i apologize if tmmr goes high risk.

I expect a high risk to be issued today for central Illinois for violent, long tracked tornadoes.

RT @TRGTornado: From what I have seen, I would expect the SPC to upgrade to a 15% Cig 3 or eventually a 30% Cig 3 tornado risk for tomorrow…

what a way to hit 200k @Jeep

OHH MY GODDD

I will reiterate. If you are new to chasing, do NOT chase tomorrow. Please!! Do not chase. #ILwx #INwx #OHwx

Elevated threat of tornadoes detected for Wednesday, June 17th, 2026. See attached map for details. This forecast initialized on Monday night. Follow for future forecast updates.

This might be the craziest AFD I have ever read, and I read a lot of AFD’s. From—NWS Chicago.

back on the road enroute to peoria, i hope meet and see a lot of yall out there tmmr

By the way, with 60kt of 0-3km shear, I would not be worried about a surface inversion forming. Extreme mechanical mixing should form a neutral boundary layer near the surface which I imagine will be conducive to sfc based storms

Wednesday

1:01am CDT #SPC Day2 Outlook Moderate Risk: across portions of central Illinois into northwest Indiana spc.noaa.gov/products/outloo…

Get ready to learn speeding tickets

EVERY...MODEL is basically in agreement for Wednesday for a high end event. Like there's a little variation here and there but they are completely in line with basically a near 0 fail mode event for a absolutely monster event on hand with potentially many significant tornadoes. I mean it's truly not a matter of IF the event will be bad, it's trending to, "Just how bad is this gonna be and just how extreme is the tornado outbreak gonna be". I mean that's not to scare anyone that is gonna chase this or lives here but it's gonna be that extreme of an environment you only see once every 3-5 years. This is honestly one of the highest parameter events I can remember for how guaranteed the high shear will be. It's basically a shoe-in event at this point. EVERY storm that forms will rotate and also why my anxiety is starting to climb cause this will be the highest level event many including me likely will ever chase.

The NWS SPC is not upgrading to D2 High Risk even tho StormNet has a 75% tornado contour pixel so I’m blacked out face down in the driveway. My wife is crying, begging me to come inside and sing Happy Birthday to my son. “Just please reverse the Subaru Crosstrek ” I whisper into the pavement.

I just smashed my 95" TV at my 00z HRRR viewing party all my guests are leaving as I'm pacing around the room in a fit of rage! HRRR not showing numerous discrete supercells with UH-swaths has ruined everything my pet goldfish just walked away and took the keys and said it's going to spend the week at the nearby motel. PivotalWeather has ruined my life I am humiliated I invited everyone to watch the new 00z HRRR and it's GARBAGE. they all laughed at me I'm cancelling my watches parties for HRRR and now throwing watch parties for RRFS where it clearly knows how to convect slabbing supercells across an open warm sector. GOODBYE HRRR!

gulp

Also if this holds this might be the strongest low level jet ever observed in June here in the US because wtf, these are mega winter trough typa hodographs

this song has been on repeat for most of the drive

oh okay.