🇨🇦 Fmr Election Modeller | Quebecer-turned Ontarian | Not a Pollster | Federal New Democrat | Ontario New Democrat

Joined August 2023
95 Photos and videos
CDNpolling retweeted
Poilievre: I try not to think about Mr. Trudeau any more than I have to, like most Canadians.
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New Angus Reid poll modelled: 🔴LPC: 173 ( 4) 🔵CPC: 128 (-16) ⚜️BQ: 25 ( 3) 🟠NDP: 15 ( 8) 🟢GPC: 2 ( 1) Feel free to ask for any ridings ( /- changes from 2025 federal election) #cdnpoli
(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 41% (-3) CPC: 36% (-5) NDP: 12% ( 6) BQ: 7% ( 1) GPC: 3% ( 2) Others: 1% Angus Reid / June 10, 2026 / n=3786 / Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com
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CDNpolling retweeted
(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 42% (-2) CPC: 29% (-12) NDP: 13% ( 7) BQ: 7% ( 1) GPC: 6% ( 5) PPC: 2% ( 1) Nanos / June 5, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com
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Conservative civil war incoming… #cdnpoli

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Interesting (from my model) #cdnpoli
NEW: After months of gains for the Liberal government, the political environment is becoming more competitive. Our latest federal tracking finds: • Government approval down 7 points • Carney's net favourability down 9 points • Liberal lead narrows from 12 to 8 points • Optimism about Canada's direction falls sharply The Liberals remain ahead, but the mood has changed. Read the full analysis: abacusdata.ca/liberal-moment…
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I can’t what is this

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Liberal attempting to govern as a “progressive conservative” not loved by all MPs in a Liberal caucus? News to me. #cdnpoli
As Carney faces pressure to deliver, some Liberal MPs question his leadership style theglobeandmail.com/politics…
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CDNpolling retweeted
As Carney faces pressure to deliver, some Liberal MPs question his leadership style, @MariekeWalsh & @StephanieLevitz report theglobeandmail.com/politics… Find out more at nationalnewswatch.com
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🚨Attention everyone!🚨 Please fill out this federal voting intention and opinion survey! Results will be posted once the sample size is about 500 people. Please share with with everyone you can, and repost this to get a better insight into the state our electorate! 🗳️ Click here to respond: forms.gle/HWrYxyeAadNuw2wY7 #cdnpoli
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of our electorate* oops
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Oh that’s not #cdnpoli
NEW: A Liberal MP told a young Canadian software engineering graduate who testified at a parliamentary committee that he still can't find work in his field to look on the bright side: "At least you're employed" — Juno News
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CDNpolling retweeted
"At speeds not seen in generations" Ottawa pumps the brakes on proposed changes to major project environmental reviews nationalnewswatch.com/2026/0… #nationlnewswatch via @natnewswatch
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Liberal MP’s loyalty posts incoming! #cdnpoli
Since being elected as the Member of Parliament for Halifax, I have always appreciated the support given to me by Prime Minister Carney and my government colleagues.
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Canadian conservatives: who would you vote for on a hypothetical leadership race? docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
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CDNpolling retweeted
BREAKING: New reporting from @althiaraj reveals growing internal tension within the Liberal caucus, with MPs alleging that Prime Minister @MarkJCarney is tightly centralizing power and reacting harshly to internal dissent. 👇🧵 (1/5)
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RT @gmacofglebe: Re “rookie” @tylerwatt: he’s 35. The Premier appointed his then 28 year old nephew to cabinet in 2022.
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Libs are allowed to call conservatives every possible name int he book, including maple maga, trump-adjacent. but the moment that conservatives suggest that the libs are being divisive - my gosh, you can hear the staggering amount of gasps from across the nation.
Of all of Poilievre's questionable verbal forays today, this was the one that made me guffaw
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Ford needs to go. He's had his time, but the PC brand is becoming increasingly tainted by his being in office. Step down and let someone else take the helm. Someone young. Maybe Lecce or have Monte come back.
The fact we're starting to see leaks to media within the PC caucus is a sign things are going off the rails
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CDNpolling retweeted
Booting Hoekstra would probably be counterproductive right now - but the Dutch at least called him out and forced an apology out of him when he behaved like an idiot as ambassador there a decade ago, a bit of a public dressing down would certainly be in order now.
PM Carney says he's not considering expelling US Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over Trump's latest 51st state post, adding that "it's an administration that we have to work with ... We take the administration as it is."
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CDNpolling retweeted
NEW: As the Ontario legislature wrapped up its spring session on Tuesday, Ontario Interim Liberal Leader John Fraser walked over to Premier Doug Ford to offer him a gift: a set of metal wings that pilots typically pin onto their lapels. #OnPoli globalnews.ca/news/11887186/…
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