My overall view at this point (slightly more positive than
@LuizaJarovsky below) is that generative AI chatbots (distinct from domain-specific tools like AlphaFold) will on net increase productivity to a moderate degree in many domains, with large benefits in a few areas. (I also agree with all of Luiza’s cautions round the costs in making this work.)
But those productivity benefits will also come with strong costs to society (misinformation undermining democracy, deep fakes for scams and politics, disruption of high school and college education, delusions that bring some to mental illness, nonconsual deepfake porn, increased cybercrime, greater surveillance, negative environmental impact, etc, to say nothing of an increasingly oligarchical society)
Overall, I am not convinced that GenAI will be of significant net benefit to society.
I would welcome
@emollick’s latest take on this.