☎️LOCAL ELECTIONS☎️
Where to start? This wasn't a General Election, first and foremost — despite what Nigel Farage has engineered the narrative into.
Our media have been slavishly following him around for weeks as he lied to the country, telling them that they could 'Get Starmer Out'. A load of nonsense, of course, that was never likely.
Dan Hodges and his compadres have been spreading the recurring story that this is a referendum on Starmer's job, but it never was. The Labour Party are not in a position to swap him out right now, Rayner and Streeting are not likely to win or would make worse leaders.
Andy Burnham is not an MP. Despite the rumours, I would seriously doubt that another sitting MP is prepared to give up their seat, trigger a very uncertain by-election, and face a potential disaster of Reform swooping a bonus seat in the Houses of Parliament.
Starmer is there for the foreseeable future. The looming energy crisis almost guarantees that, I'd say. Who wants to come in after an interminable leadership compatition and straight into a possible cost of living catastrophe? Very few I'd suggest.
So, yes, Reform have picked up plenty of new council seats, but it doesn't really change anything at all. Professor Sir John Curtice explained it to a cloth-eared Nick Ferrari this morning, Reform are doing well in the Brexit Heartlands but faltering elsewhere.
The Farage charm doesn't extend out of that demographic very far at all, so their reach is specific and limited.
This was the reason Reform fought so unbelievably hard to have those postponed elections reinstated — a great many of those slated for postponement were in Brexit voting areas. If these areas hadn't voted yesterday, the overall picture would have been far less turquoise.
This way, Farage can have his press conferences, they can claim a wave of victory, but, in reality, they're only shoring up a vote that would have already been in the bag, come a General Election.
Wales is a different story, however, and one in which we won't know the outcome for a while yet. If Reform sneak a majority in the Senedd, it would be a significant win, and unfortunately give Farage a real reason to crow. Labour are forecast to lose their historic foothold in Wales, with Plaid Cymru readying to step up. We wait.
Scotland won't move away from the SNP, but the Reform v. Labour battle could prove interesting. Again, we'll wait to see how that plays out a bit later.
France24 and Al Jazeera both reported this week that they couldn't quite believe how the country was acting over these local elections in England, the media hysteria over, what in real terms, changes very little.
That's how much Farage leads our broadcasters around by the nose; their sycophantic drooling has become a figure of ridicule outside the country, from those observing us.
This has to change for any semblance of normality to return to UK politics, but I don't see it happening any time soon. They worship at the temple of Farage.
Andrew Marr, the once credible BBC journalist, took to the LBC air waves an hour ago to pronounce that Nigel Farage will be the next Prime Minister — almost as though he has inside knowledge. 😒
Happy Friday. 😊