Not quite true. Many things derailed the BRICS/GCC/FIC plan, and the analysis had to be adjusted accordingly. However, to answer your question, the duration of the war was one of the things I got wrong. I thought it would be more similar to the 12-Day War. Instead, with the benefit of hindsight, they condensed roughly two years of geopolitical change into three months. I originally thought the MOU would be signed before the Trump-Xi meeting. After that, I said I believed it would be signed by June 12, in time for the SpaceX IPO. Instead, it was announced rather than formally signed. That said, the overall direction of travel has been largely consistent with what I’ve been preparing people for over the years. I’ve published my analysis in real time on my blog, here, and on YouTube. Anyone can search my posts by keyword or ask AI to analyze my forecasts and accuracy. More importantly, each week I review what I got wrong and update my analysis based on what actually happened rather than what I expected to happen. That’s the whole point of analysis: adapting to reality when reality changes. The major themes, however, have not changed. Overall, events have unfolded broadly in line with the framework I laid out before the war began, even if some of the timing and sequencing turned out differently than I expected. simondixon.com/blog/simon-di…

Most people view money as something absolute. A given. The ultimate measure of value. Money, whether euros, dollars, or yen, exists because we use it to buy groceries and pay our bills. When you exchange your labor and knowledge for work, you receive money. When you want something in a store, you spend money. Almost nobody stops to think about the value of that money itself. After all, for most people, a euro or a dollar is the only measure to express value. Things that are worth a lot cost a lot of money. But what that euro or dollar is actually worth rarely enters the conversation. That is strange. If your employer paid you in seashells instead of money, you would probably laugh. Or assume you were being taken for a fool. After all, seashells have no value. Yet when it comes to the money sitting in our bank accounts or appearing on our paychecks, people almost never ask themselves the same question. What exactly am I receiving in exchange for the time, energy, and effort I have provided? Euros, dollars, and yen are treated as if they are the absolute measure of value. But they are not. There is nothing of intrinsic value in our money, nothing that allows us to objectively measure value. People often say that money is backed by trust. By the assumption that others will continue to accept it as a form of value, whether voluntarily or because laws and regulations require them to do so. A more honest answer is that our money is backed by naivety and ignorance. The value of money only becomes visible when you compare it with something else that we assign value to. The prices of goods and services, for example. If prices rise faster than your money grows, the value of your money declines. Most people have at least some understanding of inflation. Prices go up. But they rarely connect inflation to money itself. Inflation makes money worth less. You can also compare money to other things that have served as stores or measures of value throughout history. Gold is perhaps the best example. It has fulfilled that role for thousands of years. When you compare money to gold, or express the value of gold in units of money, the results are shocking. As the chart below from the @IGWTreport (In Gold We Trust Report) illustrates, the value of money relative to gold has collapsed over the past twenty-five years. Whether your money is denominated in euros, dollars, pounds, or yen, compared to gold, you have lost more than 90% of your purchasing power. The value of money is not absolute. By comparing money with the prices of everyday goods or with gold, it becomes clear that value is relative. It also becomes clear that money is a remarkably poor instrument for storing the value of your hard work. Once you truly understand this, something clicks. You are storing the fruits of your labor in something that is structurally losing value. That is not saving. It equals steadily becoming poorer. Anyone who is serious about protecting what they earn starts looking for assets that hold their value better. Gold is a good example. Understanding this is not enough. It is time to act differently and to treat value differently, starting now.

#Breaking 🔥💥🔥 Famous Iranian singer Reza Behrami publishes a new song for Pakistan "Tashakur Pakistan" celebrates the role of Field Marshal of Pakistan in defeating the greater Zionist agenda of disturbing Middle East & destroying Iran. #Irán #Pakistan #IranWar‌ #pakistán

There is an illusion that Trump is 'reining in' a rogue Netanyahu. They are two sides of the same colonial coin, just arguing over the management of imperial decline. Trump threatening to cut off munitions (‘You could be left alone against Iran very soon’) isn’t an anti-war pivot; it’s the panic of a strategically defeated hegemon desperately seeking an off-ramp with Iran. Remember the June 2025 12-day war? Netanyahu’s war machine broke after just five days, forcing him to beg his American master for a ceasefire. Washington isn't restraining its proxy—it's just exhausted from subsidizing its defeats.

ANTI-GOVERNMENT PROTESTERS were on the streets in Indonesia this week. The rise of civil unrest was predicted by several sources, including journalist/ analyst Brian Berletic. Why was trouble inevitable? The leadership of the world’s fourth most populous country has shown signs of independent thinking, as it struggles with economic pressures. Indonesia recently refused to sign a promise to give US jet bombers blanket permission to use Indonesian airspace in a future war on China. The Pentagon was not happy. . THE NED IS ACTIVE Furthermore, President Prabowo Subianto last year criticized foreign NGOs, claiming to “promote democracy”, for interfering in the politics of sovereign countries and weaponizing human rights. This was seen as a reference to the infamous US National Endowment for Democracy (NED), a CIA spin-off which has been active in creating street protests in Indonesia. The NED has been thrown out of Venezuela, Egypt, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Russia and other places for financing, fomenting and training anti-government movements. The resultant civil unrest has often led to loss of life and property, sometimes on a large scale. The rise of independent thinking in Jakarta means (from the US point of view) that Indonesia may need a little “people power” push to usher in alternative leaders. The appearance of civil unrest is always the first step in the regime change system. . LIST OF GRIEVANCES As usual, the protests are said to be based on genuine grievances. The illegal US-Israel attack on Iran caused oil import prices to soar. The Jakarta government maintained some subsidies on fuel to shield citizens and runs a school meal program to ensure children don’t go hungry, but both have been targeted by critics. The local currency has fallen against the dollar, making it harder for Indonesians to travel abroad—but it has lifted the value of remittances family members overseas send home. Still, all this is par for the course. US agitators work quietly to build civil unrest on top of local grievances. Civic society in the country is riddled with US infiltrators. Also, US agents are discreetly financing outlets in Indonesia’s media—using the same “democracy and freedom” mantras they used in Hong Kong and scores of other places. . WEAPONIZING HUMAN RIGHTS Indonesian President Prabowo has been trying to keep the US appeased (he donated to Donald Trump’s absurd “Board of Peace” for Gaza) but has also tried to maintain the country’s independence from foreign troublemakers. “We must not be manipulated by any country,” he said on Pancasila Day, last year. In response, NED, the CIA and related outfits have apparently stepped-up operations. NED is advertising for staff for operations in East Asia. . HIT PIECE Brian Berletic, Angelo Guiliano and the present writer were targeted in a hit piece three weeks ago. Jakarta-based Tempo accused us of being Russian or Chinese agents. Their evidence was that we had falsely indicated that western political groups, like the NED and Internews, were active in the country. But the Tempo report was funded by a western political group: Internews! The very existence of their report proved we were telling the truth. Yet our warnings need to be louder. How to get the truth about US interference more widely known? It’s difficult. Narrative creation is the US’s super-power. It’s clear that that a significant portion of Indonesian media, like Tempo, is serving the US, not Indonesia. International journalists are no help. Mainstream media such as the BBC and Reuters routinely maintain secret news blackouts on references to western political interference operations, even if their presence is blatant. . ASIANS NEED TO WISE UP So Asians have to wise up and fix their own problems. “Nations need to secure their information space,” Berletic said on X yesterday. “Stop allowing US-based social media platforms and their algorithms to determine what YOUR people see, hear, and ultimately THINK.” In the long run, the US wants Indonesia’s government to be allied to them or controlled by Washington—as are many places, including Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines, and Taiwan. The US is busy in Asia, “politically capturing Asian states along China's periphery - Indonesia being one of them,” Berletic said.

RT @richimedhurst: Put aside the fact the US have a history of breaking agreements incl with Iran — why would the US negotiate? Again, no…

RT @richimedhurst: Some don't have the heart to tell you this so I will: The US don't do peace talks. In the Western mentality, "peace" is…

We’ve lost Venezuela. We might lose Cuba. The condition of Palestine is desperate. Global climate action is dead. Technofascists are running everything. The US “left” is Magafied populist trash in possession of zero brain power.

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RT @richimedhurst: The bombs say "MADE IN USA", do they not? Case closed. There is no mystery here.

The late Hassan Nasrallah dropped a truth bomb that still triggers people: It’s not Israel controlling America. America controls Israel. Forget the lazy “Zionist lobby runs Washington” cope. Nasrallah called it straight > the real power sits in U.S. corporate boardrooms and evangelical Christian Zionist circles, not Tel Aviv. Israel isn’t the puppet master. It’s the outpost. The forward base. The expensive, heavily armed extension of American power in the region. Just like it was once Britain’s tool, now it’s Washington’s. The senior partner makes the calls. The junior partner does the heavy lifting and takes the blame. That flips the entire script most people in the Arab world (and plenty in the West) have been running with for decades.

Absolutly☝🏾,..

RT @BrianJBerletic: 🇺🇸/IRAN - There is no US-Iran "Deal" ▪️The US signed multiple arms control treaties with the Soviet Union, then the R…

🇺🇸🇮🇱 The narrative of a managed U.S.–Israel political divorce seems to now being engineered by the MIC ahead of what I believe will be a regime-change operation in Israel later this year. For decades, political incentives were aligned around demonstrating ever-closer ties. Now those incentives appear to be shifting toward creating visible distance. Trump and Netanyahu get to appear as though they are in charge, while the MIC and FIC manage a transition toward a more multipolar world order through reconstruction, investment, and infrastructure contracts. Expect increasing efforts to separate U.S. strategic interests from Israeli political decisions while preserving the underlying alliance through TIC- and FIC-driven capital flows, M&A activity, and deeper integration with GCC & BRICS capital. Watch the narrative. The narrative often changes before the policy. Whatever drama comes next, it’s likely to be theatrical. I believe the deal will be signed and will hold, while the language of resistance gradually gives way to the reality of regional integration. If this thesis proves correct, it will reshape the geopolitical landscape. The nature of conflict in the Middle East will change fundamentally as the region becomes increasingly integrated into a multipolar order shaped by rising Chinese investments and the growing role of GCC and BRICS-aligned capital. In that scenario, the United States does not disappear from the region, but transitions from an unchallenged global hegemon to one major power among several competing centres of influence. My expectation is that power, capital, and security structures will increasingly shift toward managing domestic instability, civil unrest, surveillance infrastructure, and geopolitical competition within the United States, as well as parts of Europe and Latin America. Cuba next? It’s also interesting that Tulsi Gabbard has suddenly begun releasing information regarding U.S.-linked biolabs in Ukraine. Why now?

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RT @BrianJBerletic: 🇺🇸🇮🇩 US-Backed Mobs Back in the Streets of Indonesia as Predicted - China Being the Ultimate Target Just a week or 2 a…

I received several reactions to the discussion I hosted about how nuclear weapons may be used against Europe to restore deterrence. To be clear, this is not a normative argument about what I think should happen or what I think is just. My argument is what I think will happen. European leaders have become so deeply involved in the attacks on Russia that the Kremlin is under great pressure to restore its deterrence. Once Russia retaliates with conventional weapons against European targets (weapons facilities, logistics centres), the Europeans will more forcefully attack Russia. At this point, I believe that it is more likely than not that Russia could launch a limited nuclear strike (with tactical nuclear weapons, not strategic). This should not be a controversial prediction. NATO countries are doing the war planning; their intelligence agencies are doing the targeting; their contractors are pulling the trigger; they are supplying the long-range weapons; and they are also using NATO territory to strike Russia. This will only escalate as the Europeans are talking about mass-producing long-range weapons for "Ukraine" to strike deeper and deeper inside Russia, and are setting dates for when Europe will directly attack. Our political leaders are obsessed with defeating the world's largest nuclear power, which considers itself to be fighting in a war for its existence. It should worry us that our political leaders did not define what a NATO victory looks like in this scenario, and we should also be worried that our political leaders have incrementally become so directly involved in attacks on Russia and still pretend it is merely a war between Russia and Ukraine. Our political leaders sabotaged both the Minsk peace agreement and the Istanbul agreement, and then shut down all diplomacy for more than 4 years while declaring that "weapons are the path to peace". It is obligatory in Europe to pretend this is about "helping Ukraine", but this is dangerous self-delusion. Where exactly did we think this was heading? Is nuclear war not the obvious end? Can anyone imagine it ending in any different ways if we had done this during the Cold War or if Russia were now similarly attacking the US through a proxy? Biden once said that sending F-16s meant World War 3, yet now it has become controversial to point out that NATO clearly crossing the line between proxy war and direct war will trigger a nuclear war. I see no morality in such self-delusion. NATO escalations are now out of control, we are heading to war, and that war will not be limited to conventional weapons. The fact that this is dismissed as a "pro-Russian" argument demonstrates how completely lost we have become in mindless war propaganda. youtu.be/Q8PT0jiemKc

So ist es☝🏾,...

RT @BrianJBerletic: 🇺🇸/IRAN - On Claims of "Final Deal" Being Reached Between US and Iran ▪️The "terms" supposedly agreed to have zero to…

RT @BrianJBerletic: The Philippines faces an existential threat. No, not "Chinese expansionism in the South CHINA Sea," but the fact the P…