From Michael Liss. I write for @3QD. This month, Boomer obligations to the generations that followed them. Time to give back.
Joined October 2013
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Top of the morning to you, fellow Boomers. A few random thoughts about our obligations to our children and grandchildren. Yes, Trump, Biden, Ballrooms, Deals, civic virtue, astonishingly bad polls, but also about us.
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Democrats take Senate? Possible, but need macro conditions to hold--unpopular Trump Congress, plus luck @kkondik @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics NC leans D, AK OH may be within range, but D candidate quality issues in ME (Platner) MI (TBD)
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How big GOP win in 10-state gerrymander? @kkondik 4 @LarrySabato @Center4Politics "Median CD by POTUS performance now VA-1, (R-Wittman) 2 points right of old median district, 3.5 points right of nation in '24
Taking Stock of the 2026 House Map: An Update centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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For D-Day we ought to remember that heroism often comes in small packages of deeds, not sacks full of words. Ike understood that. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…
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RFK assassinated June 5, 1968. "My brother need not be idealized, or enlarged in death beyond what he was in life; to be remembered simply as a good and decent man, who saw wrong and tried to right it, saw suffering and tried to heal it, saw war and tried to stop it" Ted Kennedy
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This is very good, comprehensive but compact. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics The (ruthless?) sorting is eye-opening: "Republicans now hold all 50 Senate seats in the 25 states Donald Trump won all three times he was on the ballot."
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Iowa gets (even) more interesting. @kkondik @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Attractive D candidate (Rob Sand) moves Gov from lean R to Tossup. Retiring Sen Ernst cracks door open: R-Likely goes to Lean. Trump hasn't done well by the state
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So, how much does that Paxton fellow change the Control-of-Senate math? A lean, not a lurch. "GOP went with riskier general election candidate. But, as rating suggests, riskier can still win."
@kkondik @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics
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One out of every six sentences emitted in Cabinet meetings is of the starry-eyed fulsome category. The courtiers try to exceed each other.
Explore this gift article from The New York Times. You can read it for free without a subscription. nytimes.com/interactive/2026…
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If Andrew Ross Sorkin is right, and we are going to have another Crash...this type?
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SCOTUS further unleashes redistricting this time with an explicitly racial impact (motivation not to be imputed). AZ, SC, LA: in depth analysis by @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Purcell Principle evaporates. GOP gains in all 3 states.
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Trump and Iranian war supporter @marcthiessen writes "A weak deal with Iranian regime would do more than cost him the 2026 midterms; it would cost him the exalted place in history he so richly deserves."
To save the midterms, Trump needs victory in Iran washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
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We Boomers may well regret our self-absorption. "The Greatest Generation built lives that were platforms for their children. We took the advantages given to us without calculating the cost to others. That bill is coming due."
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Controlled carnage for Democrats after redistricting? @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics "So still a number of moving pieces here...endgame..GOP advantage of some size could allow them to save their House majority under the right circumstances."
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This three-week old piece is now dated as SCOTUS Callais decision has been followed by a mad rush to squeeze every last GOP House seat a gerrymandered map can provide. Imagine stopping an election while voting was going on...
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"A bit Redder" House, but how much is question from @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics VA Dems will vent, but not plan--this may be universe they must live with. Don't count on FL, where DeSantis allies on FL Supreme Court could deliver for him.
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Ready for a wonkiness to descend upon the land? SCOTUS helped opened the door. From @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics "redistricting vote may serve as an early proxy for which legislative seats are likeliest to host competitive races.
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One of my favorite pieces for @3QD and large thanks for my friend who calmly focussed after to produce smoked turkey worth eating over and again. And we did! 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…
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Read this from Tom Friedman @tomfriedman for its inherent (scary) logic and as an offset to @marcthiessen's relentlessly upbeat Lindsey Grahamism
Explore this gift article from The New York Times. You can read it for free without a subscription. nytimes.com/2026/05/01/opini…
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