Stock & Crypto Predictions | Financial Technical Analysis

Joined January 2024
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Jun 11
Lots of people are talking about $AAOI right now, but there are much better bets. Here are 3 stocks that will perform way better imo: 1) $OPTX - optics/photonics components play. 2) $ASYS - semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging play. 3) $SHMD - advanced semiconductor packaging and substrate equipment play. Here are the theses: For a crazy run up, we need a company that checks all these boxes (credit goes to @mkfilko for making this criteria): 0) Enabler: Does this company build the foundation of the AI buildout? 1) Leadership: Is the founder experienced within this niche? 2) Revenue Quality: Is it recurring revenue, or a onetime sum. 3) Revenue Growth: Is there a thesis for an inflection point, or just steady growth. 4) Moat: Is it something only this company can do (at least without a lot of effort time money)? 5) Asymmetry: What's the worst-case scenario vs the possible reward? 6) Conviction Gap: How big is the space between what I can prove today and what the next catalysts will prove. Now let's dive deep. For $OPTX, this is what we got: They are an enabler: AI data-center optics (micro-optic splitters/combiners, light pipes for hyperscale connectors) LEO satellite optics that feed AI infrastructure. ☑️ Leadership: Founder-led. CEO Al Kapoor (Chairman & CEO) built the company from scratch in 1999 and owns 76-83% of the shares. Massive skin in the game. ☑️ Revenue Quality: Custom optics production (recurring once qualified). End-markets: defense (govt-stable), biomedical, AI data centers, space/LEO. Recent $21M capital raise cleaned up balance sheet (repaid revolver). Smaller absolute revenue but high-quality ramps. ☑️ Revenue Growth: 2025 revenue is $28M (flat but bottomed imo). Q1 2026 $6.5M (temporary biomedical shipment timing dip), but Q2 guidance >$7.5M (sequential rebound) and Q3 “strengthen further.” Explicit ramps in AI data-center optics, new defense programs, record space/LEO production. Design-stage programs converting to production.☑️ Moat: Vertically integrated custom photonics manufacturing (nano-machining, thin films, polymer/glass optics) in the Rochester optics hub. Mission-critical, high-precision components for defense/hyperscale AI. Hard switching costs once qualified.☑️ Asymmetry: $430-480M market cap on $28M revenue, but with 2026 ramps in AI/defense/space. Already ran hard (hundreds of percent YTD) yet founder ownership means low float and high conviction. Cash raised; debt cleaned. ☑️ Conviction Gap: Gap = pace of AI optics defense/space ramps converting to revenue. Catalysts: Q2/Q3 sequential beats, new contract announcements, hyperscale production scale-up. Recent capital raise de-risks execution.☑️ For $ASYS we also check all the boxes: They are an enabler: Reflow ovens, diffusion furnaces, and polishing systems go into AI chip packaging/advanced substrates. AI revenue already 30-35% of Thermal Processing Solutions (TPS) and climbing toward 40% in Q3.☑️ Leadership: CEO Bob Daigle (Chairman/CEO) has deep semi-equipment experience. Not founder-led (company dates to 1981), but insiders own 27-34% and are buying aggressively: Director Robert Averick dropped $236k in May 2025 (and $275k earlier) at prices above the then-current level. No selling. New CFO just onboarded cleanly too.☑️ Revenue Quality: Mix of capital equipment >20% recurring parts/services. Customer base diversified across semiconductor/device/assembly manufacturers. Geo mix includes US Asia/Europe (some China exposure but not dominant). Cash flow turning positive with profitability; not dependent on one massive "whale" at all.☑️ Revenue Growth: Clear AI-driven inflection. Q2 FY2026 revenue $20.5M ( 31% YoY, 8% QoQ), bookings $21.1M, backlog $22.3M. AI expected to drive majority of growth; Q3 guidance $20.5-22.5M. The capex is already supporting demand; next-gen high-density packaging equipment launching soon.☑️ Moat: Specialized thermal-processing equipment with long qualification cycles in semiconductors. Established brands (BTU International, Entrepix, PR Hoffman). Hyperscaler-driven AI packaging demand validates it indirectly.☑️ Asymmetry: $320-330M market cap on $80M run-rate revenue that is growing 30% with AI tailwinds. Cash is around $24M. Forward earnings/revenues look cheap vs. AI peers too imo.☑️ Conviction Gap: Gap = exact AI % trajectory and sustained margin leverage. Catalysts: Q3 earnings (AI >40% of TPS), SEMICON Taiwan launch, continued bookings strength. Evidence already leaning right (31% growth).☑️ And lastly, for $SHMD, I'm more bullish than ever: Enabler: Also very strong. $SHMD provides specialized equipment and solutions that directly support AI chip packaging, advanced substrates, and high-performance semiconductor manufacturing. Its core technologies (thermal processing, polishing, and related systems) are essential for the high-density interconnects and thermal management required in AI accelerators. AI-related revenue is already a meaningful and growing portion of the mix and is expected to drive the majority of incremental growth.☑️ Leadership: Solid and aligned. The team has deep domain experience in semiconductor equipment and advanced packaging. Insiders and directors have shown clear skin in the game through recent purchases at prices above then-current levels, with no notable selling. The board and management appear focused on executing the AI-driven inflection rather than short-term optics.☑️ Revenue Quality: High quality with good visibility. A healthy mix of capital equipment sales plus recurring revenue from parts, services, and consumables (typically >20% of total). Customer base is diversified across leading semiconductor manufacturers, OSATs, and device makers. Geographic exposure is balanced (US, Asia, Europe) with manageable China concentration. Cash flow is turning positive as utilization rises, and the business is not overly dependent on a single “whale” customer.☑️ Forward Growth / Inflection: Clear and accelerating. Recent quarters have shown strong double-digit YoY growth driven by AI packaging demand. Bookings and backlog remain healthy, with new-generation high-density packaging equipment launching and expected to contribute meaningfully in the coming quarters. Guidance points to continued momentum, with AI expected to push overall growth rates higher as capacity comes online and design wins convert.☑️ Moat: Respectable. Long qualification cycles in the semiconductor supply chain create stickiness. Established process know-how and technology in thermal and polishing systems for advanced nodes give it an edge. Demand from hyperscalers and leading AI chip designers indirectly validates the platform through the broader packaging ecosystem.☑️ Asymmetry: Attractive. Current market cap in the low-to-mid hundreds of millions against a growing revenue base with 25-30% AI-driven growth potential. Balance sheet is clean with solid cash and improving free cash flow. Forward multiples look reasonable compared with other AI-exposed equipment and packaging names, leaving room for multiple expansion as the AI mix and margins scale.☑️ Conviction Gap Catalysts: The main gap is the precise pace of AI revenue mix shift and sustained margin leverage as the business scales. Evidence is already tilting positively with recent growth and backlog trends. Near-term catalysts include upcoming quarterly results (showing continued AI momentum), new product launches at industry events (e.g., SEMICON), and further design-win conversions. The setup looks asymmetric if AI packaging demand continues to outpace legacy segments.☑️ Now if we look at the TA on each of these, we also got very bullish charts. $OPTX retested its ath and is now breaking out (I'm aiming for 22 on the LTF). $ASYS is breaking out of a 30 years support/resistance zone (while consolidating this whole time). I'm aiming for upper 60s. $SHMD is also testing the previous ath as support here (after consolidating for years). Just finished its A-B-C wave, and is going into an explosive 3 wave upwards. Just my 2 cents on what happens next. But I believe this will be some of the best bets in the market here, even more than $AAOI. What are your thoughts?
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Will you look at that: Since then, $BRUN is up 10%, while $OPTX is down 9%. Perfect trades. The all in challange from 1k to 100k will come sooner then expected. Don't fade my calls next time.
Jun 12
ALL IN TRADE (1k-100k challenge): We played this perfectly... After a 5% gain on $BRUN the first trade, and 10% gain on $OPTX the second trade, I'm going for a bigger % gain this time. Back in $BRUN. Here's what I'm seeing: BRUN/OPTX looks bottomed here (means BRUN should outperform OPTX here). $BRUN also just consolidated over ATH levels, finished its A-B-C wave lower, and is looking like it wants to go much higher. It also just survived massive FUD. TLDR; I just bought $BRUN and closed my $OPTX here. Trade receipts posted below... @kevinxu @CKCapitalxx @bmthofficial you guys might like this post. *This is a very, very small percent of my portfolio. My long-term positions are in $BRUN, $OPTX, and the other AI stocks such as $ASYS, etc., which are active.
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*And no, I'm not selling one share of $BRUN here. I'm holding and aiming for a lot higher. This is just the beginning, let's gooooo!
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Also, if you guys could spread the word to your friends (and repost this main post), that'd be greatly appreciated. Love you all 🙏
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I told you to buy $OUST at 26. Now, I think I just found a much better robotics play. I'll give you guys a hint before I post it (let's see if you guys can guess the ticker): Market Cap: $2.85B – $3.17B TTM Revenue: $430M – $450M P/S Multiple: 5.8x – 6.6x Robotics Exposure: Fast-growing robotics & industrial segment Debt and Cash: $1B in cash & short-term investments with low debt The stage of the company: A fast grower with a proven inflection Hint: I've not heard one person talk about it on X. So, using grok probably won't work here. Think $VPG, but before it hit its 500% run up. That's this. *Yes, I have positions in both. I have had a position in $OUST since I posted it (at $26), and just opened a position in this new stock... It'll be interesting to see what you guys have to say.
May 12
Here are my 3 early-stage robotics bets: 1) $VPG 2) $OUST 3) $AMBA Why? Because in a robotics age, we need 3 main things (which they hold): $VPG is the leader in precision sensors (strain gauges, force/torque/load cells). $OUST is the leader in digital LiDAR maker for 3D sensing and perception. $AMBA is designs low-power edge AI vision SoCs (system-on-chips) for computer vision, video processing, and AI inference. All which, I think, will be the most important parts in human robots (and robotics in general). I'm personally waiting for a buying opportunity after this huge breakout on $VPG, as I think we are due for a short-term pullback. $OUST and $AMBA on the other hand both seem to be in good areas to start dcaing in here: they both have been consolidating and haven't broken out just yet. As robotics will be the future, having some of your portfolio in these stocks is worth it, in my opinion (as a long-term hold). - Con
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This is wrong btw. As a fundamental and technical trader, let me explain why: First off, technical analysis works based on human psychology. @aleabitoreddit knows this, that's why he put the trading human psychology about entries part. But you can use it for much more than that. You can use it to determine entries, exists, when price will move, etc.. That's why we have multiple forms of technical analysis: each form serves a certain aspect. Or at least, that's what I use it for. We got Fibonacci levels (also support/resistance lines that are horizontal). These bank off the fact that each person is human, and we naturally have levels that stir emotions to buy/sell (kind of like finding something aesthetic vs ugly). They're just ingrained in us. Then, we got Elliot Wave theory. This says every move in a chart can be calculated (in cycles): think entries, exits, and price movements even. These cycles (movements in the chart) can be categorized into 2 areas: impulse and corrective waves. Impulse Wave: (1-2-3-4-5) - Wave 1: The initial move in the trend direction (smart money buys early). - Wave 2: Pullback (prices retrace, but don’t go below the start of Wave 1). - Wave 3: The strongest and longest move (mass adoption of the trend). - Wave 4: Another correction, often weaker than Wave 2. - Wave 5: Final push in the trend direction (fueled by FOMO). Corrective Wave (A-B-C): - Wave A: Price goes against the trend. - Wave B: Partial retracement (people think trend will continue). - Wave C: Final move down, completing the correction. Again, these all work due to human psychology, and we can predict entries/exists and moves with them. Even how quickly the stock will move (just check a chart with a 30 year time frame that hasn't moved vs a 1 year one that's really volatile lol). That's TA. And it's showing us something. The difference seems pretty clear to me. Second off, some technical analysis works because people (retail, hedge funds, gov, anyone) thinks it works. This is mainly for horizontal support/resistance lines. You'd be surprised how many average Joes open up google and tell themselves "it hit this level before, I should sell," or "it hit this level before, I should buy." NOW, I agree with Serenity on the fact that TA alone is not a great representation of where a stock will go over the long-term. It's a company after all. Over the short-term, it definitely helps, but as you zoom out to the HTF, over time, TA matters less and less than FA does. But that's why you couple both. Use FA (market cap evaluations compared to other companies, future earnings growth, P/E ratio, and all other metrics) to help determine long-term growth. But for short-term entries/exits and even price movements overall, use TA. If you're saying TA doesn't work, that's false. And if you also want to get rid of confirmation bias on TA as well, do this: First, check the TA before the FA -> then check the FA. This will give you an unbiased review of the TA. Anyways, this has been a long ramble, but this is why I personally use both TA FA for my analysis. Just my 2c.
This is gonna upset a lot of people: But TA is astrology for traders. It's confirmation bias trading human psychology about entries. Kinda like how people frontran $SPCE from $SPCX IPO expecting retail to mess up tickers by trading psychology. $SIVE didn't go up 1900% because of the golden cross space comet firebreathing dragon candle that someone is trying to sell for $499. It's because markets are pricing in future revenue from $JBL, $GFS that got announced. $AXTI didn't go up 8000% because the golden waterfall candle alert sounded back at $8. it's because of InP substrate, game theory on ASP hikes, export controls, photonics demand, and others. If you want to figure out psychologically what other regards are believing, you use TA. But for determining the actual upside... nah People have been drawing $120 TAs on $IREN for the past idk how many months none of that crap matters when there's a $6B ATM that needs to be bought through first. It's by theme (eg. $LITE to $AAOI relations), any news catalysts that affect forward revenue, projections, macro news, earnings, float dynamics, and so on. Then you can just derive what MC that company should be at. So for entry points, sure you can use TA. For determining where the stock heads, just throw the tyrannosaurs rex omega-green candle indicator out the window.
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This guy called $SNDK at $450. Now he's up over 350% in 5 months. Don’t fade his calls next time.
I called $SNDK at $450 🙌 Memory was the obvious AI bet I’m still holding 100% of my position
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Here's my full portfolio (since people have been asking): AI Enablers: $OPTX $ASYS $SHMD $BRUN $IREN AI Beneficiaries: $ZETA $RDDT $NOW $TEAM $SOFI Energy/Power: $SMR $QS $OKLO $VST $SOLS Crypto: $COIN $HOOD $ZEC $HYPE $CYPH Robotics: $AMBA $VPG $OUST $TSLA $BOT Other Undervalued Plays: $NIO $RIVN $AAOI $GLXY $IQE That's really it. If you hold this portfolio for all of 2026, you'll probably make more returns than most hedge funds make every 5 years lol. I do sometimes exit and go into other things, but that is rare, since these are my long-term investments. Am I missing any other stocks worth buying?
Jun 14
People are talking a lot about AI stocks, so here's my list (with reasoning): 1) $OPTX - Pure-play precision photonics for AI data center interconnects. Bullish on strong design wins and being one of the cleanest high-moat enablers in the optics stack. 2) $ASYS - Thermal processing equipment for AI chip packaging and advanced substrates. Bullish on the clear AI revenue mix shift (already 30-40% ) and improving margins. 3) $SHMD - Advanced packaging equipment player with accelerating AI/HPC orders. Bullish on new panel-level packaging tech and strong 2026 guidance tied to AI infrastructure buildout. 4) $AAOI - AI transceiver leader with massive hyperscaler orders and rapid capacity expansion. Bullish on the $1B 2026 revenue guide and being one of the most direct ways to play AI optics demand. 5) $BRUN - AI cloud / GPU infrastructure play with long-term secular tailwinds. Bullish on the multi-year AI data center demand (despite near-term lock-up overhang). 6) $AMBQ - Ultra-low power edge AI SoCs using proprietary SPOT technology. Bullish on the shift of AI from data centers to on-device (wearables, medical, robotics) and its strong balance sheet. 7) $MU - Dominant HBM memory supplier with sold-out 2026 supply. Bullish because memory is now a structural bottleneck in AI clusters and MU has clear leadership in HBM3E/HBM4. 8) $SIVE - AI infrastructure beneficiary with exposure to key enablers. Bullish as an earlier asymmetric call with growth tied to AI buildout. 9) $PENG - High-quality photonics / connectivity solutions for AI infrastructure. Bullish due to excellent execution, clean fundamentals, and strong positioning in the AI connectivity layer. 10) $PDYN - Physical AI and defense autonomy platform with major new loitering munitions deal. Bullish on the IAI partnership catalyst and growing defense revenue visibility. 11) $XFAB - Specialty foundry with exposure to both photonics and power semis plus government backing. Bullish on undervalued growth in AI-critical processes and capex support. 12) $SILC - Networking and smart NIC solutions with AI inference traction. Bullish on 33% growth and design wins in high-performance data center connectivity. 13) $MRLN - Flight autonomy software for military and commercial aircraft. Bullish on high catalyst density (USSOCOM, FAA progress, demos) and asymmetric setup. 14) $ACCON - Physical AI radar/sensing solutions with tier-1 design wins. Bullish on de-risked backlog and being a high-conviction play on sensors for autonomous systems. 15) $AIRJ - Data center cooling solution targeting the water bottleneck. Bullish on niche but real tailwind from hyperscaler water usage constraints and early partnerships. 16) $VIVO - AI data center power and infrastructure pivot play. Bullish on the thematic exposure to AI power bottlenecks despite higher execution risk. 17) $MX - Power semiconductors for AI servers and data centers. Bullish on structural demand for efficient power delivery in AI racks. 18) $IREN - Bitcoin miner with one of the strongest AI/HPC data center pivots. Bullish on power deals and credible shift toward AI infrastructure hosting. 19) $NBIS - Emerging AI data center / infrastructure name. Bullish on early positioning in the AI power and facility buildout with asymmetry at small scale. 20) $CLSK - Bitcoin miner expanding into AI data centers with strong power assets. Bullish on the AI pivot potential while maintaining Bitcoin leverage. There's my list. This is in order of best -> worst, so do with that what you want. My top 5 is what I'm mainly in here (besides my positions in $MU and $SIVE that are already up). Would be curious to hear your guys' thoughts. What are you buying in here?
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People are talking a lot about AI stocks, so here's my list (with reasoning): 1) $OPTX - Pure-play precision photonics for AI data center interconnects. Bullish on strong design wins and being one of the cleanest high-moat enablers in the optics stack. 2) $ASYS - Thermal processing equipment for AI chip packaging and advanced substrates. Bullish on the clear AI revenue mix shift (already 30-40% ) and improving margins. 3) $SHMD - Advanced packaging equipment player with accelerating AI/HPC orders. Bullish on new panel-level packaging tech and strong 2026 guidance tied to AI infrastructure buildout. 4) $AAOI - AI transceiver leader with massive hyperscaler orders and rapid capacity expansion. Bullish on the $1B 2026 revenue guide and being one of the most direct ways to play AI optics demand. 5) $BRUN - AI cloud / GPU infrastructure play with long-term secular tailwinds. Bullish on the multi-year AI data center demand (despite near-term lock-up overhang). 6) $AMBQ - Ultra-low power edge AI SoCs using proprietary SPOT technology. Bullish on the shift of AI from data centers to on-device (wearables, medical, robotics) and its strong balance sheet. 7) $MU - Dominant HBM memory supplier with sold-out 2026 supply. Bullish because memory is now a structural bottleneck in AI clusters and MU has clear leadership in HBM3E/HBM4. 8) $SIVE - AI infrastructure beneficiary with exposure to key enablers. Bullish as an earlier asymmetric call with growth tied to AI buildout. 9) $PENG - High-quality photonics / connectivity solutions for AI infrastructure. Bullish due to excellent execution, clean fundamentals, and strong positioning in the AI connectivity layer. 10) $PDYN - Physical AI and defense autonomy platform with major new loitering munitions deal. Bullish on the IAI partnership catalyst and growing defense revenue visibility. 11) $XFAB - Specialty foundry with exposure to both photonics and power semis plus government backing. Bullish on undervalued growth in AI-critical processes and capex support. 12) $SILC - Networking and smart NIC solutions with AI inference traction. Bullish on 33% growth and design wins in high-performance data center connectivity. 13) $MRLN - Flight autonomy software for military and commercial aircraft. Bullish on high catalyst density (USSOCOM, FAA progress, demos) and asymmetric setup. 14) $ACCON - Physical AI radar/sensing solutions with tier-1 design wins. Bullish on de-risked backlog and being a high-conviction play on sensors for autonomous systems. 15) $AIRJ - Data center cooling solution targeting the water bottleneck. Bullish on niche but real tailwind from hyperscaler water usage constraints and early partnerships. 16) $VIVO - AI data center power and infrastructure pivot play. Bullish on the thematic exposure to AI power bottlenecks despite higher execution risk. 17) $MX - Power semiconductors for AI servers and data centers. Bullish on structural demand for efficient power delivery in AI racks. 18) $IREN - Bitcoin miner with one of the strongest AI/HPC data center pivots. Bullish on power deals and credible shift toward AI infrastructure hosting. 19) $NBIS - Emerging AI data center / infrastructure name. Bullish on early positioning in the AI power and facility buildout with asymmetry at small scale. 20) $CLSK - Bitcoin miner expanding into AI data centers with strong power assets. Bullish on the AI pivot potential while maintaining Bitcoin leverage. There's my list. This is in order of best -> worst, so do with that what you want. My top 5 is what I'm mainly in here (besides my positions in $MU and $SIVE that are already up). Would be curious to hear your guys' thoughts. What are you buying in here?
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Jun 14
If you're a new trader trying to learn technical analysis, read this:
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Long term investment idea: $MRDN I seriously don't know why this isn't talked about. Look here. This seems like an asymmetric opportunity that fits a few categories (Fast Grower Turnaround Asset Play). Fast Grower: This is a small cap with rapid scaling potential through organic growth and five synergistic subsidiaries (Expanse Studios growing 400% , MexPlay 52%, RKings doubled). Revenue has been compounding double-digits, with clear line of sight to acceleration. ☑️ Turnaround: Post-reverse merger, the company delivered its first GAAP profitable quarter in Q1 2026. This is the classic inflection point we want: management fixing the core business and metrics turning (very bullish).☑️ Asset Play: Extremely tight share structure (very low public float high insider ownership) combined with a valuation that still looks disconnected from the underlying business value and future cash flow potential (seems like a great play here).☑️ It has some cyclical exposure (consumer discretionary spend in EMs), but the dominant drivers are secular growth event driven catalysts. Now time for some financials (3 core metrics): 1) Total Revenue: TTM ~$190M. Q1 2026 came in at $50.1M ( 17% YoY). Guidance and subsidiary momentum point to $210–250M annualized run-rate potential as Brazil scales.☑️ 2) Gross Profit: Healthy and expanding margins. The company owns its tech stack and content (Expanse Studios), so it avoids the 15–25% aggregator fees that competitors pay. This structural advantage should widen as B2B content grows imo.☑️ 3) Net Income: Clear inflection. Q1 2026 delivered GAAP net income of $2.26M ($0.18 EPS) versus a loss in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA rose 26% to $6.3M. The prior big GAAP loss was largely a non-cash goodwill impairment (not just an operational cash burn btw).☑️ If we look at this in relation to our economy, I get even more bullish: Government & Regulatory Tailwinds: Global wave of sports betting/iGaming legalization for tax revenue. MRDN has a 25 year regulatory track record and focuses on compliance/CSR, which helps it win licenses and crowd out black-market operators.☑️ Brazil World Cup Catalyst: The 2026 FIFA World Cup (which kicked off June 11, recently) is projected to be the largest betting event in history. Brazil is experiencing its first major regulated World Cup as a legal market. MRDN already holds the coveted Federal license and has local retail digital infrastructure.☑️ Consumer Psychology & EM Growth: Rising mobile/5G penetration young populations in Africa, Latin America, and parts of Europe support long-term growth in discretionary entertainment spend. Sports betting is sticky, especially around major tournaments (just look at any person this day in age lol).☑️ Risk on Environment: Benefits from broader digital entertainment and emerging market growth narratives, while being less exposed to saturated, high-CAC U.S. markets where big players dominate.☑️ There are a few more reasons I'm bullish this: Valuation Disconnect: It's trading at roughly 0.85x TTM revenue while analysts see meaningful upside (average target ~$19.73). At more normalized sector multiples the stock would be substantially higher. The theses correctly highlight that this is not a story that fits neatly into simple DCF models because of the multi-subsidiary, multi-currency, high-growth nature.☑️ Share Structure Scarcity: Very low public float and high insider ownership (~80% range) mean that any meaningful institutional discovery or sustained buying can move the stock dramatically. Insiders rejected a $330M cash exit and have continued buying: strong alignment.☑️ Moat Durability: 25 years operating in difficult emerging markets, low CAC through retail betshops community trust, owned AI/tech stack, and owned content (Expanse). These are hard for large U.S. operators to replicate quickly.☑️ Management & Capital Discipline: CEO Zoran Milosevic emphasizes long-term execution over short-term promises and has a clear “we will not operate at a loss” philosophy. This matches the type of disciplined operator you tend to favor.☑️ Catalyst Path: Near-term (World Cup volume Brazil ramp), medium-term (subsidiary cross-selling margin expansion), and longer-term (continued global expansion and potential re-rating as a scaled international player).☑️ I mean cmon. Read this: It has just validated a profitability inflection, trades at a significant discount to its growth trajectory and sector multiples, and is entering a major catalyst window (2026 World Cup Brazil ramp) with structural moats that larger competitors have struggled to replicate in emerging markets. Now tell me you're not bullish. You can't lol. If we're looking at the technicals, it is also showing us a bullish structure. We got a double formation on the bottom, showing great support and reaction off of a long-term support line. Now, we're retesting this resistance line again for the 3rd time (resistance gets weaker ever time we hit it). We also have a cup and handle formation here. I wouldn't want to be short this here. Just my 2c. Seems like a great stock for a long-term pick outside of the classic AI enabler/beneficiary, crypto, robotics, or health niche. What are your thoughts?
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If you don't know how to position yourself in this market, read below. Trust me, it goes over everything. You won't regret it.
Jun 12
This post will go over exactly how I'm positioning myself in today's market. From my reasoning behind why I think certain sectors will run, to the stocks I'm holding. Here's my market outlook: There are a few niches worth investing in here. I think we can group them in 5 sectors: 1) Companies that enable AI growth (called AI enablers) 2) Companies that grow when AI grows (called AI beneficiaries) 3) Crypto (and companies that do well when $BTC and other cryptocurrencies perform well, called "betas") 4) Robotics (not just humanoid robots, I mean everything robotics) 5) Power/Energy (companies that will fuel the function of AI enablers) Here are a few reasons, and how I'm playing this: Firstly, we are in an energy world. We need energy. It is the new gold, as it powers everything. We got the U.S. government spending money on AI growth, and businesses with 0 clue how it works wanting to get in. I'm not going to say this is a once in a lifetime opportunity, but it's close to it lol. So it makes sense to bet on the companies producing this energy. Think: $SOLS, $OKLO, $SMR, $CEG, $VST, and $QS are a few. My top 3: $SOLS, $OKLO, and $SMR I have further theses for why I like these specifically, but you can just search them up on my profile though. Now, as we said, this is the base later: energy/power stocks. As we work our way up, we're getting closer and closer to "the source" = where the money is rotating to first. The next layer is "AI enablers," think data centers, photonics, semiconductor equipment, etc.. These should all continue to go up as business government spending increases (seems like a clear trend, and nobody wants to be left behind). So I'm buying some names here: $OPTX, $ASYS, $SHMD $BRUN, $AAOI, $DGXX, $IREN, $NBIS, $MU and $CRWV. Again, my top 3 here are $OPTX, $ASYS, and $SHMD. You can read my reasoning by just searching these tickers up on my profile lol. Next, we got the "AI beneficiaries" or the stocks that will go up as AI continues to grow on its metrics. Right now, investors think AI will take over these businesses, but they don't realize AI is actually aiding them instead. If we look at the earnings of all of these companies it is increasing like wild, yet the price is down. Margins are also much better, but investors don't care, YET. So I'm buying in here. Some names: $ZETA, $RDDT, $NOW, $TEAM, to name a few. There are more, but that's a good list. Ok, now time for Robotics. We all know Robotics will be a world changing industry in the future. Legit. From cleaning, cooking, to humanoid robots. It's definitely worth having some $ in this sector. Here are my favorite ones: $OUST, $AMBA, $VPG, and even $TSLA. Yes, Tesla. And lastly, we got Crypto. Everyone is screaming $BTC to 40k, $ZEC is now worthless, $SOL is cooked. But I don't believe it. Every cycle there is some sort of FUD, and every cycle, we come out higher. Things seem to be bottoming out here. Nobody is buying in, and chart seems bottomed on the HTF. So, I'm positioning myself in a few of these for crypto exposure (I'm fine with being a bit early, since these are long-term): Think $COIN, $HOOD, $CYPH, $ZEC, $BTC, etc.. Of course, we can get some stocks in the middle of these: $CLSK, $MARA, $HUT, $HIVE (all which I think will be good). And some more undervalued companies: $NIO, $RIVN, $LYFT for the long-term. But this is just my 2c on where I'm investing in next. Any sectors I should look at, in which you guys are investing in here? What are your guys thoughts?
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Jun 13
If any of you guys have any thoughts against this, or more areas I should look at, feel free to lmk below. I definitely want to adopt a new view if you guys can show me a new way (or better way) to gain $ on something...
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Jun 13
This is 100% bullish for the AI trade btw. You're telling me the government banned our secret, best AI model, and now other countries are going to have to train their own to catch up. This is crazy bullish for compute/hardware ($NVDA, $AMD, $TSM US fabs, hyperscalers like $AMZN, $MSFT, $GOOGL) as governments and enterprises double down on secure infrastructure. Also definitely bullish for defense/tech with security focus (Palantir, etc.). Think: - AI progress is bottlenecked by compute, data, talent, and now policy. - This event tightens the US bottleneck advantage in the short-to-medium term, which is net positive for valuations of companies that can comply and scale securely. Seems simple. So here are the stocks I'm investing in because of this: $OPTX is my top pick for this btw (manufactures precision optics/photonics for defense) $ASYS (semiconductor equipment) $SHMD (indirect equipment) $BRUN (direct AI infrastructure play) $SKYT, $POET, and $AAOI seem to be great bets here too. Other notable ones: Ofc some big names will be such $PTLR, $NVDA, $PLTR, $AVGO, $TSM, $AMD, but I'm not really investing heavily in those, since they've run hard already. $AIP, and $AEHR are interesting ones too, but I'm sitting out here. Just my 2c on what happens next and what I'm investing in here. What are your thoughts?
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Jun 13
I've been saying these names for a bit btw... just saying now we got some added confluence. These AI names are just getting started. Love to see it.
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Jun 13
@grok do you agree with my original take on this, and the companies I provided as bullish then?
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Jun 13
I just got enlightened. Here are my thoughts after travelling Europe: My whole identity had been watching digits on a screen go up. But I never understood why I wanted those numbers. It became an endless cycle: At one point in time, somewhere along the way, I started chasing the numbers, and stopped asking what I would do with the money. I became empty. I had more money. I achieved what I wanted to achieve. But my life had felt emptier than when I had less $ in my bank. It was because of my vision; when I had less money, I had more aspirations. I was dreaming about the WHAT IFs. What if I had money. What if I had freedom. What if I could do this. I was dreaming about my future, not just chasing the digits on a screen. I was wanting to explore. But once I got the money, I just kept chasing it. So, to my followers (and non-followers if you're reading this): I know you guys care about money. I do too. But don't forget about the other values life holds. The things we want this money for. Whether that is treating your friends out to dinner, giving the homeless guy on the street some extra dollars, or buying your parents the nice gifts you always wanted to get them. Keep that in mind. That's why I post my financial content online: to help everyone become financially free. I want to empower financial freedom. So as I hopefully help us all continue to grow our portfolio values, don't forget why we wanted to grow them in the first place. Remember, having the picture on the left enables you to do what the picture on the right holds... that's true wealth.
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Jun 13
These were just a couple of thoughts as I was going around all of Europe. We lose sight of our bigger goal by chasing the $ and % gains. But don't remember what you value in life. That's key. Not societal the indoctrination of working hard -> save up money -> retire young. Make money now, work hard now, while using the money on things you value. You can save money on the way. And trust me, retiring is when you die. What are you going to do all day, sit on a beach in Greece? Tour around Italy? That short-term pleasure only lasts so long. You need purpose.
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Jun 13
Hope you enjoyed that read. Now, back to making the % gains of our portfolio go back up lol.
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Jun 12
I want to go all-in on another stock here. What's a good one? Give me your wildest take.
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Jun 12
Not hearing many wild ones right now (that I haven't heard of). Give me wild ones. Some stocks I've never even considered looking at/buying at all (that's ideally not talked about on X)

ALT Gimme All You Got Heat GIF

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Jun 12
Also, forgot to note: Ideally for a short-term trade, not a long-term investment. I would not go in on the long-term. For a small % of my port on the short-term, maybe just for the one time 😉
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