Joined October 2016
- Tweets 13,550
- Following 356
- Followers 1,653
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Pinned Tweet
I swear I mostly dislike posting bluesky screenshots elsewhere
But this was too funny not to bring to a wider audience
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Ward 1 clearly angling to become the DC Commie Corridor
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isn't Wick's house effect still in the R 3 range?
MAINE POLL - Senate
🟦 Graham Platner: 47.6%
🟥 Susan Collins: 45.4%
——
Net Favs
• Collins (-9)
• Platner (-7)
Wick/2WAY poll | released 6/16
politico.com/playbook
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Dr. Joe is older than Joe Biden by a good 10 months
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So, East Coast Beach-istan swung 9.3% right from 2020-2024 and netted Trump >1M votes.
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Tom Kean Jr is three years away from being three years away
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Could also help Don Davis
Jun 13
A really valuable piece of political science research here: Incumbents drawn into new seats tend to enjoy *nearly identical* incumbency boosts in new and old turf alike. Has big implications for certain races in 2026, like Shomari Figures in AL-02.
decalibrate.substack.com/p/n…
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 13
IN addition to our new Tabula America maps, we are announcing a contest relating to the maps! The contest is to design maps of each state DC in DRA/Redistricter, and the one we deem to be the most unique/interesting will get added to the Tabula America maps!
Rules/how to enter:⬇️
1. Join our Discord at discord.gg/TWehwB4N6N
2. If you haven't already, design maps on Dave's Redistricting or Redistricter, the most important thing is a new and unique idea.
3. Submit your maps in the #map-contest channel. The contest will end on midnight, July 11th.
Good luck!
Link to the maps again:
electioncord.com/suffragium/
electioncord.com/genus/
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 12
Our advanced search is even more powerful, allowing you to isolate benchmarks for demographics on Genus, and election results/swings/basic demographic information on Suffragium. For instance, I can look up every 100K District that voted for Harris, and see the results.
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Very useful to look up random facts and trends of congressional districts!
Jun 12
NOW OUT: Our biggest project ever, Tabula America Genus and Suffragium are now out! Two maps that combined, can tell you practically everything about the US through demographics and election results.
Genus: electioncord.com/genus/
Suffragium: electioncord.com/suffragium/
More 👇
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 12
NOW OUT: Our biggest project ever, Tabula America Genus and Suffragium are now out! Two maps that combined, can tell you practically everything about the US through demographics and election results.
Genus: electioncord.com/genus/
Suffragium: electioncord.com/suffragium/
More 👇
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US hate watchers tonight should be warned that Paraguay plays some of the most anti-soccer that can be imagined
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 12
Les secteurs périurbains lointains (les « exurbs ») à assez haut revenu sont des machines à engendrer une avance pour la droite et l’extrême en voix brutes, on le voit aux États-Unis mais aussi en France avec l’Alsace, le périurbain lyonnais type nord de l’Isère ou Beauolais
Jun 11
Genuinely cannot think of a place with a more evil electorate. I don't think people understand that it is >20 points REDDER than Montgomery County is!
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 11
I really liked this piece overall, lots of fun data here
Like these two visualizations on 2026 engagement and party approval
Ds do better on favorability with the ideological center, but fare worse with the three leftmost typological groups than Rs do with the three rightmost
Pew seems to be fairly certain Dems got horrific differential turnout in 2024. In safer states, that dynamic did seem to repeatedly show up in results.
pewresearch.org/politics/fea…
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Pew seems to be fairly certain Dems got horrific differential turnout in 2024. In safer states, that dynamic did seem to repeatedly show up in results.
pewresearch.org/politics/fea…
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In the blocks of 100K voters analyzed on @ElectionCord, any area a Dem won in 2016-2024 had markedly worse turnout in 2024, while Republican areas only improved from 2020
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Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair retweeted
Jun 9
The "generic D beats Collins by more than Platner or Mills" argument is pointless. A generic candidate vs. a named one often has more of an advantage, and there's no such thing as a generic candidate anyway.
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