Japan just set a target: 30% of the global physical AI market by 2040.
The driver isn't efficiency. It's survival.
Physical AI is being bought as a continuity tool. How do you keep factories, warehouses, and service operations running with fewer people?
The US doesn't face the same demographic cliff. But the labor economics in blue-collar ops are running the same direction. The difference is American operators are choosing this, not being forced into it.
The choice is both the opportunity and the delay.
techcrunch.com/2026/04/05/ja…
Everyone's racing to automate white collar work. Meanwhile the biggest bottleneck in the US economy is a shortage of people who know how to do things with their hands.
The most valuable skill in 2030 will be operating a robot, not prompting one.
App Store submissions up 84% in Q1 2026. Down 48% from 2016–2024. Then AI coding tools launched and the trend reversed overnight.
Cheaper software development doesn't mean less software. It means more. Domain expertise is the scarce resource now.
Source: entrepreneur.com/business-ne…
"Operational improvement" in PE usually means: cut headcount, raise prices, hire a new CFO.
What it almost never means: actually change how the work gets done.
The gap between those two definitions is where most of the real value is hiding.
"It's either a hell yes, or it's a no"
- @kberger on @lennysan's Pod.
Startups are hard as is and it's how we've been operating when it comes to hiring. Most importantly, this principal needs to hold for both parties.
Full Episode: youtube.com/watch?v=KSCjl_VI…
Post-training is where it's at 👌
"A tiny amount of data... 30 examples" was enough to steer the model in the right direction - @johnschulman2 (OpenAI co-founder) on @dwarkesh_sp 's Pod
"Business Supply" and "Travel" software are the fastest-growing app categories across companies. In-person meetings are clearly in vogue again.
We should be delegating the booking/purchasing to AI agents in the coming year.
📊 report by @okta - okta.com/businesses-at-work/
There’s no benchmark for human creativity, but this paper has been stuck in my head years later.
Scaling Creative Inspiration - a model able to scour millions of ideas and help users discover inspirations. arxiv.org/pdf/2102.09761
h/t to @Hoper_Tom & team