SPACEX VALUATION: $1.75T
WALMART VALUATION: $1.05T
SPACEX REVENUE: $18.7B
WALMART REVENUE: $681B
But it is not a bubble, right?
🚨US STOCK MARKET IS ABOUT TO DUMP HEAVILY:
Apple went public at under $2B and 15x revenue
SpaceX goes public at $2T and 100x revenue
I’ve been in the markets for 13 years, and IPO boom we’re seeing now is the biggest red flag I’ve ever seen.
Here’s what will happen & why:
First, let's talk about Apple example, where you got a $2B valuation with $2T here
So basically retails are not just not getting early but buying at the richest valuations, while early investors just exit
Here is more evidence:
- Fidelity cut min investment from $500K to $2K
- SpaceX allocated 30% shares to retail
- Millions of new buyers invited just before listing
All of that while insiders are owning 95% of shares, which means that $1.66T worth of stock is held privately
And even that's only the beginning
Instead of a standard long lockup, we have 60 days, 20% unlock, 30% stock move and another 10%
Days 70, 90, 105, 120, 135 recurring 7% release and after Q3 earnings another 28%
Means that by November, ~93% of insider shares will become sellable
Institutions are already front-running this forced index buying by:
- shortened inclusion timings
- selling current holdings
- raising cash
Based on all of that, you can already say what crash is waiting for us and we are not even talking about current market weakness
Retails are mass-selling assets to fund IPO participation
And as I said before, institutions are selling too to prepare for forced buying later
Another great reminder would be that the company itself, I mean SpaceX is losing money heavily
Q1 2026: $4.3B losses
Total losses are at $41.3B
There are the details that retail don't think about cause IPO docs have 300 pages, most just skip all of this info
Anthropic and OpenAI are the same story - valuations inflated by circular investment flows involving NVIDIA, and priced at levels that make little sense.
But the fact that these IPOs don’t deserve their current valuations because the companies aren’t profitable - and likely won’t deliver the profits investors are pricing in - is only half the problem. That’s just why I expect most of them to trade significantly lower within a year.
The other half is where the money comes from.
Capital flowing into these IPOs doesn’t appear out of thin air. Investors sell existing stocks to free up cash and participate in new offerings. That creates selling pressure across the broader market.
We saw the same dynamic during the dot-com era in the late 1990s and early 2000s, and we’re seeing it again today.
That's why if you read this, you probably get the biggest informational edge in your lifetime.
And now choose whether you want to join IPO and become that exit liquidity or actually make money from it
In the coming days I will tell you more details and my strategy on how I am planning to play this out and make money
So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on