Joined April 2010
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18 Nov 2023
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There's a big reality gap right now between people who are actively staying on top of COVID research & those who just trust the current guidelines. There's no judgment here, but I'd like to try to communicate the worldview of the former based on what we know about COVID now: 1/
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Lance Lund retweeted
People ask why the CA vote-counting process takes so long. @Elex_Michaelson of @CNN explains it clearly here. But the short answer is the state values participation plus thorough scrutiny of ballots over speed.

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Given that we knew last year that this horrible disease was marching north towards the US, I'm not sure I would have cut funding @USDA for animal disease control and prevention, including New World screwworm work, and pushed out staff with animal-disease expertise
A flesh-eating parasite that had been kept out of U.S. livestock for decades has been detected in Texas, threatening the nation’s cattle industry and food supply at a time when prices are already high. nbcnews.com/news/us-news/new…
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Trump, Musk and Rubio slashed aid and scoffed that it was woke nonsense. Now they're seeing that it not only saved one life every 10 seconds but also protected us from diseases like Ebola. Their actions constituted a security failure as well as a moral one. More broadly, their fecklessness contrasts with the courage and humanity of doctors and aid workers in Congo and Uganda, lacking adequate PPE but still risking the virus to care for fellow humans. Trump, Musk and Rubio might learn something from them. nytimes.com/2026/06/03/opini…
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Replying to @Bradybits
Initial data (late 2020/early 2021 trials early real-world studies on the original strain) showed the mRNA vaccines were highly effective at preventing infection - what we hoped would be sterilizing immunity for that strain at that time, with strong signals of reduced transmission. Also, I never supported mandates for the general public or non-medical/military personnel. For healthcare workers & military (who take an oath to protect others), it was about fulfilling that duty to vulnerable patients/comrades when data suggested they could spread less. Public health policy requires nuance and trade-offs - not gotchas or absolutes. That’s the teachable moment. 👍🏽
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Replying to @Gfs99999
I agree with you- to an extent. And here’s the nuance: Half of covid cases turned out to be asymptomatic. Which means half of the “sick” people thought they “healthy,” and your own acknowledgement, should’ve been isolated (you don’t quarantine sick people btw). The problem wasn’t the policy- it was the lack of knowledge about viral spread plus lack of testing.
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Lance Lund retweeted
I have said repeatedly I was against mandates for children, and non essential/ high risk (eg medical workers who can expose others). That said, the initial vaccine data showed it to be in fact highly effective against transmission of the initial strains, so while I wouldn’t have gone that route (or the let er rip route of other places, that also caused much harm), I can understand in hindsight why some went that route to try and reopen society.
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Replying to @davidbogdan55
Here’s what people don’t understand about that. Without confirmation of a positive test, or antibody testing, we have no clue if you actually had Covid or something else. Further, the entire reason we do efficacy testing on vaccines is to be able to say with some degree of certainty that if you get a particular dose of exposure via vaccine, you have high percentage likelihood of protection. We have no way of knowing if your mildly positive home covid test (or your cough and sore throat) produced a protective level of immunity. So even if you believe infections can induce future immunity- and I do- it’s still not appropriate or equivalent as a medical / scientific decision to endorse or accept it as proof of likely immunity to the extent that we do so with vaccines.
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Lance Lund retweeted
🚨 We’re in a teachable moment - and we’re blowing it. The same voices who said “no mandates” and “we will not comply” are suddenly fine with hantavirus quarantines and Ebola travel bans. This proves: people support public health measures… when they feel threatened by someone else’s “freedom.” So let’s have some real, nuanced conversation about the value of public health measures (including “mandates”) vs individual freedom trade offs, instead of mindlessly repeating “we will not comply,” or conversely denying that many covid measures in fact went too far…
Replying to @JeromeAdamsMD
Also, I don’t know who needs to hear this, but a travel ban, compulsory testing in airports, and forced quarantines for those deemed at higher risk… are ALL public health mandates.
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Big progress vs cancer, folks. The kind of event curves from randomized trials that we've not seen before for a couple of the most deadly cancers. Congrats to the oncology research community for getting these trial done. #ASCO26, @ASCO
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worth remembering the 2014-2015 ebola outbreak in west africa. the united states was fully engaged, deploying nearly 3,000 service members to help with logistics and health care, and had the Intelligence community studying and mapping out road, air, and water transport routes to limit the potential spread.   important example of effective us leadership and international engagement.
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This is the kind of work, published today, that should be fully supported and prioritized at the highest level. Currently, there is no vaccine vs the Ebola Bundibugyo virus, the source of a major outbreak pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.25…
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"Immune Reset" Rebooting the immune system by depletion of B cells, like a reboot of a computer, to achieve cures vs autoimmune diseases nature.com/articles/s41584-0…
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open.substack.com/pub/paulof… A closer look at the FDA's recent kill shot against an mRNA influenza vaccine.
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2 doses of the measles vaccine is 97% effective at preventing infection. If your kids are not yet vaccinated talk to your pediatrician. theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0…
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Our immune system is the driver of the biologic process of aging. A new and comprehensive review @NatRevImmunol nature.com/articles/s41577-0…
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What can history teach us about what happens when a populist strongman with an idiosyncratic taste for low interest rates undermines central bank independence?
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RT @JeromeAdamsMD: And also as someone who used to run a state health department I can tell you that migrants tend to be willing to be vacc…
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