Metaplanet from $1.83 to $69.
Model assumptions:
$100M/month preferred issuance of MARS
6% preferred cost
30% BTC CAGR
Sell common stock to pay dividends
Zero common stock sold to buy Bitcoin, EVER
CEBE mNAV linear expansion to 1.55x over 10 years.
Start:
40,177 BTC
2,729 CEBE sats/share
$1.83 implied price
Year 10:
74,166 BTC
4,381 CEBE sats/share
$69.12 implied price
That is 37.8x in the model.
And the share count only rises 10.7%.
If you can raise fiat claims at 6% and buy Bitcoin compounding at 30%, the spread is the entire trade.
CEBE is the scoreboard.
Metaplanet is turning fiat liabilities into residual Bitcoin exposure for common shareholders.
That is the flywheel once prefs get here.
And what if they can raise more than $100m per month?
The senior claim ratio of the balance sheet peaks at month 15 of this model. They have plenty of room to continue adding leverage.
Bullish Metaplanet.