatement dans la structure de santé la plus proche pour une prise en charge rapide. 🧼 Le respect des mesures de prévention, notamment le lavage régulier des mains, l’acceptation du suivi des contacts et l’évitement de tout contact avec les personnes malades ou décédées de cause suspecte, demeure essentiel pour freiner la propagation de l’épidémie. 📞 En cas de symptôme ou de suspicion, appelez gratuitement le 151. #StopEbola 🇨🇩
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
Russian Colonel Oleg Sokolenko, the military commissar of Rostov's Pervomaysky and Proletarsky districts, has died after falling from a window of his own apartment. Sokolenko was found unconscious beneath his apartment building with injuries consistent with a fall. He later died from his injuries.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
President Donald J. Trump has posted to Truth Social confirming that a deal has been reached with the Islamic Republic of Iran including the immediate removal of the naval blockade.
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
Breaking News: The U.S. and Iran reached a cease-fire agreement, President Trump said. There was no immediate confirmation from Iran. Follow live updates. nyti.ms/4elrBa3
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Just Curious / @belikewater retweeted
Netanyahu told Trump the IDF will not withdraw from Lebanon and that Israel does not consider itself bound by the Lebanon clause in the U.S.-Iran agreement - Maariv
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