$BTC: What do you think?

RT @CryptoSays: The only thing I will share with you guys is this one. You had 9 entire months to short everything to the literal ground. I…

🚢Claims about Hormuz reopening are exactly why we built this: If ships start moving through the Strait with AIS transponders on, you’ll see it in the index — updated every 30 minutes alongside Suez, Bab al-Mandeb and Panama.

Bitcoin putting in the start of a recovery here. We bounced nicely off of the 200w SMA after sweeping $60k and not following through lower. Yesterday closed at $65,700, which was back above the 2021 high and for me, is bullish. What I would like to see for full confirmation of a deviation below $65,000 is this next 2W close above that level. Once $74,000 was breached we were invalidated on our short term expansion thesis and thrown into a bit of a no mans land. From here, I think we are going to mess around between the Realised Cap at $54,000 and the 1D 200 SMA which is now at $78,500. Close that 2W above $65,000 and I think the bottom is in, although i wouldn't expect as fast as a recovery as i was expecting above $74,000. Fall back down below and close this 2W as a retest of the $65,000 low, and I think we see $54,000. Either way, worst is over imo.

I do not understand, in 2026, why anyone is shorting anything, and I have, over the last several years, watched a generation of intelligent, well-credentialed, technically sophisticated investors set fire to their capital on the short side of a market that has been telegraphing its direction with the subtlety of a marching band, and the only explanation I have ever been able to construct is that none of these people have read a single page of monetary history written before 1990. The setup is not subtle. The federal government is running a 7% structural deficit with no political coalition in either party willing to address it. The Treasury is issuing debt at a pace that will push publicly held debt-to-GDP past 130% within five years, which is the level at which, historically, every government in recorded history has either inflated its way out, defaulted, or both. The Fed is, regardless of what it says in public, the marginal buyer of that debt, and the only mechanism it has to fund the purchases is the creation of new dollars. The money is being printed. The debt is being monetized. The currency is being debased. And asset prices, which are denominated in the currency being debased, are doing the only thing they have ever done in any country that has ever tried this, which is going up. Every country that has run this experiment has produced the same chart. Weimar Germany in 1922 and 1923 produced one of the most violent equity bull markets in recorded history in nominal terms, as the mark collapsed and the Berlin exchange repriced upward by orders of magnitude. Argentina, across four separate inflationary cycles since 1975, produced in each cycle a nominal rally that outran every short thesis published, while the peso lost 99.9% of its purchasing power. Zimbabwe in 2007 and 2008 produced an equity market that rose so violently the exchange had to be closed because the calculations could not keep up. Turkey, right now, in front of the entire world, has produced a Borsa Istanbul up 1,400% in lira terms while the lira has lost 85% against the dollar, and every short of Turkish equities has been carried out in nominal terms even when they were right in real terms. The lesson is not that asset prices are going up because the businesses are getting better. The lesson is that asset prices are going up because the unit they are measured in is getting smaller, and any investor who positions short against this dynamic is betting against the will and capacity of a government to debase its own currency, which is the single most reliable bet you can lose in 4,000 years of recorded monetary history. The government always wins. The government always debases. The currency always loses purchasing power. The assets always reprice upward in nominal terms, on a path the shorts always insist is unsustainable and that always, somehow, sustains. You can short individual frauds. You cannot short the market. You cannot short the currency itself without being on the wrong side of the largest force in modern capital markets, which is the slow, politically inevitable destruction of the dollar’s purchasing power against everything that cannot be printed. The shorts have been wrong for five years. They will be wrong for the next five. The only investors who will, in real terms, preserve and grow their wealth are the ones who understood, early, that the game is not about being right on valuation, it is about being on the right side of monetary debasement, and the right side has always been owning real assets, productive businesses, scarce commodities, and the one monetary metal that has functioned as money continuously for 5,000 years, while the people on the other side continue to insist this time is different. This time has never been different. The math is the math. The shorts will continue to lose. The owners will continue to win.

The most important thing about markets is survival. There will ALWAYS be new opportunities. Anyone saying otherwise is simply lying. Even during the worst of times, there's opportunity in any market. All you can do during the bad environments, like now for crypto, is learn, educate yourself and focus on the long term. Potentially stack assets you're confident in for years to come. That's all there is to it.

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🚨🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING | If this is confirmed, we can say that the US has lost the war with Iran. The Iranian news agency Mehr, citing the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has published all 14 clauses of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the US: 1. Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 2. The US commitment to non-interference in Iran's internal affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 3. Complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days. 4. The US commitment to withdraw its forces from around Iran. 5. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under Iranian arrangements. 6. Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and derivatives, and full access of Iran to its financial resources. 7. The necessity for the US and its allies to present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least 300 billion dollars. 8. 60 days of negotiations to reach a final agreement based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of primary, secondary, US sanctions, and UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions. 9. Reiteration of Iran's commitment under the NPT treaty not to produce nuclear weapons. 10. During the negotiation period, the US has committed not to add forces in the region and not to impose new sanctions. 11. Release of 24 billion dollars of Iran's blocked funds during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before the start of negotiations. 12. Formation of a supervisory mechanism to implement the agreement. 13. The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council resolution. 14. Final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran's blocked funds, suspension of Iran's oil sanctions, and lifting of the naval blockade, and the final agreement will only cover the fate of enriched materials and enrichment, lifting of sanctions, and Iran's economic reconstruction plan. Discussions about Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups are definitively removed from the agenda. As a reminder, the official signing of the memorandum is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo

i’m gonna go feral 🫪

I did see many people looking for the 30's and 40's. But I think what they failed to realize is that OI fully unwound the buildup it had but price ended up $15 higher due to spot buys from the AF and PURR buying a few hundred million. The supply doesnt exist bc it was removed. hence the $15 net difference at the lows. Every single action that is ever taken on Hype, accrues values to it's holders. Trading, sending receiving, soon 3.5% of USDC supply and then Purr is a dat. 2m per day on average buys and burns in a bear market for crypto. Which Hype is now making sure it isn't attached to just one market. and 2m in a day doesnt really move the needle vs short term flows, but over a year it will have a large impact. combine aqav2 and AF and you have a billion in buys and burns coming in the next year alone assuming no growth and excluding purr

Lot's of lines going on here.. $BTC Red is ATH VWAP, then we have Yearly & 2024 VWAP overlapping We are about to have a ton of overlapping things come into 68k range.. Yearly bands, Quarterly lower bands, ATH vwap lower bands, 30D rolling. That 67-70k range is too sweet.

Roughly 2 hours before my bias may change on Bitcoin direction Currently Bitcoin is slightly above its daily 14EMA valued at $65.3k One daily close isn't enough to fully sway me but its enough to be cautious Consecutive, and I'd just be a braindead bear of which I'm not

fully tped here like&RT for more live trades $BTC

It's the 14th... $BTC Pretty much, to validate the idea that we're bearish for the rest of the month, we need to maintain acceptance below the 65-66K region. If we hold below after the 14th, I think it makes sense to expect a LTF retrace. On the other hand, If we break back above 65-66K, then the likelihood increases that we see an extended push into the 68-70K region before any meaningful retrace.

🇯🇵 Japan Interest Rate Decision & $BTC 👉 Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates again on June 16. Here’s what happened after the previous rate hikes: March 19, 2024 -> $BTC -23% July 31, 2024 -> $BTC -26% January 24, 2025 -> $BTC -28% December 19, 2025 -> $BTC 14% So, as you can see, it’s mostly bearish for $BTC Now June 16, 2026 -> $BTC ??? I still think $BTC has a good chance of making new lows this month 📉 🤷‍♂️

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$BTC With the 14th approaching, paying close attention to the narrative will be crucial in assessing what is likely to unfold over the remainder of this month. If a bullish narrative emerges, a reversal after the 14th becomes likely. Of course, this is simply based on a pattern that has been repeating over the past 10 months.

$BTC Across Bitcoin Bear Markets, July tends to do the opposite to June In 2014, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2018, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2022, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2026, whatever June does - July will likely do the opposite #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin