SMI 🇮🇩

Joined May 2021
457 Photos and videos
Disaat semuanya pesimis dan kehilangan kepercayaan diri, saya pribadi luar biasa optimis akan masa depan Indonesia Mungkin sedikit yang berani speak up, walau banyak turbulensi jangka pendek, saya cukup pro akan beberapa kebijakan Pak Prabowo pada timeframe yang lebih panjang
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Indonesia sepertinya betul-betul sedang diserang, lewat naratif dan framing media asing Saya pribadi mencium aroma tidak organik, framing yang dilakukan cukup repetitif, hiperbola, selektif, dan serentak Semoga rakyat kita jangan terlalu polos, tetap objektif dan bisa bersikap
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Info Otsuka Lotec di Indonesia, jika ada ready stock unworn, mohon DM
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Pertamax naik = Pemerintah RI mulai proper dalam mengatur kebijakan harga BBM non subsidi Bullish, tapi kenapa pada marah-marah ya ?
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PaceCrypto retweeted
Glow up banget lo brokkkkkk
Coinfest adalah acara yang sangat memorable bagi saya, pertama kali ikut tahun 2022. Saat itu saya berangkat dari Surabaya menggunakan kereta sri tanjung, lanjut naik bus sehati menuju canggu Dikala itu saya panik, karena ternyata mayoritas peserta adalah orang asing dan orang kaya, sedangkan saya gembel sendiri lontang-lantung kebingungan. Namun tenang, karena kini acaranya sudah sangat welcome untuk siapapun, banyak anak muda & anak kuliahan yang sangat energic Tahun ini, walau market sedang lesu, ikut Coinfest bisa menjadi aktivitas EV dan ROI terbaik yang bisa teman-teman lakukan, siapapun dengan kepentingan apapun
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Coinfest adalah acara yang sangat memorable bagi saya, pertama kali ikut tahun 2022. Saat itu saya berangkat dari Surabaya menggunakan kereta sri tanjung, lanjut naik bus sehati menuju canggu Dikala itu saya panik, karena ternyata mayoritas peserta adalah orang asing dan orang kaya, sedangkan saya gembel sendiri lontang-lantung kebingungan. Namun tenang, karena kini acaranya sudah sangat welcome untuk siapapun, banyak anak muda & anak kuliahan yang sangat energic Tahun ini, walau market sedang lesu, ikut Coinfest bisa menjadi aktivitas EV dan ROI terbaik yang bisa teman-teman lakukan, siapapun dengan kepentingan apapun
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Monggo jika ada yang ingin beli tiket, ada potongan menggunakan refferal saya, terimakasih : coinfest.asia/with/PaceC
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PaceCrypto retweeted
Jun 9
Mythos DeFi hacks are incredibly bullish because that TVL would have disappeared into the ether anyway most of these protocols are scams and a cleansing is long overdue
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In Don Dasco, We Trust
Sufmi Dasco adalah Peter Thiel nya Indonesia
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Video ini 10 kali lipat lebih manjur memotivasi saya, daripada channel motivasi manapun
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Menurut ajaran china kuno Ejakulasi berlebihan = menguras "jing" yakni energi terkuat dan sangat esensial di hidup pria Jing yang terkuras membuat pria lebih rentan penuaan dini, lemas fisik, bahkan lebih cepat mati Entah sugesti atau tidak, saya merasa lebih beruntung dan terberkati jika "jing" saya sedang dalam kontrol kesadaran saya
Sex, orgasm, no fab, masturbation, love, multi-orgasmic techniques, porn, depletion, relationships (long tweet) Wrote a long tweet on this, because I get so many questions about all this. So, I will deal with all questions and comments on this subject in one long tweet in depth. Depletion A lot of people nowadays follow the No Fap movement or try to limit masturbation. This is actually a good development in a world that is completely oversexualized and overpornified. Contrary to common belief, a lot of masturbation is not healthy. Why not? To understand that, we have to dive into Chinese medicine a bit (or listen to the podcast I posted with Damo Mitchell in a few posts back). Essentially, we are born with a limited amount of jing (sexual power). It is the battery of our lives, and the faster we deplete it, the faster we get old and die. Men mostly lose this power through ejaculation, and women through their period and making babies. Simplifying things here a bit. Masturbating, and getting addicted to it, not only depletes this energy faster, but it overstimulates your body unnaturally, and invites even more subtle forces (which Richard Rose discusses in his book The Sex Connection; I won’t go into detail here) which get you addicted. In our society, where we are constantly bombarded with sex images and have heavy porn instantly on our screens and devices, it is no surprise so many people feel burnt-out and overstimulated. A lot of people access this material frequently, resulting in the energy body being totally depleted in many people at a young age, hence the epidemic of depression, burnouts, and emotional imbalance, etc. Normal What is normal? Normal means not overstimulating yourself with artificial material, making love with your partner at a normal/regular interval, and not ejaculating so often (for men) or masturbating more than your age can handle (for men and women). Women don’t lose powerful semen liquid during ejaculation, so this is less relevant for them, but over-masturbation can harm them on more subtle levels just as bad as men (once again, read The Sex Connection book). Women mostly feel depleted after their period, which is normal since the period blood is pure jing energy leaking out. A good rule from Chinese medicine for men is to take your age, divide it by 10, and square it. So if you are 20, divide 20 by 10, which is 2, square it, which is 2x2 = 4. So ejaculating once every 4 days is okay. If you are 30, 30:10 = 3. 3x3 = 9. So once every 9 days. At 40, once every 16 days, etc. Let me emphasize that you can still have as many orgasms as you want! Many people don’t know one can orgasm without ejaculation; see The Multi-Orgasmic Couple book for example. So, no need to cut down on making love. On the contrary, make love as much as you want but deplete yourself less, and you will be supercharged after it. Why trying no ejaculation or no orgasm in one go is not recommended for men and women So what happens when you suddenly stop masturbating or having orgasms? The body is basically a bio-electric machine. Once you stop having an orgasm, this energy (jing) starts building up. After a while, the pressure becomes so great, you have to release it: all natural. See the body as an electrical wire: if you keep increasing the charge, the cable burns out, so the only way to allow a higher charge is to get a thicker cable (up the amperage so to speak). We create such a thicker cable in the body by opening the energy channels. Mostly Taoist and Tantric practitioners have developed exercises for men and women to open the channels and energy centers, so that the body can handle more charge, and more importantly, learn to change this power into higher levels of refined consciousness. So, one literally transforms this power into higher energy centers. This takes years of serious practice to learn, so anyone who suddenly does the no-ejaculation method, without learning this, can seriously harm themselves. Actually, if you do this without proper training, you can kill yourself: the energetic imbalance and power will become so great that you can die or get prostate cancer, which is common in celibate monks that don’t know how to transform this power. So what now? I know this is a sensitive issue, but as always, I try to keep a moderate view. 1: Educate yourself, read the books on The Sex Connection, The Multi-Orgasmic Couple, or any other Taoist or Tantric book on sexual energy transformation. 2: First, try to be normal. Meaning: really love your partner, limit exposure to porn, slowly decrease masturbation rate, and increase meditation rate. This is not easy in a society where we are bombarded by all this material all the time, but it can be done. Realize most animals in nature, or even us humans not that long ago, had sex not that often, and most often to reproduce only. 3: If you are gay or lesbian, realize that you can learn with your partner also to balance energetically: for example, men can draw in yin energy from the earth (I have heard of gay couples that do the doggy style posture for example where the one with the hands on the ground draws in extra yin from the earth through their hands), or for women can draw in yang energy from the sky. Why draw in this energy? To balance the double yang or double yin one sees in homosexual couples. 4: If you try to ejaculate less, no fap, no masturbation, realize that you have to train your body to absorb and transform this higher charge (remember the electric wire, it will burn out if you overload it), so you have to have a proper yoga, Taoist, or any other energy practice to transform this power to higher levels, which takes years or decades. 5: Involve your partner if you have one, learn together, explore energy balancing, make love, don’t feel guilty. You can have a long life ahead exploring this over the years. No dogma. Relationships mean literally “to relate”, so communicate, feel, share. Emotions literally means “e-motions” = “energy-motions”. So learn the movements of energy together and share and discover this whole new dimension of life. 6: Take it easy on yourself. Don’t think you can quit an addiction to masturbation or porn in a day, week, or month. You are dealing with one of the strongest forces in the human energy system, jing, and most have simultaneously conditioned their body to overstimulation of their dopamine system as well. This takes time to reset. So don’t feel guilty when you fall back into old patterns. Go step by step, involve your partner, or if you are alone be gentle with yourself, love, be kind, teach yourself, educate yourself and share with your partner, and realize that in our over-sexualized, over-pornified society, so many people are burnt-out, addicted, or sick, due to the overspending of sexual power. On a personal note: I watched way too much porn when young, over-masturbated excessively, and depleted a lot of my jing at a young age. The Chinese master I went to visit told me at 22 “Tim, if you keep going like this, you’ll die. Harness your powers that you have left.” Years of training it took to not think about porn, balance my energies, learn how to remove even more subtle influences that literally fed these thoughts in my mind, and understand and integrate it all. Luckily, my partner is very open in all of this, and we cultivated our energy together over many years. We practice the multi-orgasmic method together, don’t make love often, but when we do, it is amazing, and we both have multiple orgasms. Over the years, I ejaculated less and less, and thanks to years of training, can transform most of these power into expanded levels of consciousness. But if after some months of not ejaculating the pressure is too great, I do ejaculate, or if we want to make babies as well of course. Also, after and during her period, or after having babies, I respect my wife, support her, but we don’t engage in sexual activities until her sexual energy is settled again. I know all this is a sensitive subject, on which many people have strong opinions, but as always, I don’t avoid sensitive topics, and try to present a balanced view. Usual disclaimers apply: DYOR, be patient, can be wrong, open for everything. Good luck & love to you all
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Hari ini adalah hari pertama saya masuk lagi ke IHSG kembali sejak 2020 Di kala itu saya cuan cukup besar (sebagai anak SMA) di sektor konstruksi karena ada isu SWF Berasa nostalgia, ingin mencoba menerapkan prinsip yang saya pelajari di crypto di saham kembali, doakan saya 🙂
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Jangan lupa untuk mempertimbangkan IHSG, yang menurut keyakinan saya sekarang memiliki risk / reward ratio yang sedikit lebih menarik dari crypto Transisi menuju ASI dan era kuantum akan berjalan tidak mulus untuk crypto (walau endingnya akan baik-baik saja) Beberapa belas hack pada DEFI bulan lalu dan kini Zcash mungkin saja baru permulaan, industri kita sedang meraba - raba cara adaptasi terbaik menuju AI yang super cerdas Saya percaya endingnya baik, crypto akan menjadi semakin kuat, justru kiblat untuk industri web 2 beradaptasi di era ASI, namun proses kesana akan penuh gejolak
Foreign Gamma Only Trade after Tail Event Happen ? Perspektif, Foreign Non-Fundamental Flow : Pertama, Apakah JCI June 26 Qualify buat dikategoriin as "Tail Event" ? Selloff didorong gemuruh overlapping shocks dari makro, flow, sentimen,fiskal, moneter, credit risk, earning risk, Agency Risk, BunaRisk U name It. Broad Based DeRation, as of penutupan kemarin JCI di 9.5X Forward P/E -2.6 SD below 5Yr Mean Doesnt Occur in Previous Cycle, Qualified as Tail Event ✔️ 10 drawdown bulanan terparah JCI sejak 2000 (Ex Juni 2026) diikuti median Gain 5.9% berselang 3 Bulan, 20.2% berselang 6 Bulan, 37.6% berselang 12 Bulan. Dibantu inklinasi Foreign Flow yang balik. EIDO options (delta gamma legs) overlaid sama IDR vol via offshore NDF/DNDF complex (vega leg) Leg 1 Delta (Directional Recovery): EIDO Jul $11 Call Instrument: EIDO Jul 17 $11 Call @ $0.93 Delta: 0.547 | Gamma: 0.021 | Vega: 0.014 | Theta: –0.014/day Capture mean-revert recovery trade at delta 0.547, posisi partisipasi ~55 cent per $1 gerakan EIDO. Theta cost –$0.014/Day over 41 Days post MSCI decision. Breakeven at expiry: ~$11.93 ( 6.2% dari spot $11.23) Leg 2 Gamma (Binary Event Capture): EIDO Jun 18 $11 Put $13 Call Strangle Instruments: Jun 18 $11 Put @ $0.35 (Δ –0.542, Γ 0.060) Jun 18 $13 Call @ $0.23 (Δ 0.413, Γ 0.063) Combined cost: $0.58 | Net delta: ~–0.13 (slight downside lean) | Peak gamma: 0.063 (chain tertinggi di jeda expiry dimaksud) Jun 18 expiry (12 days) capture MSCI review binary direct. $13 call struck ~16% OTM sharp recovery rally (on clean MSCI pass) push in the money. $11 put profit on further leg down (MSCI downgrade / IDR shock). Gamma of 0.060–0.063 at strike highest nearterm chain, maximizing convexity per dollar premium. Max gamma scalping window: Days 1–7 post-MSCI announcement, when realized vol spike or collapse sharply. Leg 3 Vega (IDR Structural Risk): USDIDR NDF Topside USD Calls Instrument: USDIDR 3M USD Call (NDF/Offshore) struck at ~18,135 (3M NDF fwd), IV input: 8.348% Alternative: 6M USD Call struck at ~18,264, IV: 8.530% captures BI rate cycle and fiscal credibility timeline Leg yang ini pure vega, IDR vol expansion bareng pelemahan IDR, independent of EIDO dynamic. Tenor 3 bulan asumsi bareng Post MSCI - S&P macro resolution window (BI rate path, Fiscal Consolidation, BOP Trajectory) 25D fly 0.475 (3M) confirm fat tail in. inverted vol term structure (1M > 3M) means the 3M tenor offers opportunity for carry. Signal monitoring (term structure, vol, inversion) Front-end inversion confirmed: 1M ATM (7.645%) > 3M ATM (7.475%) Back-end re-steepen: 6M (7.600%) to 12M (7.798%) rising above 3M, indicating market gak ngarep ada rapid resolution, structural IDR weakness is being priced into back end. Dominasi near term stress. tail-event vol signature: priced in immediate binary (MSCI June review, BI credibility) lebih parah dari horizon struktur. 25D RR pindah dari 1.395 (1M) ke 2.000 (12M) — di 12M setara ~25.6% relatif ke ATM-nya (7.798%), skew makin gemuk relatif ke level vol. Cross Asset/ Macro NDF curve price lebih jauh 2.76% IDR depreciate over 12 month spot. kurva upward slope tanda market pricing skenario gradual recovery (sustained weakening path). Konsisten sama narasi twin-defisit / BI hike into defense. ID Tail Event Confirmed, Delta Ride to Recovery, Gamma Monetize the Neutral, Vega Stand in Rebound. Convexity spell Inconviction, Not Yet Gun in Sight, But Close.
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PaceCrypto retweeted
This will happen again: More important than ever to not keep all you money or coins in one place. Personally i have it spread out over various exchanges, cold-storage, banks, and the whole other list of assets i already shared so often We will see many more coins, defi-platforms, crypto-apps, even exchanges probably, exploited thanks to increasingly powerful ai. Not just in crypto, anything with digital exploits will be found, and hopefully patched, but many times it will be too late What happened with zec will happen again Use your brain. These ai-tools are powerful Will come back to this post when the next hack/exploit of a major coin happens
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PaceCrypto retweeted
Now's the time for bullshit projects to say "this can never happen on our better chain". Bugs can happen everywhere, that's a mathematical theorem.
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Sejujurnya saya tidak kaget sama sekali dengan kejadian zcash (saya baru bangun btw, jam tidur kacau) saya akan lampirkan beberapa chat dan komen X saya Ancaman yang memang ada sejak 2018 namun semakin dipertinggi peluangnya oleh AI (inflasi tersembunyi) Zcash sangat kompleks, untuk mencegah double spending tidak menggunakan UTXO yang sederhana, melainkan kita semacam membuat “catatan” yang dindungi oleh serangkaian matematika agar tidak dipalsukan orang AI yang super cangguh, memiliki probabilitas menemukan celah matematika nya (0 day) dan peristiwa kemarin sebetulnya cukup tercium, tim Zcash terlihat kesulitan solve masalahnya, unshielded zec sampai butuh waktu berhari-hari Zcash layaknya suatu sistem yang berjalan dalam black box, cukup sulit mengaudit apa yang terjadi didalamnya, jadi disini audibilitas adalah trade off dari privasi yang diberikan, walau ada turnstile (semacam pengaman agar cap nya tetap 21 juta) Saya percaya hal ini bisa disolve (terkait audibilitas) walau belum ada pendekatan yang sempurna, sampai sekarang tidak ada hack sebetulnya, namun potensi hack semakin besar Saya pribadi sudah jual 70% Zcash saya dalam keadaan profit 150%an atau hampir 3x karena kelambatan tim menyelesaikan update yang mendadak kemarin, ini adalah resiko nyata btw bagi semua crypto, ingat crypto adalah software, AI beresiko menemukan banyak zero-day vulnerabilities
Replying to @sacha
this is the scenario i fear most on zcash, the soundness issue
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Oiya saya tidak bahas Zcash sama sekali ketika rally pertama, saya full akumulasi dan bahas setelah koreksi dari $200 - $350 average saya di $260, jadi sebetulnya sekarang pun masih profit, trade is a trade ada bear case dan invalidation
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Saya sudah TP betulan, average cukup bagus diatas, btw karena uncertainty yang sangat tinggi saya tidak post langsung Dan semua privasi coin dan defi sebetulnya sangat beresiko sekarang, kita baru memasuki cyber apocalypse
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Founder Zcash
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Monthly RSI Bitcoin Masih ada ruang koreksi, namun pada siklus kemarin, kita cukup jauh dari upper band
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