Joined August 2019
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I am the best FPL manager over the past few years. Decision-making, not data models, is what determines your outcomes. I wrote some reflections on what fantasy sports teaches us about that. decidership.com/p/decision-s…
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Tiny Rules to combat bad FPL habits can be a good way to start improving your game: Always captain most expensive player (combat differential chasing) No transfers when there are games still to be played (combat knee-jerk) Never last minute captain swap, etc.!
If simplifying your life is one of your goals for 2026, here's a good place to start. This week I wrote about Tiny Rules. This is a pre-made decision that gives practical instructions to your future self: when this type of thing comes up, do this.
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#FIFAWorldCup MD1 Player Predictions 📊⚽️ Here is another early look at where the goals and assists are likely to come from in the first round of matches. Just pushed a new update out. All free on the website.
Free World Cup 2026 Predictions 🏆 Teams: Goals. Clean sheets. Win %. Players: Goals. Assists. Goal Involvement. Completely free. No ads. No login. No paywall. Enjoy 💜👇
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elevenify retweeted
If simplifying your life is one of your goals for 2026, here's a good place to start. This week I wrote about Tiny Rules. This is a pre-made decision that gives practical instructions to your future self: when this type of thing comes up, do this.
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elevenify retweeted
No matter what tools you’re using, make sure you bring your own goals. Some bits from this one:
AI can be a great input to the decision process. But most people skip the steps that makes it truly useful. decidership.com/p/ai-decisio…
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elevenify retweeted
Free World Cup 2026 Predictions 🏆 Teams: Goals. Clean sheets. Win %. Players: Goals. Assists. Goal Involvement. Completely free. No ads. No login. No paywall. Enjoy 💜👇
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elevenify retweeted
#WCFantasy Official game model is now live⁺! Top 3 players per position for MD1: GK🧤 🥇Baumann 6.5* 🥈Nyland 6.06* 🥉C. Vargas 5.6* DEF🧱 🥇Kimmich 8.8 🥈Kadioglu 8.2* 🥉D. Sanchez 8.0* MID👀 🥇Yamal 8.9 🥈Wirtz 8.5 🥉Musiala 8.4 FWD⚽️ 🥇Nunez 8.9* 🥈 Son 8.0* 🥉Havertz 7.2 *Scouting Bonus applies ⁺Final model run: June-10
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Got to talk with Annie Duke about decision-making, probabilistic thinking, and using fantasy sports as a decision training ground. If you want to better understand football or fantasy sports and haven't read Thinking in Bets, you're leaving so much on the table. Enjoy 💜
Two things determine how your life turns out: Luck (which you can't control). And the quality of your decisions. I spoke with @AnnieDuke about what it actually looks like to improve the second one.
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#FIFAWorldCup MD1 Goals and Assists ⚽️ A **very** early look at most likely goal output for the first set of group fixtures.
Free World Cup 2026 Predictions 🏆 Teams: Goals. Clean sheets. Win %. Players: Goals. Assists. Goal Involvement. Completely free. No ads. No login. No paywall. Enjoy 💜👇
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Free World Cup 2026 Predictions 🏆 Teams: Goals. Clean sheets. Win %. Players: Goals. Assists. Goal Involvement. Completely free. No ads. No login. No paywall. Enjoy 💜👇
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These take a lot of time to produce and maintain. If you want to pay it forward then you could: 1. Support @Decidership for free where I am helping people to work on their decision skills 2. Donate to the most effective charities, under the guidance of @GiveWell 💜
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Model Prediction for #UCLfinal PSG: 0.98 Arsenal: 1.07 Big pinch of salt as this isn’t PL-only so has a heavy dose of vibes, but it aligns with my Arsenal view all season: the defence is better than commonly thought, the attack worse. Good luck!
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Feeling quite excited as I just finished recording a little decision skills masterclass with a very special guest! Out Monday :)
Just recorded an interesting conversation with a very special guest! Out Monday!
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Most people can block out 30 minutes for the gym. Hardly anyone blocks out dedicated time to work on how they make decisions. Your decisions are just as consequential for your life. This is a 20-minute workout for your decision-making. decidership.com/p/decision-f…
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Congratulations to @elevenify on winning #Elite64 🏆👑👏 ...and well done to the Top 10 in the qualifier league who have secured promotion 🆙️🚀⬆️ Commiserations to myself on getting relegated from my own league for a 2nd time 🤣
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AI can be a great input to the decision process. But most people skip the steps that makes it truly useful. decidership.com/p/ai-decisio…
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🌍 219 The elusive 2 digit finish escaped me! But this finish is enough to keep me as #1 over the past few years. 💜
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If you are interested in improving your decision-making in life and work, then follow my new free project here: decidership.com
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GW38 Predictions 📅 For the last time, here are the predicted match outcomes and player predictions for this gameweek. 💜
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