- Electrification is good for energy security & reducing pollution
- The storage, transmission costs can be reduced by adding more nuclear in the mix with renewables
France shows the way. ~70% powered by nuclear, 20% thru renewables, so it's 90% clean. No need for all that gas
The core analytical error in the "primary energy fallacy" argument, that renewables plus electrification will dramatically cut total energy needs, is that it treats energy as interchangeable.
A TWh of gas isn't just energy. It's dispatchable, energy-dense, and seasonally storable.
A TWh of solar is none of those things without substantial infrastructure to make it so.
The leap from "EV motors are more efficient than combustion engines" to "the transition is easier than you think" skips over the hardest parts of the problem.
Electrification can eliminate some conversion losses while introducing new ones, like curtailment, storage round-trip losses, overbuild, and grid expansion.
If we look at how much infrastructure is needed to support an electric heat pump with renewables in the dead of winter, we'll see that gas delivers far more value than a Sankey diagram shows.