Interest rates are the key to understanding
$SOFI.
As Anthony Noto explained:
"When rates rise,
$SOFI multiple contracts. When the market believes rates will stay flat,
$SOFI multiple expands. When the market expects rate cuts, the multiple expands even further."
Yesterday, inflation came in at 4.2%.
At the same time, Trump's threats toward Iran raised concerns that higher oil prices could add further inflationary pressure.
The market quickly shifted toward pricing in a higher probability of rate hikes rather than rate cuts.
That's exactly why
$SOFI sold off.
Today, that fear is fading.
Iran concerns have eased, long-term inflation looks less threatening, and the odds of additional rate hikes have declined.
And it's exactly why sentiment can reverse just as quickly.
Once the conversation shifts back toward rate cuts,
$SOFI will take off.
This is the time to buy.