Welcome! I will share my experiences of doctoral fieldwork in Brazil and reflect on the value of qualitative fieldwork to probe at mechanisms theorised within causal quantitative work to generate new research ideas. Ongoing fieldwork generously funded by @LeverhulmeTrust.

🚨New NBER working paper alert 🚨 🤔2021–2024 was the worst U.S. inflation in four decades. The question: Did voters react to the rising prices, or to the shrinking paychecks? 😱We approached this paper with one major surprise: there is no official measure of inflation at the county level in the U.S. 🌟To study the relationship between inflation and electoral outcomes during, we first had to construct local inflation measures using county-level data on family budget costs and incomes. The answer? -> Check it out! 👇 🔗 nber.org/papers/w35301

Enough with the bleak local politics for a minute. Very excited to share that pre-proofs are out for our JDE article, “Local and Spillover Effects of Trade on Structural Transformation: Evidence from Brazil,” with @JosecoronadoAr and @GuilhermeKlei11. Thread below. 1/9

This looks fabulous! @BMagaloni and @AdamPrzeworski.

🚨 Exciting news! Today, we’re launching DMV-WEPS — the DMV (DC, Maryland, Virginia) Workshop in Empirical Political Science — together with Alicia Cooperman and @ricarthuguet. sites.google.com/view/dmv-we…

My @cps_journal article is now out with issue and page numbers! New article from our latest issue (Issue 8, 2025): "Outsourcing Machines. How Programmatic Parties Include Clientelistic Strategies" by Gonzalo Contreras @gontrerasa.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/ful…

¿Nos ayudan a difundir esta convocatoria abierta? Hasta el 20 de julio de 2025, pueden enviar artículos para participar en el dossier “Juventudes globales. Protestas, organizaciones y activismos estudiantiles internacionales y transnacionales desde América Latina y el Caribe, siglos XIX - XXI” que va a publicarse en la revista "Cahiers des Amériques latines". Este dossier recibe artículos producidos desde distintas disciplinas de las ciencias sociales (antropología, sociología, historia, geografía, ciencia política) que indaguen en las protestas, organizaciones y activismos estudiantiles internacionales y trasnacionales que se impulsaron desde América Latina y el Caribe en los siglos XIX, XX y XXI. Cabe señalar que en las reflexiones habrá que tener en cuenta los múltiples determinantes y facetas de lo social (el tríptico class, gender, race, al cual se pueden agregar la etnicidad, la nacionalidad, la religiosidad y la edad como construcciones sociológicas). ► Pueden leer la convocatoria completa en: - journals.openedition.org/cal… - bit.ly/40PasA8 - bit.ly/3PV1N8S ► Por dudas o consultas pueden escribir a romain.robinet@univ-angers.fr y nicolasdip@filos.unam.mx ► Se reciben contribuciones en español, inglés, francés y portugués. Se agradece mucho la difusión

Para aquellos colegas analistas de datos que estaban interesados en el análisis espacial de los resultados electorales, les comparto el código para minar los datos del CNE y los shapefiles base para descarga: github.com/pablovelascoec/es…

Finland: where attempts at vote buying in come wrapped in blue foil. Stokes was right — but forgot to model the chocolate elasticity of voter compliance.

Join us for the 2025 Brazilian Studies Programme Annual Conference. Register on eventbrite: eventbrite.com/e/2025-bsp-an… 📅 Date: Tuesday, March 25th 🕘Time: 9am - 6pm 📍Where: Mordan Hall, St Hugh’s College

How will global trade rewire following "Liberation Day"? For the past few days, @ViktorStojkoski and I have been working on a new global trade simulation. This network shows our most recent run of the model. Our current forecast is that trade will hollow out around the US--except for Mexico and Canada--and reconfigure around China and Germany. In this scenario, countries like Japan, Brazil, and South Korea gravitate towards China, whereas France, Italy, and the Netherlands gravitate towards Germany. While this network presents an aggregate view, our model also provides sectoral resolution, which we plan to make available in the future. Some of the trends we anticipate here are France becoming even stronger in the exports of aircraft and East and South East Asia losing some of their footwear exports to Mexico, The Caribbean, and Central America. Stay tuned and enjoy this network. More is coming soon.

🚨 Call for applications - Research Assistant 🚨 Valeria Rueda and I are recruiting someone to work on projects on "Violence and narratives in Colombia" Looking for students interested in pol econ/dev, with a good knowledge of Colombian history Deadline: April 15

.@alicekrozer y yo estamos encantados de compartir la convocatoria para el segundo encuentro de posgrados que estudian los temas de las élites, la riqueza y el poder en México. La fecha límite de entregar los solicitudes es 15 de abril. #elites #desigualdad @CIDE_MX @elcolmex

Sebastián Raphael's work "From One-Party Rule to the Presidential-Military Complex: Evidence from Five Mexican Presidencies", examines the relationship between presidential goals and military mandates in Mexico, with excellent comments from Prof. Timothy Power.

Pablo Pizarro shared his paper "Gender, Leadership, and Experience in Prosecutorial Decisions: Evidence from Chile", with exciting results on the decisions of female prosecutors in Chile. Excellent comments from Prof. @egocantos stimulated conversation on theory.

Luis Soto shared his original findings, "Neither Meritocracy nor Kinship for Enhanced Court Performance? The anti-nepotism reforms’ effects on the Mexican Judiciary". With @javierpsandoval's great comments we discussed the inference approach and the state of judicial reform in MX

📢 Excited to kick off the Rising Scholars Workshop on Comparative Politics in Latin America 2025 at Nuffield College, University of Oxford! 📅 Day 1 Highlights: Strong set of papers on migration, judicial reform, gender leadership, authoritarianism, polarisation and more.