GP/CIO @StarkillerCap a quant driven digital assets investment firm, Founder @Estimize (acq), even I don’t agree today with everything I’ve tweeted

Joined January 2009
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We are reeeeeeeeeeeally gonna need open source to win here
Game theory from here is super interesting: Original Mags (Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) now have a serious non-zero opportunity to tank the frontier labs. Go to the government, kneecap the labs’ motion of putting the latest models out in the wild, become the trusted gatekeeper between the labs and the public at large (including internationally) by having the labs go through their clouds (AWS, GCP, Azure) and implement strict KYC to seal the deal. The frontier labs should have seen this coming years ago and implemented a robust KYC for just this moment. The fact they didn’t is kind of concerning. Why did they not do it? Best guess is because it would have changed the run-rate revenues (downward) which would have then changed funding dynamics - lower valuations, more dilution, less secondary. A valuation reset may happen now anyways, except the labs may end up with less control and more restrictions at the end of it. At the same time, everyone is already clamoring about token prices of the old models from the labs anyways… This couldn’t be a better setup for open source and neoclouds. Big question is can they meet the moment? There are too few of them and their progress seems sporadic at best.
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Imagine traveling somewhere to play baseball as a child, to stand around all day so that one at a time, maybe 3 or 4 times the whole game, you face a slightly better pitcher than you would playing a house league, and that’s it, that’s the whole thing
we tagged along for my nephew’s travel baseball tournament this weekend and I’m floored at how miserable this all seems for the families
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Imagine paying $100,000/year to live in Syracuse, NY during the winter and come out of school with a degree with zero name cache to get the same jobs as the people who paid $5k/year to go to Baruch or CUNY Hunter
Syracuse announced a financial deficit this week after missing their enrollment target. They cite demographics geopolitics, but the answer is much simpler: There are 5.7k higher ed institutions in the US, charging way too much for something that is worth less than ever
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Progressive education policy has been amongst the worst public policy sets in the history of this country, not only does it fail to achieve any reasonable objective but its negative externalities are so broad you might just believe the harm to people was the point itself
Berkeley math professor: “Today, the more successful a public high school is at preparing its students, the lower its graduates' chances of getting into top UC campuses like Berkeley and San Diego.” Berkeley admitted 45% of applicants from a high school where nearly 94% of “students failed to meet the state standards in mathematics.” It admitted less than 14% of applicants from a school where “nearly 100 percent of its students in AP Calculus BC pass the national exam with a perfect score of 5.”
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It’s incredible how easily hatable he is
Dolan is such a jackass
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These people just can’t accept that the vast majority of what they see as negative externalities to capitalism are just unassailable attributes of the human condition It wont matter, were headed to a post scarcity world anyway because of AI and robotics
There was once a that socialism would work better than capitalism. This was mostly wrong and post-1989 it seemed like we'd agree on market economies plus a welfare state. But an injection of green degrowth has birthed "socialism will wreck the economy — in a good way!"
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A full time army of AI agents running even 40 hours of week is doing the work of like 40 people, so yea not even a question of whether it's worth it if you orchestrate correctly
Hiring Fable on API pricing Full time (40 hrs / wk) is: $1,248,000 / year wow.
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Without any real ability to stop what’s coming, and the vast majority of time/people just not really having a clue about the technology, politicians are just going to throw shit at a wall trying to slow stuff down to “look like they are doing something” Speed bumps for a tsunami
OpenAI was served with subpoena tonight by a coalition of state AG's asking for documents on advertising, user engagement/retention, handling of consumer data and health data, activities related to minors and seniors, deep learning models, model sycophancy and company policies.
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This is a back door way to force KYC for use of AI and therefore ultimate surveillance of Americans The fact that the free speech maximalists are once again silent on this admin being everything they said they were vehemently against is unfortunately all too predictable
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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It’s going to get really stupid now, the fear is going to 11, and we don’t really have any politicians in serious power who can walk us down a reasonable path
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Monero is literally nothing more than a coin that facilitates crime, that’s it, full stop
NEW: @ZachXBT traced a $120M $USDT laundering attempt with funds routed into $XMR, pushing Monero's price from $330 to $438 before @Tether froze $72M linked to the activity.
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Hate to say it but Iran won the war
The UAE is releasing billions of dollars to Iran as part of a deal to reduce bilateral tensions and assist with reopening the strait. It could be as much as $20 billion. $3 billion has already been delivered, confirming rumors from earlier this week. The move comes after the emirates emerged as the single largest target for Iranian missiles and drones during the war. From confrontation to accommodation. reuters.com/world/middle-eas…
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Putting aside Musk having been brain damaged by social media, you can make your case that our political system should not give so much power to concentrated pools of private money without denigrating the incredible achievement of these companies he’s built
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When (not if) the STRC (and wrappers) ponzi blows up (arguable that it hasn't already), the people facilitating this trade will tell you they were simply facilitating the trade, feeding demand, and it was your fault, not theirs And you know what, they will be right, in a sense
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For now they market it as alpha But no one will care when after it blows up they change the marketing to "it was just beta, buyer beware"
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This once again confuses what the education system is actually designed for Prior to 18 school is designed and optimized for babysitting Secondary education is designed and optimized for a replacement heuristic for lazy employers Nowhere in there is actual learning the THING
I think there's always too much discussion of whether people should or should not go to college and not enough focus on the point that college should be *harder* slowboring.com/p/hard-work-i…
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Being an anti-semitic asshole doesn't seem to pay, does it @Selkis_2028
Crypto-Data Provider Blockworks Acquires Messari at a Discount wsj.com/business/deals/crypt…
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American public education needs to be wholesale liquidated and rebuilt
American student reading and writing scores since 2000 Notice: the decline predates the pandemic
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In similar news, I continue to outline a deal to get paid $10M to play 1C for the New York Rangers next year which I am negotiating with my cat
President Trump has outlined the following terms for a deal with Iran, according to Fox News: 1. The Strait of Hormuz must remain open. 2. No nuclear material - all existing stockpiles will be removed from Iran. 3. Iran's nuclear program must be completely dismantled. 4. No funds will be released to Iran until it carries out every term of the deal. 5. Iran cannot fund terrorist groups.
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Leigh Drogen retweeted
Flagging this because I don’t think it got enough attention in policy circles: YC is saying EVERY one of their startups will use crypto, soon. Folks need to excise thoughts that this issue doesn’t matter from their minds.
We're excited about the US CLARITY Act. We think all YC companies will use crypto technology, like stablecoins, before long. Not just crypto startups, not just fintech startups, but every company. Here's why this law is such a big deal 🧵 x.com/SenLummis/status/20637…
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