The SpaceX IPO is full of contradictions.
It's a bullish and optimistic bet on the future of humanity but it also resembles a classic hype trap for retail investors.
Every number to know for
$SPCX 👇
- SpaceX is now the 7th most valuable company
- Only ~4% of the company will be in public hands
- Total demand is roughly 5x available shares
- Morningstar sees SpaceX fair value at $63 a share, less than half the IPO price
- 30% of the offering is reserved for retail, above the usual 5-10%
- $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue, a $4.9 billion net loss, $6.6 billion adjusted EBITDA
- The offer price equals roughly 95x trailing sales
- Starlink saw $11.4 billion in revenue and a $4.4 billion operating profit
- Starlink subscribers up from 2.3 million in 2023 to 10.3 million
- Starlink monthly revenue per user has dropped from $99 to $66
- Launch flew 165 Falcon 9 missions last year and commands roughly 90% of global commercial launch by mass, but it lost $657 million
- SpaceX makes Elon Musk the first trillionaire
- Musk's pay package only vests if SpaceX reaches $7.5 trillion and builds a colony on Mars
- Public buyers get Class A shares with one vote each, while Elon Musk owns Class B shares carrying 10 votes, giving him 85% voting power