Had a 4hr dinner with a SpaceX tech lead fren who joined in 2015. Gotta write down the hot take because it is very different from the usual “
@elonmusk is a tech visionary” story
The less glorified employee perspective is actually more interesting: many core engineers did not stay locked in for 10 yrs purely because of “the vision.” As frontline operators, they often did not even know what concrete vision to believe in.
Going to Mars 10 yrs ago sounded too delusional to be a real operating plan. My fren joked that it was more like “believing in the power of believing” lol
What they did believe in was Elon’s ability to keep winning the next war chest: capital, debt, federal contracts, customer deposits, attention, narrative, most importantly market patience. That matters a lot more than outsiders realize, and ofc thanks to the big mom who keep all the shits together
@Gwynne_Shotwell
In frontier engineering, morale does not only come from mission. It comes from believing the company will survive long enough for impossible work to compound.
Elon’s real genius may be that he turns capital formation into an engineering input.
Put together marginally enough resources > buy engineering time > ship impossible progress > earn more credibility > unlock more resources > make the next impossible bet fundable
This is why his companies keep forming silo network effects then Elon threaded them into a massive macro network effect
- x com first
- Tesla on earth physical traffic charging grid solar grid
- Tesla FSD data network & edge compute network, which was a very underrated E2E track for AV (and most wouldnt bet on that track, ie Waymo spent massive money relying on lidar and HD map)
- Starlink for connectivity first and now compute
- Twitter/X for on earth digital traffic
- xAi and Colossus compute network ...
He also mentioned how X Money fills in the puzzle, which is not random, as the macro network now is looking for its own banking layer, all of which are high-stakes financial gambits that constantly need capital, debt capacity, payment rails, and balance-sheet engineering load.
He has apparently hinted more than once that maybe spacex should just build a bank. The X Money card is still beta, but the perks are already wild: 6% APY and 3% cashback. Employees are extremely doped about it, not just for the perks, but because it makes them feel like first-class citizens of “Elon Nation.” and this might ignite another network effect that will connect them all and eventually evolve into a full bank.
Tesla built the energy/data network.
Starlink built the connectivity/orbital compute network.
X built the attention/distribution network.
xAI built the reasoning and inference network.
X Money tries to close the financial network.
Ya ofc Elon is one of the biggest "technology visionary" in our life time, but I increasingly think the he's the best network effect engineer on earth, which will get us to brute force out of earth itself. And the biggest network of all like
@balajis has shared, is the network state.
Welcome to Elon Nation