Pollster @EchelonInsights, married an Iowa girl, here for the Realignment, author of Party of the People — “the book that predicted the 2024 election.”

Joined March 2007
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Coming November 4: The paperback edition of Party of the People, with a new epilogue on the 2024 election.
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The gap in living standards between Europe and America is due to policy choices. A lot of the investment that European World Cup tourists are now marveling at has become possible thanks to trillions in U.S. tech wealth. That wealth is available to anyone who participates in the stock market, not just tech founders. And Europe? It doesn’t have major tech companies. It regulates them out of existence. They have an entire regulatory framework built — GDPR — around the imaginary problem of data privacy. The results? No stadiums like ours in every city. No 24 hour gas stations with 50 types of food.
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There’s no reason we need to be done stadium-maxxing. 100k SoFi and 200k Big House.
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Patrick Ruffini retweeted
In 2007, the standards of living in the United States and Western Europe were similar, and most people don’t realize how much things have diverged since the US boomed after the global financial crisis and Europe didn’t. They don’t fully understand how we’re living and we don’t fully understand how they’re living; even when we visit Europe as tourists, we don’t see their tiny, sad flats and their depressing grocery stores. That is why Europeans visiting for the World Cup are going to, like, a Waffle House or a Taco Bell and losing their minds. Stuff we don’t even like or care about is wildly superior to everything everywhere else. We have no idea how rich we are.
World Cup tourists fall in love with middle America — raving about Waffle House at 1 a.m., Buc-ee's gas stations, and strangers driving them to stadiums in the rain. Oxford Economics expects 1.24 million international visitors for the tournament, and their viral posts are showcasing a side of the country most foreign media never covers.
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Hopefully New York will be able to hold it together
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Game 6 if it goes back to the Garden
WE’RE GOING TO AN ELLA LANGLEY CONCERT ON THE 18TH AND WE’RE EVEN GOING TO MEET HER!!!!
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Patrick Ruffini retweeted
Yes, Karen Bass & Nithya Raman won Dems. Yes, Spencer Pratt won Republicans. But his reach went beyond Republicans, undercutting some simplistic post-election punditry. Pratt absolutely *crushed* with independents, per @Political_Data >
🚨Nerd Alert 🚨 Especially for the LA Political Nerds. politicaldata.vote/ *Please use laptop/desktop, not optimized for phone This site takes LA County 2026 Primary Election Results, and the @Political_Data records of who voted... and breaks out analysis for EVERY election in LA (except judges) gives you the ability to: - Visualize precinct maps / winners in a district (and the LA portions of legislative/congressional seats) - Select sub-geographies (Mayor by council district, Senate by City, City council seat by neighborhood, etc) - See regression analysis of results by Age, Race, Party and ethnicity, showing correlations or lack thereof. - Take in the Ecological Inference analysis (viewer beware) which gives a statistical analysis of subgroup voting trends. Read the prompt before digging in, EI can seem strange! - Run correlations of candidates against each other - like you can see based on precinct-level data just how much was @nithyavraman tied to @TomSteyer or @kennethmejiaLA While there is a lot of stuff on LA Mayor, this has everything -so you could literally compare governor race to Glendale School board or Long Beach city council, or whatever. This is all experimental. Hope to build out to other counties as we can get access to the data. This was a lot of work... hope you enjoy!! Send feedback as I will continue to play around with this.
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LA has more voters than lots of states. Then it stands to reason that it should have more staffing and resources than those states to count votes. They seem to think that every county regardless of size has the same number of people counting, hence the delays.
Did you know LA County is the largest county in the country? With 2,217,796 ballots cast, LA County's vote total exceeds the combined vote count of five of the nation's largest counties that have held primaries so far, which together cast 2,103,322 ballots.
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These areas should be knocked down and rebuilt into ultra-tall apartment buildings and if you disagree you’re a regressive NIMBY
A GUY AT GOOGLE DEEPMIND MADE AN ISOMETRIC PIXEL-ART MAP OF NEW YORK CITY AND PUT IT ON THE OPEN WEB FOR FREE it's called isometric.nyc you open the tab and the city is just sitting there in classic SimCity 2000 isometric pixel art. you scroll. and it keeps going. and going. i zoomed in on midtown and i could read the H&M signage in times square. in red. as actual pixel-art letters on the side of a building. i could see the crystalline spire of the Bank of America Tower poking out of a clump of skyscrapers. individual rooftop HVAC units. tiny green roof gardens. the little driveway loops in front of the hotels. he estimates the map needs roughly 40,000 tiles. nothing is a placeholder. the guy who made it is Andy Coenen, a senior staff engineer at Google DeepMind. he is not a pixel artist. by his own admission he is "a former electronic musician." what he actually did is kind of insane: > pulled NYC's geometry from the Google Maps 3D tiles API > fine-tuned an open-source image model (Qwen-Image-Edit) on ~40 hand-paired examples of "satellite tile → pixel art tile" > spun up 50 parallel instances on rented GPUs and generated tens of thousands of tiles in a few hours > the fine-tune cost him 12 bucks his own stated mission for the project, verbatim, is one sentence: "what's possible now that was impossible before?" apparently the answer is "one engineer can pixel-art most of a metropolis for the price of a sandwich." and the wildest part to me is he didn't sell it. no signup. no paywall. no NFT. you open the URL and the city is yours to wander. the post landed at 1,325 points on Hacker News and topped bestofshowhn's 2026 list. we live in a timeline where a senior engineer at one of the largest AI labs on earth spent his nights pixel-arting Manhattan for fun and then gave it away. the internet is healing.
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Katie Porter on @XavierBecerra: “And if they implicate him, I have zero doubt that he will be indicted.”
Having spent time with Xavier Becerra on the campaign trail, I know he will stand strong against Donald Trump and look out for Californians across the state. Californians deserve a governor who will fight for our values and bring down costs, not bend the knee to MAGA extremism that will take our state backwards. I look forward to working with my fellow Democratic candidates to elect @XavierBecerra in November.
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Surely where this is going
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Was waiting for this one
We found another surreal place on our way. I know some people will say I’m too positive about everything I see, but this place was crazy. They had a shooting range in the store.
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These in-game models are hugely overfitted.
With 8 minutes left in the game, the Spurs had a huge lead and a 99.5% chance of winning, according to ESPN analytics. The Knicks had just a 0.5% chance of winning -- before ultimately winning
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Patrick Ruffini retweeted
general consultant, digital, fundraising, polling
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This problem would be much worse under the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. Say the popular vote is within 1,000 votes nationally but there's a clear Electoral College winner. How do states decide whether to honor the compact?
Why a national popular vote would be impossible to administer
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Why a national popular vote would be impossible to administer
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Why does Rob Sand look like a JV Henry Creel/Vecna?
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New Raman vs. Pratt vote count chart just dropped.
1 lead change
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Patrick Ruffini retweeted
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New - Florida Governor primary 🔴 Donalds 42% 🔴 Fishback 39% TPSI #C - LV - 6/9
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Wait, I thought they were the fourth largest economy in the world? Shouldn’t that mean they have more resources than Florida to count ballots?
Why is California so slow at counting votes? Here’s Sen. Padilla, the former CA Secretary of State: “For starters, you have to consider the volume. There's more registered voters in California than there are people in Florida. So even if it was just a 50% turnout, it's 11.5 million ballots, more combined than Iowa, Rhode Island, Connecticut.” “Second, it’s a huge amount of vote by mail, and so if you want safe, secure elections…you should run all the safeguards, including but not limited to signature verification, so all that takes a little bit of time, too.” “Third, California is one of the states that allows ballots to come in a couple days after the election. As long as it's postmarked on or before, it should count. It shouldn't be eliminated, because the postal service may be a little bit slow, especially for members serving overseas.”
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